Zwolle at Excelsior

Updated

Zwolle

20.3%23.4%56.3%
Zwolle WinDrawExcelsior Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.76

Excelsior

Last 5 Games

Zwolle
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Fortuna Sittard
L 1-6 at Feyenoord
W 1-2 vs Heerenveen
T 2-2 at Groningen
W 0-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam
Excelsior
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Groningen
W 0-1 vs NAC Breda
W 2-1 at Ajax
L 2-1 vs Heracles Almelo
T 2-2 at Telstar

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Zwolle+215-+220+190-+190+220+212.8
Excelsior+111-+109+114-+114+114+130.9
Draw+265-+270+275-+275+275+304.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Zwolle-----+212.8
Excelsior-----+130.9
Draw-----+304.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Zwolle: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Excelsior: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Zwolle: 0.0%
Excelsior: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Zwolle: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Zwolle: 30.0%
Excelsior: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Zwolle ML
No Steam Moves On Excelsior ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100-o3-102o3-101-o3-101o3-101o3+108
Underu3-120-u3-118u3-119-u3-119u3-118u3-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+108
Under-----u3-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.0%
 
No49.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.62%
Exactly 224.40%
Exactly 414.99%
Exactly 63.69%
Exactly 80.49%
 
Exactly 117.97%
Exactly 322.08%
Exactly 58.14%
Exactly 71.43%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Zwolle
Exactly 038.46%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.56%
Exactly 35.59%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Excelsior
Exactly 017.20%
Exactly 130.28%
Exactly 226.65%
Exactly 315.63%
Exactly 46.88%
Exactly 52.42%
Exactly 60.71%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.44%
Exactly 222.48%
Exactly 42.96%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.76%
Exactly 39.42%
Exactly 50.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Zwolle
Exactly 064.25%
Exactly 128.42%
Exactly 26.29%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Excelsior
Exactly 044.27%
Exactly 136.07%
Exactly 214.70%
Exactly 33.99%
Exactly 40.81%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Zwolle
Wins by 2+ goals6.90%
Wins by 3+ goals1.79%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%
Excelsior
Wins by 2+ goals31.66%
Wins by 3+ goals14.31%
Wins by 4+ goals5.30%
Wins by 5+ goals1.63%
Wins by 6+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Zwolle
Excelsior
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Zwolle
Wins by 1 goal13.36%
Wins by 2 goals5.11%
Wins by 3 goals1.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%
Excelsior
Wins by 1 goal24.60%
Wins by 2 goals17.35%
Wins by 3 goals9.01%
Wins by 4 goals3.67%
Wins by 5 goals1.22%
Wins by 6 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.38%6.62%
1.575.41%24.59%
2.551.02%48.98%
3.528.93%71.07%
4.513.94%86.06%
5.55.80%94.20%
6.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals Zwolle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.54%38.46%
1.524.79%75.21%
2.57.23%92.77%
3.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Excelsior Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.80%17.20%
1.552.52%47.48%
2.525.87%74.13%
3.510.24%89.76%
4.53.36%96.64%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.56%28.44%
1.535.80%64.20%
2.513.32%86.68%
3.53.90%96.10%

Score Props

Correct Score

Zwolle
Excelsior
Score012345
0
6.62%
11.65%
10.25%
6.01%
2.65%
0.93%
1
6.32%
11.13%
9.79%
5.75%
2.53%
0.89%
2
3.02%
5.32%
4.68%
2.74%
1.21%
0.43%
3
0.96%
1.69%
1.49%
0.87%
0.38%
0.14%
4
0.23%
0.40%
0.36%
0.21%
0.09%
0.03%
Zwolle
1-06.32%
2-03.02%
2-15.32%
3-00.96%
3-11.69%
3-21.49%
4-00.23%
4-10.40%
4-20.36%
4-30.21%
Draw
0-06.62%
1-111.13%
2-24.68%
3-30.87%
Excelsior
0-111.65%
0-210.25%
1-29.79%
0-36.01%
1-35.75%
2-32.74%
0-42.65%
1-42.53%
2-41.21%
3-40.38%
0-50.93%
1-50.89%
2-50.43%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Zwolle
Excelsior
Score01234
0
28.44%
23.18%
9.44%
2.57%
0.52%
1
12.58%
10.25%
4.18%
1.13%
0.23%
2
2.78%
2.27%
0.92%
0.25%
0.05%
3
0.41%
0.33%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Zwolle
1-012.58%
2-02.78%
2-12.27%
3-00.41%
3-10.33%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-028.44%
1-110.25%
2-20.92%
Excelsior
0-123.18%
0-29.44%
1-24.18%
0-32.57%
1-31.13%
2-30.25%
0-40.52%
1-40.23%
Heerenveen at Heracles Almelo
Ajax at NEC Nijmegen