Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated 15 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/04/2025 06:00 PM	Willem II Heerenveen	17.5% 61.7%	20.7%	+540 -188	1 3	-0.46622	-0.48263
04/02/2025 06:00 PM	Groningen Feyenoord	8.9% 76.0%	15.2%	+735 -241	1 4	-0.38302	-0.27469
04/01/2025 06:00 PM	RKC Waalwijk AZ Alkmaar	5.8% 82.7%	11.5%	+1114 -418	2 2	-1.93996	-2.16387
03/30/2025 02:45 PM	Go Ahead Eagles Feyenoord	13.8% 67.7%	18.5%	+589 -223	2 3	-0.40161	-0.39014
03/30/2025 12:30 PM	Twente Heracles Almelo	54.0% 22.5%	23.5%	-111 +306	1 2	-1.44084	-1.49014
03/30/2025 12:30 PM	Ajax PSV Eindhoven	12.7% 70.4%	16.9%	+457 -180	2 0	-1.75198	-2.06058
03/30/2025 10:15 AM	Heerenveen Utrecht	14.7% 66.4%	18.9%	+322 -111	0 2	-0.67160	-0.40971
03/29/2025 08:00 PM	AZ Alkmaar NEC Nijmegen	40.6% 32.3%	27.1%	-105 +307	3 3	-1.31599	-1.30593
03/29/2025 08:00 PM	RKC Waalwijk Zwolle	19.1% 59.0%	22.0%	+256 +106	0 2	-0.75656	-0.52836
03/29/2025 05:45 PM	Almere City Willem II	19.7% 56.9%	23.3%	+178 +167	2 0	-1.06083	-1.62354
03/29/2025 05:45 PM	Sparta Rotterdam Fortuna Sittard	30.7% 43.2%	26.0%	+148 +197	3 0	-0.94768	-1.17977
03/29/2025 03:30 PM	Groningen NAC Breda	29.6% 45.9%	24.5%	+161 +193	1 1	-1.21244	-1.40711
03/16/2025 03:45 PM	AZ Alkmaar Ajax	19.8% 58.6%	21.6%	+296 -105	2 2	-1.33272	-1.53280
03/16/2025 01:30 PM	Feyenoord Twente	31.9% 41.9%	26.2%	+187 +151	6 2	-1.09035	-1.14153
03/16/2025 01:30 PM	Fortuna Sittard Groningen	26.7% 47.7%	25.6%	+342 -106	0 1	-0.69876	-0.74049
03/16/2025 11:15 AM	Willem II Go Ahead Eagles	15.9% 63.9%	20.1%	+639 -209	0 1	-0.42727	-0.44718

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.