Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Utrecht
Heracles Almelo 		51.2%
24.8%		24.0%
-119
+300

1.69
1.11		2.80
o2¾-101
u2¾-118

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
AZ Alkmaar
NAC Breda		50.6%
26.5%		22.9%
+111
+256
+100
+280
2
1		-0.78257-0.74087-0.68136
Almere City
Ajax		5.0%
83.8%		11.1%
+1343
-546
+1500
-700
0
3		-0.20528-0.18402-0.17625
Groningen
Twente		8.2%
76.9%		14.9%
+797
-280
+950
-320
0
2		-0.34172-0.32379-0.26283
Sparta Rotterdam
NEC Nijmegen		26.4%
47.6%		26.0%
+247
+117
+250
+115
1
1		-1.27859-1.24639-1.34788
Go Ahead Eagles
Utrecht		18.8%
59.6%		21.6%
+268
+108
+260
-105
3
3		-1.28612-1.38677-1.53211
Heracles Almelo
Feyenoord		3.7%
87.7%		8.6%
+1727
-676
+1400
-600
2
5		-0.17475-0.20332-0.13141
RKC Waalwijk
Fortuna Sittard		13.9%
67.4%		18.7%
+411
-147
+415
-150
2
3		-0.55839-0.56017-0.39392
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen		76.7%
9.0%		14.3%
-400
+1028
-410
+850
0
1		-2.45819-2.30209-2.41318
Utrecht
Almere City		47.4%
26.7%		25.8%
-135
+377
-140
+360
3
1		-0.59214-0.58848-0.74651
Heerenveen
Willem II		36.7%
35.8%		27.5%
+242
+129
+250
+125
2
1		-1.26944-1.30416-1.00365
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar		37.5%
35.6%		26.9%
+160
+168
+160
+160
1
2		-1.02223-1.00518-1.03375
Zwolle
Groningen		18.0%
59.7%		22.3%
+296
+104
+290
+100
0
0		-1.25576-1.28359-1.50144
Fortuna Sittard
Heracles Almelo		40.4%
32.9%		26.7%
+253
+121
+225
+130
2
2		-1.23629-1.22758-1.32039
Feyenoord
RKC Waalwijk		76.2%
9.0%		14.8%
-426
+1103
-480
+1125
3
2		-0.24810-0.24001-0.27149
NAC Breda
Sparta Rotterdam		19.9%
59.4%		20.7%
+391
-130
+315
-115
2
0		-1.62969-1.47534-1.61415
NEC Nijmegen
Go Ahead Eagles		24.6%
50.4%		25.0%
+274
+102
+275
-105
0
5		-0.73886-0.72054-0.68603
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.