Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 7, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Ajax
Groningen 		40.5%
32.7%		26.8%
+144
+175

1.34
1.17		2.51
o2¾-123
u3-125

AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven 		14.4%
67.4%		18.2%
+650
-270

0.97
2.32		3.29
o3½-118
u3¾-126

Heerenveen
Excelsior 		41.4%
31.4%		27.2%
+137
+195

1.33
1.12		2.45
o2¾-121
u2¾+102

Games for Mar 6, 2026
Games for Mar 8, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Volendam
Vitesse		16.1%
62.6%		21.3%
+475
-168
+430
-165
1
1		-1.48417-1.47412-1.54618
Utrecht
Twente		14.7%
66.0%		19.3%
+400
-145
+395
-150
1
0		-1.64512-1.65010-1.91807
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen		21.6%
55.2%		23.3%
+302
-103
+280
-110
2
0		-1.41663-1.38390-1.53363
Almere City
Zwolle		26.0%
47.7%		26.2%
+236
+125
+255
+115
1
0		-1.24337-1.31557-1.34557
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam		12.7%
68.1%		19.2%
+300
-103
+315
-115
2
4		-0.70577-0.67433-0.38422
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard		52.2%
24.1%		23.7%
-119
+403
-120
+375
2
1		-0.63667-0.65502-0.64936
Heracles Almelo
PSV Eindhoven		3.7%
88.1%		8.2%
+2373
-1200
+2000
-1350
0
2		-0.11769-0.12285-0.12705
Sparta Rotterdam
Feyenoord		6.0%
82.4%		11.6%
+1205
-448
+1050
-460
0
2		-0.23399-0.24669-0.19334
PSV Eindhoven
Volendam		84.4%
5.1%		10.6%
-817
+2200
-1000
+1900
5
1		-0.14009-0.14410-0.16988
Fortuna Sittard
Utrecht		21.1%
56.7%		22.3%
+462
-147
+410
-145
0
4		-0.54675-0.57433-0.56826
Ajax
Heerenveen		47.9%
26.9%		25.2%
-108
+261
-120
+265
2
3		-1.31052-1.34542-1.31286
Zwolle
Go Ahead Eagles		20.9%
56.1%		23.0%
+348
-130
+345
-140
1
1		-1.44282-1.46162-1.46902
Vitesse
Heracles Almelo		26.5%
48.1%		25.3%
+231
+125
+240
+110
2
3		-0.83880-0.79264-0.73106
AZ Alkmaar
Almere City		59.9%
17.9%		22.2%
-140
+432
-140
+385
0
0		-1.35305-1.39614-1.50436
Twente
Excelsior		65.9%
14.0%		20.1%
-150
+465
-160
+450
3
0		-0.53208-0.53464-0.41740
NEC Nijmegen
RKC Waalwijk		29.0%
44.4%		26.6%
+131
+216
+130
+195
0
2		-1.18035-1.13206-0.81274
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.28017 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (1.000)1 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.42591
-0.14574

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.