NEC Nijmegen at Volendam

Updated

NEC Nijmegen

61.0%22.3%16.7%
NEC Nijmegen WinDrawWin
1.84Projected Goals 0.84
3Final Score 2

Volendam

Last 5 Games

NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Sparta Rotterdam
W 4-2 at Feyenoord
W 0-2 vs Groningen
L 0-1 at Utrecht
T 2-2 at Zwolle
Volendam
Money Line
L 0-3 at PSV Eindhoven
T 1-1 vs Twente
W 1-2 vs NAC Breda
L 1-3 at Feyenoord
W 0-3 vs Heracles Almelo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen-123--148-147-147-147-147-130.2
Volendam+270-+325+340+340+340+340+363.0
Draw+310-+330+335+330+335+335+357.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NEC Nijmegen------130.2
Volendam-----+363.0
Draw-----+357.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Volendam: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NEC Nijmegen: 20.0%
Volendam: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%
Volendam: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NEC Nijmegen ML moved from -162 to -168
Volendam ML moved from +350 to +340

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-105-o3½-105o3½-109o3½-109o3½-109o3½-105o3½+101
Underu3¼-115-u3½-115u3½-111u3½-111u3½-111u3½-111u3½-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+101
Under-----u3½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.8%
 
No52.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.87%
Exactly 224.63%
Exactly 414.73%
Exactly 63.52%
Exactly 80.45%
 
Exactly 118.39%
Exactly 321.99%
Exactly 57.89%
Exactly 71.35%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 015.91%
Exactly 129.25%
Exactly 226.88%
Exactly 316.47%
Exactly 47.57%
Exactly 52.78%
Exactly 60.85%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Volendam
Exactly 043.16%
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 215.23%
Exactly 34.27%
Exactly 40.90%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.94%
Exactly 222.25%
Exactly 42.85%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.88%
Exactly 39.20%
Exactly 50.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 042.69%
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 215.46%
Exactly 34.39%
Exactly 40.93%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Volendam
Exactly 067.77%
Exactly 126.36%
Exactly 25.13%
Exactly 30.66%

Alternate Props

Spread

NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals35.68%
Wins by 3+ goals16.82%
Wins by 4+ goals6.51%
Wins by 5+ goals2.09%
Volendam
Wins by 2+ goals5.13%
Wins by 3+ goals1.19%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%

Exact Winning Margin

NEC Nijmegen
Volendam
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal25.23%
Wins by 2 goals18.86%
Wins by 3 goals10.32%
Wins by 4 goals4.42%
Wins by 5 goals1.54%
Volendam
Wins by 1 goal11.53%
Wins by 2 goals3.94%
Wins by 3 goals0.98%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.13%6.87%
1.574.74%25.26%
2.550.11%49.89%
3.528.12%71.88%
4.513.39%86.61%
5.55.50%94.50%
6.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.09%15.91%
1.554.85%45.15%
2.527.96%72.04%
3.511.49%88.51%
4.53.92%96.08%
5.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Volendam Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.84%43.16%
1.520.57%79.43%
2.55.34%94.66%
3.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.06%28.94%
1.535.18%64.82%
2.512.93%87.07%
3.53.74%96.26%

Score Props

Correct Score

NEC Nijmegen
Volendam
Score01234
0
6.87%
5.77%
2.42%
0.68%
0.14%
1
12.62%
10.61%
4.46%
1.25%
0.26%
2
11.60%
9.75%
4.09%
1.15%
0.24%
3
7.11%
5.97%
2.51%
0.70%
0.15%
4
3.27%
2.75%
1.15%
0.32%
0.07%
5
1.20%
1.01%
0.42%
0.12%
0.02%
NEC Nijmegen
1-012.62%
2-011.60%
2-19.75%
3-07.11%
3-15.97%
3-22.51%
4-03.27%
4-12.75%
4-21.15%
4-30.32%
5-01.20%
5-11.01%
5-20.42%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-06.87%
1-110.61%
2-24.09%
3-30.70%
Volendam
0-15.77%
0-22.42%
1-24.46%
0-30.68%
1-31.25%
2-31.15%
0-40.14%
1-40.26%
2-40.24%
3-40.15%

Correct Score - First Half

NEC Nijmegen
Volendam
Score0123
0
28.94%
11.26%
2.19%
0.28%
1
24.63%
9.58%
1.86%
0.24%
2
10.48%
4.08%
0.79%
0.10%
3
2.97%
1.16%
0.22%
0.03%
4
0.63%
0.25%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
NEC Nijmegen
1-024.63%
2-010.48%
2-14.08%
3-02.97%
3-11.16%
3-20.22%
4-00.63%
4-10.25%
5-00.11%
Draw
0-028.94%
1-19.58%
2-20.79%
Volendam
0-111.26%
0-22.19%
1-21.86%
0-30.28%
1-30.24%
2-30.10%