NAC Breda at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

NAC Breda

11.8%16.1%72.1%
WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
0.95Projected Goals 2.55
0Final Score 3

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

NAC Breda
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Fortuna Sittard
L 0-2 at Feyenoord
T 1-1 vs Willem II
L 0-3 at NEC Nijmegen
L 0-1 at Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
W 4-1 at Heracles Almelo
W 0-5 vs Excelsior
L 2-3 at Twente
W 2-1 at Heracles Almelo
W 0-3 vs NAC Breda

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda+516+424+415+380+429+380+429+404.0
NEC Nijmegen-191-165-174-161-179-161-161-142.4
Draw+353+340+325+345+335+345+345+367.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
NAC Breda-----+404.0
NEC Nijmegen------142.4
Draw-----+367.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
NAC Breda: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

NAC Breda: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

NAC Breda: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

NAC Breda: 20.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

NAC Breda ML moved from +415 to +400
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from -168 to -174

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+113o3-111o3-120o3-120o3-117o3-120o3-111o3-109
Underu3-133u3-105u3+100u3+100u3-103u3+100u3+100u3+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-109
Under-----u3+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.3%
 
No43.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.03%
Exactly 218.54%
Exactly 418.87%
Exactly 67.68%
Exactly 81.68%
Exactly 100.23%
 
Exactly 110.61%
Exactly 321.59%
Exactly 513.19%
Exactly 73.84%
Exactly 90.65%
Exact Goals Scored - NAC Breda
Exactly 038.91%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.33%
Exactly 35.45%
Exactly 41.29%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 07.80%
Exactly 119.90%
Exactly 225.38%
Exactly 321.58%
Exactly 413.76%
Exactly 57.02%
Exactly 62.99%
Exactly 71.09%
Exactly 80.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.83%
Exactly 225.96%
Exactly 45.66%
Exactly 60.49%
 
Exactly 132.08%
Exactly 314.00%
Exactly 51.83%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NAC Breda
Exactly 064.59%
Exactly 128.23%
Exactly 26.17%
Exactly 30.90%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 030.69%
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 221.41%
Exactly 38.43%
Exactly 42.49%
Exactly 50.59%
Exactly 60.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

NAC Breda
Wins by 2+ goals3.73%
Wins by 3+ goals0.91%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals50.32%
Wins by 3+ goals29.71%
Wins by 4+ goals14.86%
Wins by 5+ goals6.34%
Wins by 6+ goals2.31%
Wins by 7+ goals0.69%
Wins by 8+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
NAC Breda
Wins by 1 goal8.01%
Wins by 2 goals2.82%
Wins by 3 goals0.74%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal21.65%
Wins by 2 goals20.61%
Wins by 3 goals14.85%
Wins by 4 goals8.52%
Wins by 5 goals4.04%
Wins by 6 goals1.62%
Wins by 7 goals0.55%
Wins by 8 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.97%3.03%
1.586.36%13.64%
2.567.82%32.18%
3.546.23%53.77%
4.527.36%72.64%
5.514.17%85.83%
6.56.49%93.51%
7.52.65%97.35%

Total Goals NAC Breda Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.09%38.91%
1.524.36%75.64%
2.57.03%92.97%
3.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.20%7.80%
1.572.30%27.70%
2.546.92%53.08%
3.525.34%74.66%
4.511.57%88.43%
5.54.55%95.45%
6.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.17%19.83%
1.548.09%51.91%
2.522.14%77.86%
3.58.13%91.87%
4.52.47%97.53%

Score Props

Correct Score

NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
3.03%
7.74%
9.88%
8.40%
5.36%
2.73%
1
2.86%
7.31%
9.32%
7.93%
5.06%
2.58%
2
1.35%
3.45%
4.40%
3.74%
2.39%
1.22%
3
0.43%
1.09%
1.38%
1.18%
0.75%
0.38%
4
0.10%
0.26%
0.33%
0.28%
0.18%
0.09%
NAC Breda
1-02.86%
2-01.35%
2-13.45%
3-00.43%
3-11.09%
3-21.38%
4-00.10%
4-10.26%
4-20.33%
4-30.28%
Draw
0-03.03%
1-17.31%
2-24.40%
3-31.18%
4-40.18%
NEC Nijmegen
0-17.74%
0-29.88%
1-29.32%
0-38.40%
1-37.93%
2-33.74%
0-45.36%
1-45.06%
2-42.39%
3-40.75%
0-52.73%
1-52.58%
2-51.22%
3-50.38%

Correct Score - First Half

NAC Breda
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
19.83%
23.42%
13.83%
5.44%
1.61%
0.38%
1
8.66%
10.23%
6.04%
2.38%
0.70%
0.17%
2
1.89%
2.24%
1.32%
0.52%
0.15%
0.04%
3
0.28%
0.33%
0.19%
0.08%
0.02%
0.01%
NAC Breda
1-08.66%
2-01.89%
2-12.24%
3-00.28%
3-10.33%
3-20.19%
Draw
0-019.83%
1-110.23%
2-21.32%
NEC Nijmegen
0-123.42%
0-213.83%
1-26.04%
0-35.44%
1-32.38%
2-30.52%
0-41.61%
1-40.70%
2-40.15%
0-50.38%
1-50.17%
Twente at Heerenveen
Excelsior at Utrecht