Ajax at Volendam

Updated

Ajax

68.0%18.8%13.2%
Ajax WinDrawWin
2.19Projected Goals 0.85
1Final Score 1

Volendam

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Heracles Almelo
T 2-2 at Go Ahead Eagles
W 0-2 vs Telstar
W 0-2 vs Twente
T 2-2 at Groningen
Volendam
Money Line
T 2-2 at Telstar
T 2-2 vs AZ Alkmaar
T 1-1 at Heerenveen
L 2-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles+435
L 2-7 at Twente+2500

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-269-313-360-333-353-333-313-271.8
Volendam+685+777+775+760+781+760+781+804.7
Draw+444+494+500+500+498+500+500+531.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax------271.8
Volendam-----+804.7
Draw-----+531.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Volendam: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Volendam: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Volendam: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from -337 to -353
Volendam ML moved from +750 to +725

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+117o3½+104o3½-102o3½+100o3½-101o3½+100o3½+104o3½+109
Underu3½-137u3½-122u3½-118u3½-120u3½-119u3½-120u3½-118u3½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+109
Under-----u3½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.8%
 
No49.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.79%
Exactly 222.12%
Exactly 417.01%
Exactly 65.23%
Exactly 80.86%
 
Exactly 114.57%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.33%
Exactly 72.27%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 011.19%
Exactly 124.51%
Exactly 226.84%
Exactly 319.59%
Exactly 410.73%
Exactly 54.70%
Exactly 61.72%
Exactly 70.54%
Exactly 80.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Volendam
Exactly 042.85%
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 215.39%
Exactly 34.35%
Exactly 40.92%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.50%
Exactly 224.23%
Exactly 43.99%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.46%
Exactly 311.36%
Exactly 51.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 036.28%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.65%
Exactly 36.30%
Exactly 41.60%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Volendam
Exactly 067.54%
Exactly 126.50%
Exactly 25.20%
Exactly 30.68%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals44.20%
Wins by 3+ goals23.71%
Wins by 4+ goals10.62%
Wins by 5+ goals4.02%
Volendam
Wins by 2+ goals3.98%
Wins by 3+ goals0.91%
Wins by 4+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Volendam
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal23.77%
Wins by 2 goals20.49%
Wins by 3 goals13.09%
Wins by 4 goals6.59%
Wins by 5 goals2.73%
Volendam
Wins by 1 goal9.20%
Wins by 2 goals3.07%
Wins by 3 goals0.75%
Wins by 4 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.21%4.79%
1.580.64%19.36%
2.558.52%41.48%
3.536.12%63.88%
4.519.11%80.89%
5.58.78%91.22%
6.53.54%96.46%
7.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.81%11.19%
1.564.30%35.70%
2.537.46%62.54%
3.517.87%82.13%
4.57.14%92.86%
5.52.44%97.56%

Total Goals Volendam Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.15%42.85%
1.520.84%79.16%
2.55.45%94.55%
3.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.50%24.50%
1.541.04%58.96%
2.516.81%83.19%
3.55.45%94.55%
4.51.45%98.55%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Volendam
Score01234
0
4.79%
4.06%
1.72%
0.49%
0.10%
1
10.50%
8.90%
3.77%
1.07%
0.23%
2
11.50%
9.75%
4.13%
1.17%
0.25%
3
8.40%
7.11%
3.01%
0.85%
0.18%
4
4.60%
3.90%
1.65%
0.47%
0.10%
5
2.01%
1.71%
0.72%
0.20%
0.04%
Ajax
1-010.50%
2-011.50%
2-19.75%
3-08.40%
3-17.11%
3-23.01%
4-04.60%
4-13.90%
4-21.65%
4-30.47%
5-02.01%
5-11.71%
5-20.72%
5-30.20%
Draw
0-04.79%
1-18.90%
2-24.13%
3-30.85%
Volendam
0-14.06%
0-21.72%
1-23.77%
0-30.49%
1-31.07%
2-31.17%
0-40.10%
1-40.23%
2-40.25%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Volendam
Score0123
0
24.50%
9.61%
1.89%
0.25%
1
24.85%
9.75%
1.91%
0.25%
2
12.60%
4.94%
0.97%
0.13%
3
4.26%
1.67%
0.33%
0.04%
4
1.08%
0.42%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.22%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Ajax
1-024.85%
2-012.60%
2-14.94%
3-04.26%
3-11.67%
3-20.33%
4-01.08%
4-10.42%
5-00.22%
Draw
0-024.50%
1-19.75%
2-20.97%
Volendam
0-19.61%
0-21.89%
1-21.91%
0-30.25%
1-30.25%
2-30.13%