Vitesse at Excelsior

Updated

Vitesse

40.4%27.8%31.9%
Vitesse WinDrawExcelsior Win
1.26Projected Goals 1.10
1Final Score 3

Excelsior

Last Games

Vitesse
Money Line
L 5-2 vs Feyenoord+305
L 1-6 at AZ Alkmaar+420
W 1-2 vs AZ Alkmaar+190
W 0-3 vs Utrecht+100
L 1-3 at Utrecht+240
Excelsior
Money Line
W 2-0 at Cambuur+275

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitesse+105-112+100-125-112-125+100-105.4
Excelsior+245+278+240+295+286+295+295+297.4
Draw+240+304+265+315+313+315+315+325.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitesse+110-----110-110-105.4
Excelsior+225----+265+265+297.4
Draw+275----+295+295+325.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitesse: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitesse: 0.0%
Excelsior: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitesse: 40.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Vitesse ML moved from -112 to -120
Excelsior ML moved from +289 to +280

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitesse: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitesse: 0.0%
Excelsior: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitesse: 0.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Vitesse ML moved from +100 to -105
No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o3-127o3+100o3¼+100o3-117o3¼+100o3+100o3-109
Underu2½+102u3+107u3-120u3¼-120u3+102u3¼-120u3¼-120u3+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-109
Under-----u3+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.8%
 
No52.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.40%
Exactly 226.28%
Exactly 412.24%
Exactly 62.28%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.23%
Exactly 320.71%
Exactly 55.79%
Exactly 70.77%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitesse
Exactly 028.11%
Exactly 135.67%
Exactly 222.64%
Exactly 39.58%
Exactly 43.04%
Exactly 50.77%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 033.45%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.06%
Exactly 37.32%
Exactly 42.00%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.47%
Exactly 220.05%
Exactly 42.00%
 
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 37.32%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitesse
Exactly 055.57%
Exactly 132.65%
Exactly 29.59%
Exactly 31.88%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 060.23%
Exactly 130.54%
Exactly 27.74%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Vitesse
Wins by 2+ goals17.94%
Wins by 3+ goals6.19%
Wins by 4+ goals1.70%
Wins by 5+ goals0.37%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals12.46%
Wins by 3+ goals3.72%
Wins by 4+ goals0.84%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Vitesse
Excelsior
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Vitesse
Wins by 1 goal22.38%
Wins by 2 goals11.75%
Wins by 3 goals4.48%
Wins by 4 goals1.33%
Wins by 5 goals0.32%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal19.31%
Wins by 2 goals8.74%
Wins by 3 goals2.87%
Wins by 4 goals0.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.60%9.40%
1.568.37%31.63%
2.542.09%57.91%
3.521.38%78.62%
4.59.14%90.86%
5.53.36%96.64%
6.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Vitesse Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.89%28.11%
1.536.22%63.78%
2.513.58%86.42%
3.54.01%95.99%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.55%33.45%
1.529.92%70.08%
2.59.86%90.14%
3.52.54%97.46%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.53%33.47%
1.529.90%70.10%
2.59.85%90.15%
3.52.53%97.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

Vitesse
Excelsior
Score012345
0
9.40%
10.30%
5.64%
2.06%
0.56%
0.12%
1
11.93%
13.07%
7.15%
2.61%
0.71%
0.16%
2
7.57%
8.29%
4.54%
1.66%
0.45%
0.10%
3
3.20%
3.51%
1.92%
0.70%
0.19%
0.04%
4
1.02%
1.11%
0.61%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.26%
0.28%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Vitesse
1-011.93%
2-07.57%
2-18.29%
3-03.20%
3-13.51%
3-21.92%
4-01.02%
4-11.11%
4-20.61%
4-30.22%
5-00.26%
5-10.28%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-09.40%
1-113.07%
2-24.54%
3-30.70%
Excelsior
0-110.30%
0-25.64%
1-27.15%
0-32.06%
1-32.61%
2-31.66%
0-40.56%
1-40.71%
2-40.45%
3-40.19%
0-50.12%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Vitesse
Excelsior
Score0123
0
33.47%
16.97%
4.30%
0.73%
1
19.67%
9.97%
2.53%
0.43%
2
5.78%
2.93%
0.74%
0.13%
3
1.13%
0.57%
0.15%
0.02%
4
0.17%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Vitesse
1-019.67%
2-05.78%
2-12.93%
3-01.13%
3-10.57%
3-20.15%
4-00.17%
Draw
0-033.47%
1-19.97%
2-20.74%
Excelsior
0-116.97%
0-24.30%
1-22.53%
0-30.73%
1-30.43%
2-30.13%