Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Utrecht
Heracles Almelo 		51.2%
24.8%		24.0%
+105
+260

1.69
1.11		2.80
o2¾+102
u2¾-122

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Almere City
Groningen		20.5%
55.0%		24.5%
+334
-108

0
0		-1.27504-1.40752
Utrecht
Feyenoord		9.9%
74.8%		15.3%
+697
-266

2
1		-2.11478-2.31638
Willem II
Twente		9.8%
74.4%		15.8%
+962
-307

2
6		-0.31843-0.29574
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven		8.9%
77.1%		14.0%
+608
-240

2
2		-1.68729-1.96804
NEC Nijmegen
Zwolle		36.2%
35.9%		27.9%
+140
+206

1
0		-0.91489-1.01597
RKC Waalwijk
Ajax		3.9%
87.5%		8.6%
+1737
-785

1
2		-0.15909-0.13338
Sparta Rotterdam
Heracles Almelo		34.6%
38.2%		27.2%
+125
+240

1
1		-1.24112-1.30173
Go Ahead Eagles
Fortuna Sittard		34.5%
38.5%		26.9%
+141
+205

3
0		-0.91339-1.06354
NEC Nijmegen
Willem II		32.9%
39.7%		27.3%
+119
+255
+115
+245
1
4		-1.30225-1.29048-0.92281
Fortuna Sittard
Utrecht		19.7%
58.6%		21.7%
+578
-192
+630
-205
5
2		-1.95348-2.03953-1.62445
Feyenoord
PSV Eindhoven		16.9%
63.4%		19.7%
+380
-155
+395
-160
0
3		-0.53647-0.53686-0.45538
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam		58.8%
19.1%		22.1%
-123
+347
-160
+435
2
0		-0.61995-0.53649-0.53123
Twente
AZ Alkmaar		34.3%
38.8%		26.9%
+275
+110
+230
+110
0
1		-0.78078-0.79025-0.94626
Heerenveen
Almere City		35.0%
36.3%		28.7%
+147
+195
+125
+225
0
3		-1.12159-1.22806-1.01459
NAC Breda
Go Ahead Eagles		23.8%
54.2%		22.0%
+510
-183
+500
-190
1
2		-0.46354-0.47329-0.61269
Zwolle
RKC Waalwijk		34.5%
38.0%		27.4%
+152
+177
+150
+175
1
1		-1.31796-1.29048-1.29310
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.