Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Utrecht
Heracles Almelo 		51.2%
24.8%		24.0%
+101
+270

1.69
1.11		2.80
o2¾+104
u2¾-122

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Feyenoord
Groningen		63.9%
15.7%		20.4%
-105
+310

1
0		-0.70844-0.44751
Heerenveen
Utrecht		18.1%
60.9%		20.9%
+337
-122

2
2		-1.41046-1.56332
AZ Alkmaar
NEC Nijmegen		38.3%
34.3%		27.4%
+103
+236

1
2		-1.24841-1.07035
Sparta Rotterdam
Heracles Almelo		42.5%
31.1%		26.4%
+175
+148

0
3		-0.94472-1.16771
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior		77.1%
8.4%		14.5%
-262
+619

2
1		-0.36265-0.26017
Zwolle
Volendam		45.7%
28.0%		26.4%
+177
+148

1
2		-0.94794-1.27364
NAC Breda
Ajax		4.6%
86.7%		8.6%
+915
-337

1
2		-0.29828-0.14238
Fortuna Sittard
Twente		7.3%
79.7%		13.0%
+657
-231

2
3		-0.39605-0.22701
Zwolle
AZ Alkmaar		13.3%
68.5%		18.1%
+761
-307

2
2		-1.81413-1.70843
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar		46.6%
28.4%		24.9%
+170
+149

3
3		-1.35969-1.38886
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven		14.0%
68.3%		17.7%
+400
-151

2
2		-1.53628-1.73404
NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen		40.9%
32.1%		27.0%
+173
+144

2
3		-0.92402-1.13610
Go Ahead Eagles
Zwolle		28.1%
46.6%		25.3%
+169
+163

2
0		-1.01885-1.27065
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda		42.9%
32.7%		24.4%
+320
-109

1
2		-0.67352-1.11844
Utrecht
Fortuna Sittard		54.6%
22.4%		23.0%
+120
+235

0
1		-1.24309-1.49593
Telstar
Groningen		20.8%
53.8%		25.3%
+510
-173

0
2		-0.49348-0.61964
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.