Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Utrecht
Heracles Almelo 		51.2%
24.8%		24.0%
+101
+270

1.69
1.11		2.80
o2¾+104
u2¾-122

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Excelsior
Volendam		45.5%
26.9%		27.6%
+201
+125

2
1		-1.13965-0.78854
Twente
Sparta Rotterdam		38.9%
33.9%		27.2%
+142
+190

5
1		-0.91824-0.94328
Fortuna Sittard
Feyenoord		4.5%
86.0%		9.5%
+979
-343

0
2		-0.28890-0.15122
Fortuna Sittard
Telstar		24.7%
49.6%		25.7%
+265
+109

3
1		-1.32754-1.39796
AZ Alkmaar
Heracles Almelo		48.9%
26.4%		24.7%
-159
+413

2
1		-0.52093-0.71625
Groningen
Utrecht		13.3%
67.7%		18.9%
+420
-135

1
0		-1.67815-2.01500
Sparta Rotterdam
Excelsior		50.1%
24.4%		25.5%
+171
+152

1
0		-1.02896-0.69187
Heerenveen
Feyenoord		4.7%
85.7%		9.6%
+700
-275

0
1		-0.34338-0.15468
NAC Breda
Twente		4.2%
87.4%		8.4%
+509
-187

2
2		-1.57566-2.48291
PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen		58.8%
19.4%		21.8%
-158
+390

5
3		-0.51703-0.53149
Volendam
Go Ahead Eagles		7.2%
78.8%		14.0%
+436
-185

0
3		-0.46721-0.23781
Zwolle
Ajax		10.7%
73.4%		15.8%
+804
-310

1
3		-0.31912-0.30893
AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda		63.9%
17.2%		18.9%
-132
+368

1
0		-0.59072-0.44835
Feyenoord
Sparta Rotterdam		52.5%
23.7%		23.7%
-110
+283

4
0		-0.68585-0.64342
Utrecht
Zwolle		42.3%
31.7%		26.0%
+112
+251

2
0		-0.78900-0.86024
NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard		46.2%
27.9%		25.9%
+126
+203

2
3		-1.14363-1.27636
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.