Ajax at Fortuna Sittard

Updated

Ajax

61.3%20.6%18.0%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.07Projected Goals 1.02
3Final Score 1

Fortuna Sittard

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Excelsior
L 1-2 at Utrecht
T 1-1 vs Heerenveen
W 3-2 at Twente
L 2-0 vs AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Heracles Almelo
T 1-1 at Sparta Rotterdam
W 0-2 vs Heerenveen
L 2-5 at PSV Eindhoven
L 2-1 vs Groningen

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-112--101-107-107-107-101+106.0
Fortuna Sittard+270-+255+260+260+260+260+283.4
Draw+275-+260+270+270+270+270+294.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-----+106.0
Fortuna Sittard-----+283.4
Draw-----+294.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 30.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +101 to -101
Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +270 to +255

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102-o2¾-115o2¾-112o2¾-112o2¾-112o2¾-112o2¾-102
Underu3-122-u2¾-105u2¾-108u2¾-108u2¾-108u2¾-105u2¾+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-102
Under-----u2¾+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.0%
 
No44.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.55%
Exactly 221.72%
Exactly 417.28%
Exactly 65.50%
Exactly 80.94%
 
Exactly 114.06%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 510.68%
Exactly 72.43%
Exactly 90.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 012.68%
Exactly 126.18%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 318.61%
Exactly 49.61%
Exactly 53.97%
Exactly 61.37%
Exactly 70.40%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 035.89%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.84%
Exactly 36.44%
Exactly 41.65%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.91%
Exactly 224.47%
Exactly 44.17%
Exactly 60.28%
 
Exactly 134.21%
Exactly 311.67%
Exactly 51.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 038.43%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.57%
Exactly 35.60%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 062.22%
Exactly 129.52%
Exactly 27.00%
Exactly 31.11%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals37.78%
Wins by 3+ goals19.14%
Wins by 4+ goals8.08%
Wins by 5+ goals2.89%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals6.26%
Wins by 3+ goals1.68%
Wins by 4+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal23.54%
Wins by 2 goals18.64%
Wins by 3 goals11.06%
Wins by 4 goals5.19%
Wins by 5 goals2.01%
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal11.68%
Wins by 2 goals4.58%
Wins by 3 goals1.34%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.45%4.55%
1.581.39%18.61%
2.559.67%40.33%
3.537.29%62.71%
4.520.01%79.99%
5.59.33%90.67%
6.53.83%96.17%
7.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.32%12.68%
1.561.14%38.86%
2.534.10%65.90%
3.515.48%84.52%
4.55.87%94.13%
5.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.11%35.89%
1.527.33%72.67%
2.58.49%91.51%
3.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.09%23.91%
1.541.87%58.13%
2.517.40%82.60%
3.55.72%94.28%
4.51.55%98.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
Score01234
0
4.55%
4.66%
2.39%
0.82%
0.21%
1
9.40%
9.63%
4.93%
1.69%
0.43%
2
9.70%
9.94%
5.10%
1.74%
0.45%
3
6.68%
6.85%
3.51%
1.20%
0.31%
4
3.45%
3.53%
1.81%
0.62%
0.16%
5
1.42%
1.46%
0.75%
0.26%
0.07%
Ajax
1-09.40%
2-09.70%
2-19.94%
3-06.68%
3-16.85%
3-23.51%
4-03.45%
4-13.53%
4-21.81%
4-30.62%
5-01.42%
5-11.46%
5-20.75%
5-30.26%
Draw
0-04.55%
1-19.63%
2-25.10%
3-31.20%
4-40.16%
Fortuna Sittard
0-14.66%
0-22.39%
1-24.93%
0-30.82%
1-31.69%
2-31.74%
0-40.21%
1-40.43%
2-40.45%
3-40.31%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
Score0123
0
23.91%
11.35%
2.69%
0.43%
1
22.87%
10.85%
2.57%
0.41%
2
10.93%
5.19%
1.23%
0.19%
3
3.48%
1.65%
0.39%
0.06%
4
0.83%
0.40%
0.09%
0.01%
5
0.16%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Ajax
1-022.87%
2-010.93%
2-15.19%
3-03.48%
3-11.65%
3-20.39%
4-00.83%
4-10.40%
5-00.16%
Draw
0-023.91%
1-110.85%
2-21.23%
Fortuna Sittard
0-111.35%
0-22.69%
1-22.57%
0-30.43%
1-30.41%
2-30.19%