Ajax at PSV Eindhoven

Updated

Ajax

12.7%16.9%70.4%
WinDrawPSV Eindhoven Win
0.96Projected Goals 2.47
2Final Score 0

PSV Eindhoven

Last 5 Games

Ajax
Money Line
T 2-2 vs AZ Alkmaar
W 1-0 at Zwolle
W 1-0 at Almere City
W 0-2 vs Go Ahead Eagles
W 0-4 vs Heracles Almelo
PSV Eindhoven
Money Line
W 3-0 at RKC Waalwijk
W 1-2 vs Heerenveen
L 2-3 at Go Ahead Eagles
T 2-2 vs Utrecht
T 1-1 vs Willem II

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+358+450+440+420+457+420+457+451.3
PSV Eindhoven-142-180-200-190-200-190-180-161.7
Draw+327+364+370+370+368+370+370+398.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax-----+451.3
PSV Eindhoven------161.7
Draw-----+398.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
PSV Eindhoven: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Ajax: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 10.0%
PSV Eindhoven: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +430 to +420
PSV Eindhoven ML moved from -190 to -200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-124o3½+112o3¼-115o3¼-125o3¼-118o3¼-125o3¼-115o3¼-114
Underu3+106u3½-132u3¼-105u3¼+105u3¼-102u3¼+105u3¼+105u3¼+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼-114
Under-----u3¼+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.6%
 
No43.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.23%
Exactly 219.03%
Exactly 418.69%
Exactly 67.34%
Exactly 81.54%
Exactly 100.20%
 
Exactly 111.09%
Exactly 321.78%
Exactly 512.83%
Exactly 73.60%
Exactly 90.59%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 038.22%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.68%
Exactly 35.67%
Exactly 41.36%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 08.46%
Exactly 120.89%
Exactly 225.80%
Exactly 321.25%
Exactly 413.12%
Exactly 56.48%
Exactly 62.67%
Exactly 70.94%
Exactly 80.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.41%
Exactly 225.77%
Exactly 45.42%
Exactly 60.46%
 
Exactly 132.43%
Exactly 313.65%
Exactly 51.72%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 064.06%
Exactly 128.53%
Exactly 26.35%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - PSV Eindhoven
Exactly 031.86%
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 220.84%
Exactly 37.95%
Exactly 42.27%
Exactly 50.52%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals4.11%
Wins by 3+ goals1.02%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 2+ goals48.22%
Wins by 3+ goals27.82%
Wins by 4+ goals13.56%
Wins by 5+ goals5.64%
Wins by 6+ goals2.00%
Wins by 7+ goals0.58%
Wins by 8+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal8.59%
Wins by 2 goals3.09%
Wins by 3 goals0.83%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%
PSV Eindhoven
Wins by 1 goal22.06%
Wins by 2 goals20.40%
Wins by 3 goals14.25%
Wins by 4 goals7.93%
Wins by 5 goals3.64%
Wins by 6 goals1.42%
Wins by 7 goals0.47%
Wins by 8 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.77%3.23%
1.585.68%14.32%
2.566.64%33.36%
3.544.87%55.13%
4.526.18%73.82%
5.513.36%86.64%
6.56.02%93.98%
7.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.78%38.22%
1.525.02%74.98%
2.57.34%92.66%
3.51.67%98.33%

Total Goals PSV Eindhoven Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.54%8.46%
1.570.66%29.34%
2.544.86%55.14%
3.523.61%76.39%
4.510.49%89.51%
5.54.01%95.99%
6.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.59%20.41%
1.547.15%52.85%
2.521.38%78.62%
3.57.73%92.27%
4.52.31%97.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
Score012345
0
3.23%
7.98%
9.86%
8.12%
5.01%
2.48%
1
3.11%
7.68%
9.48%
7.81%
4.82%
2.38%
2
1.49%
3.69%
4.56%
3.76%
2.32%
1.15%
3
0.48%
1.18%
1.46%
1.20%
0.74%
0.37%
4
0.12%
0.28%
0.35%
0.29%
0.18%
0.09%
Ajax
1-03.11%
2-01.49%
2-13.69%
3-00.48%
3-11.18%
3-21.46%
4-00.12%
4-10.28%
4-20.35%
4-30.29%
Draw
0-03.23%
1-17.68%
2-24.56%
3-31.20%
4-40.18%
PSV Eindhoven
0-17.98%
0-29.86%
1-29.48%
0-38.12%
1-37.81%
2-33.76%
0-45.01%
1-44.82%
2-42.32%
3-40.74%
0-52.48%
1-52.38%
2-51.15%
3-50.37%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
Score012345
0
20.41%
23.35%
13.35%
5.09%
1.46%
0.33%
1
9.09%
10.40%
5.95%
2.27%
0.65%
0.15%
2
2.02%
2.31%
1.32%
0.50%
0.14%
0.03%
3
0.30%
0.34%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Ajax
1-09.09%
2-02.02%
2-12.31%
3-00.30%
3-10.34%
3-20.20%
Draw
0-020.41%
1-110.40%
2-21.32%
PSV Eindhoven
0-123.35%
0-213.35%
1-25.95%
0-35.09%
1-32.27%
2-30.50%
0-41.46%
1-40.65%
2-40.14%
0-50.33%
1-50.15%
Heerenveen at Utrecht
Twente at Heracles Almelo