Go Ahead Eag at Ajax

Updated

Go Ahead Eagles

13.7%18.3%68.0%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.93Projected Goals 2.28
2Final Score 2

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Go Ahead Eagles
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Fortuna Sittard
T 1-1 vs Groningen
L 0-2 at Twente
T 2-2 at AZ Alkmaar
T 2-2 vs Utrecht
Ajax
Money Line
W 3-2 at Telstar
T 2-2 at NEC Nijmegen
W 0-2 vs Feyenoord
W 3-1 at Fortuna Sittard
L 2-1 vs Excelsior

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Go Ahead Eag+550-+385+400+400+400+400+456.1
Ajax-225--158-196-196-196-158-147.1
Draw+355-+310+355+300+300+310+344.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Go Ahead Eag-----+456.1
Ajax------147.1
Draw-----+344.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
Ajax: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Go Ahead Eag: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Go Ahead Eag ML moved from +370 to +360
Ajax ML moved from -188 to -198

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-118-o3-120o3¼+100o3¼+100o3¼+100o3-120o3¼+109
Underu3¼-102-u3+100u3¼-120u3¼-120u3¼-120u3¼-120u3¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+109
Under-----u3¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3½-121 to u3¼-108

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.1%
 
No45.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.05%
Exactly 220.83%
Exactly 417.83%
Exactly 66.11%
Exactly 81.12%
Exactly 100.13%
 
Exactly 113.00%
Exactly 322.25%
Exactly 511.43%
Exactly 72.80%
Exactly 90.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 039.76%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 216.91%
Exactly 35.20%
Exactly 41.20%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 010.20%
Exactly 123.28%
Exactly 226.58%
Exactly 320.22%
Exactly 411.54%
Exactly 55.27%
Exactly 62.01%
Exactly 70.65%
Exactly 80.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.67%
Exactly 224.97%
Exactly 44.58%
Exactly 60.34%
 
Exactly 133.65%
Exactly 312.35%
Exactly 51.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 065.24%
Exactly 127.86%
Exactly 25.95%
Exactly 30.85%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 034.75%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.41%
Exactly 36.84%
Exactly 41.81%
Exactly 50.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 2+ goals4.36%
Wins by 3+ goals1.06%
Wins by 4+ goals0.20%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals44.83%
Wins by 3+ goals24.60%
Wins by 4+ goals11.32%
Wins by 5+ goals4.42%
Wins by 6+ goals1.47%
Wins by 7+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Go Ahead Eagles
Ajax
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 1 goal9.33%
Wins by 2 goals3.30%
Wins by 3 goals0.87%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal23.09%
Wins by 2 goals20.23%
Wins by 3 goals13.28%
Wins by 4 goals6.90%
Wins by 5 goals2.95%
Wins by 6 goals1.07%
Wins by 7 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.95%4.05%
1.582.95%17.05%
2.562.12%37.88%
3.539.87%60.13%
4.522.03%77.97%
5.510.60%89.40%
6.54.49%95.51%
7.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals Go Ahead Eagles Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.24%39.76%
1.523.57%76.43%
2.56.66%93.34%
3.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.80%10.20%
1.566.52%33.48%
2.539.95%60.05%
3.519.72%80.28%
4.58.18%91.82%
5.52.91%97.09%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.33%22.67%
1.543.68%56.32%
2.518.72%81.28%
3.56.37%93.63%
4.51.78%98.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

Go Ahead Eag
Ajax
Score012345
0
4.05%
9.26%
10.57%
8.04%
4.59%
2.10%
1
3.74%
8.54%
9.75%
7.42%
4.23%
1.93%
2
1.72%
3.94%
4.49%
3.42%
1.95%
0.89%
3
0.53%
1.21%
1.38%
1.05%
0.60%
0.27%
4
0.12%
0.28%
0.32%
0.24%
0.14%
0.06%
Go Ahead Eagles
1-03.74%
2-01.72%
2-13.94%
3-00.53%
3-11.21%
3-21.38%
4-00.12%
4-10.28%
4-20.32%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-04.05%
1-18.54%
2-24.49%
3-31.05%
4-40.14%
Ajax
0-19.26%
0-210.57%
1-29.75%
0-38.04%
1-37.42%
2-33.42%
0-44.59%
1-44.23%
2-41.95%
3-40.60%
0-52.10%
1-51.93%
2-50.89%
3-50.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Go Ahead Eag
Ajax
Score012345
0
22.67%
23.96%
12.67%
4.46%
1.18%
0.25%
1
9.68%
10.23%
5.41%
1.91%
0.50%
0.11%
2
2.07%
2.19%
1.15%
0.41%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.29%
0.31%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Go Ahead Eagles
1-09.68%
2-02.07%
2-12.19%
3-00.29%
3-10.31%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-022.67%
1-110.23%
2-21.15%
Ajax
0-123.96%
0-212.67%
1-25.41%
0-34.46%
1-31.91%
2-30.41%
0-41.18%
1-40.50%
2-40.11%
0-50.25%
1-50.11%
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