Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Utrecht
Heracles Almelo 		51.2%
24.8%		24.0%
+101
+270

1.69
1.11		2.80
o2¾+104
u2¾-122

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Go Ahead Eagles
NAC Breda		40.9%
34.1%		25.0%
+115
+224

1
1		-1.37125-1.38782
Almere City
PSV Eindhoven		2.5%
90.9%		6.5%
+1828
-851

0
5		-0.15032-0.09507
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam		24.6%
51.3%		24.1%
+309
-111

1
3		-0.67550-0.66830
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard		62.4%
17.2%		20.4%
-199
+580

2
0		-0.44138-0.47231
RKC Waalwijk
NEC Nijmegen		13.6%
67.0%		19.4%
+344
-123

1
2		-0.61724-0.40051
NAC Breda
Ajax		6.0%
83.9%		10.1%
+965
-368

1
3		-0.27982-0.17513
NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Rotterdam		30.3%
42.8%		26.9%
+353
-125

0
2		-0.61997-0.84936
Utrecht
Go Ahead Eagles		30.1%
44.1%		25.8%
+202
+126

2
2		-1.36125-1.35301
Heracles Almelo
RKC Waalwijk		29.6%
44.3%		26.1%
+190
+144

0
0		-1.30471-1.34316
Zwolle
Almere City		32.4%
40.0%		27.6%
+211
+137

2
2		-1.25435-1.28775
PSV Eindhoven
Groningen		78.1%
8.0%		13.8%
-215
+591

3
1		-0.41902-0.24660
Fortuna Sittard
Twente		9.0%
76.1%		14.8%
+671
-248

1
1		-1.66215-1.90865
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar		29.4%
45.3%		25.3%
+175
+153

1
0		-1.04985-1.22268
Willem II
Heerenveen		17.5%
61.7%		20.7%
+540
-188

1
3		-0.46622-0.48263
Groningen
Feyenoord		8.9%
76.0%		15.2%
+735
-241

1
4		-0.38302-0.27469
RKC Waalwijk
AZ Alkmaar		5.8%
82.7%		11.5%
+1114
-418

2
2		-1.93996-2.16387
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.