Feyenoord at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Feyenoord

33.1%27.2%39.6%
Feyenoord WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
1.16Projected Goals 1.29
1Final Score 1

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Feyenoord
Money Line
T 0-0 at Volendam
T 1-1 vs Ajax
W 1-2 vs Excelsior
T 3-3 at NAC Breda
L 0-2 at Twente
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 2-0 at Excelsior
T 2-2 vs Heerenveen
W 3-2 at PSV Eindhoven
W 0-3 vs Volendam
L 3-2 vs Fortuna Sittard

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Feyenoord+180-+245+230+230+230+245+253.5
NEC Nijmegen+125--108-102-102-102-102+112.1
Draw+285-+290+280+280+280+290+307.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Feyenoord-----+253.5
NEC Nijmegen-----+112.1
Draw-----+307.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Feyenoord: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Feyenoord: 30.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Feyenoord: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Feyenoord ML moved from +194 to +168
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from +100 to -102

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-110-o3¼-102o3-132o3-132o3-132o3-132o3-121
Underu3½-110-u3¼-118u3+112u3+112u3+112u3¼-118u3+121
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-121
Under-----u3+121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-110 to u3¼+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.8%
 
No50.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.60%
Exactly 225.88%
Exactly 412.98%
Exactly 62.61%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.10%
Exactly 321.17%
Exactly 56.37%
Exactly 70.91%
Exact Goals Scored - Feyenoord
Exactly 031.38%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 221.07%
Exactly 38.14%
Exactly 42.36%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 027.40%
Exactly 135.47%
Exactly 222.96%
Exactly 39.91%
Exactly 43.21%
Exactly 50.83%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.11%
Exactly 220.72%
Exactly 42.23%
 
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 37.85%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Feyenoord
Exactly 058.48%
Exactly 131.38%
Exactly 28.42%
Exactly 31.51%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 054.91%
Exactly 132.92%
Exactly 29.87%
Exactly 31.97%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Feyenoord
Wins by 2+ goals13.54%
Wins by 3+ goals4.28%
Wins by 4+ goals1.08%
Wins by 5+ goals0.22%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals17.76%
Wins by 3+ goals6.20%
Wins by 4+ goals1.73%
Wins by 5+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Feyenoord
NEC Nijmegen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Feyenoord
Wins by 1 goal19.56%
Wins by 2 goals9.26%
Wins by 3 goals3.20%
Wins by 4 goals0.86%
Wins by 5 goals0.19%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal21.85%
Wins by 2 goals11.56%
Wins by 3 goals4.47%
Wins by 4 goals1.35%
Wins by 5 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.40%8.60%
1.570.30%29.70%
2.544.42%55.58%
3.523.26%76.74%
4.510.27%89.73%
5.53.90%96.10%
6.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals Feyenoord Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.62%31.38%
1.532.25%67.75%
2.511.17%88.83%
3.53.03%96.97%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.60%27.40%
1.537.13%62.87%
2.514.17%85.83%
3.54.26%95.74%
4.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.89%32.11%
1.531.41%68.59%
2.510.69%89.31%
3.52.85%97.15%

Score Props

Correct Score

Feyenoord
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
8.60%
11.13%
7.21%
3.11%
1.01%
0.26%
1
9.96%
12.90%
8.35%
3.60%
1.17%
0.30%
2
5.77%
7.48%
4.84%
2.09%
0.68%
0.18%
3
2.23%
2.89%
1.87%
0.81%
0.26%
0.07%
4
0.65%
0.84%
0.54%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.15%
0.19%
0.13%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Feyenoord
1-09.96%
2-05.77%
2-17.48%
3-02.23%
3-12.89%
3-21.87%
4-00.65%
4-10.84%
4-20.54%
4-30.23%
5-00.15%
5-10.19%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-08.60%
1-112.90%
2-24.84%
3-30.81%
NEC Nijmegen
0-111.13%
0-27.21%
1-28.35%
0-33.11%
1-33.60%
2-32.09%
0-41.01%
1-41.17%
2-40.68%
3-40.26%
0-50.26%
1-50.30%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Feyenoord
NEC Nijmegen
Score01234
0
32.11%
19.25%
5.77%
1.15%
0.17%
1
17.23%
10.33%
3.10%
0.62%
0.09%
2
4.62%
2.77%
0.83%
0.17%
0.02%
3
0.83%
0.50%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Feyenoord
1-017.23%
2-04.62%
2-12.77%
3-00.83%
3-10.50%
3-20.15%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-032.11%
1-110.33%
2-20.83%
NEC Nijmegen
0-119.25%
0-25.77%
1-23.10%
0-31.15%
1-30.62%
2-30.17%
0-40.17%