Go Ahead Eag at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Go Ahead Eagles

12.9%19.8%67.3%
WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
0.76Projected Goals 2.05
1Final Score 2

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Go Ahead Eagles
Money Line
L 4-1 vs PSV Eindhoven
T 2-2 at Sparta Rotterdam
T 0-0 vs AZ Alkmaar
T 0-0 at Groningen
W 0-5 vs Zwolle
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
L 1-2 at Groningen
T 1-1 vs Telstar
T 1-1 at Twente
T 1-1 vs Feyenoord
W 2-0 at Excelsior

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Go Ahead Eag+600-+675+620+672+620+675+674.3
NEC Nijmegen-285--350-345-325-345-325-258.3
Draw+440-+525+520+542+520+542+566.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Go Ahead Eag-----+674.3
NEC Nijmegen------258.3
Draw-----+566.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Go Ahead Eag: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Go Ahead Eag: 30.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Go Ahead Eag: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Go Ahead Eag: 10.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Go Ahead Eag ML moved from +704 to +672
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from -342 to -350

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-112-o4-108o4-111o4-104o4-111o4-104o4-101
Underu3½-108-u4-112u4-109u4-115u4-109u4-109u4+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o4-101
Under-----u4+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¾-106 to o4+103
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.6%
 
No53.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.00%
Exactly 223.75%
Exactly 415.66%
Exactly 64.13%
Exactly 80.58%
 
Exactly 116.88%
Exactly 322.27%
Exactly 58.81%
Exactly 71.66%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 046.53%
Exactly 135.60%
Exactly 213.62%
Exactly 33.47%
Exactly 40.66%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 012.90%
Exactly 126.42%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 318.47%
Exactly 49.46%
Exactly 53.87%
Exactly 61.32%
Exactly 70.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.19%
Exactly 223.06%
Exactly 43.26%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.41%
Exactly 310.01%
Exactly 50.85%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Go Ahead Eagles
Exactly 070.17%
Exactly 124.86%
Exactly 24.40%
Exactly 30.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 038.74%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.42%
Exactly 35.51%
Exactly 41.31%
Exactly 50.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 2+ goals3.65%
Wins by 3+ goals0.78%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals42.36%
Wins by 3+ goals21.76%
Wins by 4+ goals9.23%
Wins by 5+ goals3.26%
Wins by 6+ goals0.93%
Wins by 7+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Go Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Go Ahead Eagles
Wins by 1 goal9.26%
Wins by 2 goals2.87%
Wins by 3 goals0.65%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal24.79%
Wins by 2 goals20.59%
Wins by 3 goals12.53%
Wins by 4 goals5.97%
Wins by 5 goals2.33%
Wins by 6 goals0.75%
Wins by 7 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.00%6.00%
1.577.11%22.89%
2.553.37%46.63%
3.531.10%68.90%
4.515.44%84.56%
5.56.63%93.37%
6.52.49%97.51%

Total Goals Go Ahead Eagles Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.47%46.53%
1.517.87%82.13%
2.54.25%95.75%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.10%12.90%
1.560.68%39.32%
2.533.63%66.37%
3.515.16%84.84%
4.55.71%94.29%
5.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.81%27.19%
1.537.40%62.60%
2.514.35%85.65%
3.54.33%95.67%
4.51.07%98.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

Go Ahead Eag
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
6.00%
12.29%
12.59%
8.59%
4.40%
1.80%
1
4.59%
9.40%
9.63%
6.57%
3.37%
1.38%
2
1.76%
3.60%
3.68%
2.51%
1.29%
0.53%
3
0.45%
0.92%
0.94%
0.64%
0.33%
0.13%
Go Ahead Eagles
1-04.59%
2-01.76%
2-13.60%
3-00.45%
3-10.92%
3-20.94%
Draw
0-06.00%
1-19.40%
2-23.68%
3-30.64%
NEC Nijmegen
0-112.29%
0-212.59%
1-29.63%
0-38.59%
1-36.57%
2-32.51%
0-44.40%
1-43.37%
2-41.29%
3-40.33%
0-51.80%
1-51.38%
2-50.53%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Go Ahead Eag
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
27.19%
25.78%
12.22%
3.86%
0.92%
0.17%
1
9.63%
9.13%
4.33%
1.37%
0.32%
0.06%
2
1.71%
1.62%
0.77%
0.24%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.20%
0.19%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Go Ahead Eagles
1-09.63%
2-01.71%
2-11.62%
3-00.20%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-027.19%
1-19.13%
2-20.77%
NEC Nijmegen
0-125.78%
0-212.22%
1-24.33%
0-33.86%
1-31.37%
2-30.24%
0-40.92%
1-40.32%
0-50.17%
Excelsior at Sparta R'dam
Fortuna Sittard at Utrecht