Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Volendam
Excelsior		13.6%
65.6%		20.7%
+375
-138
+345
-140
0
4		-0.56927-0.58684-0.42108
Utrecht
Heerenveen		25.8%
49.5%		24.6%
+200
+151
+170
+160
3
2		-1.12083-1.04120-1.35429
RKC Waalwijk
Volendam		51.2%
23.6%		25.1%
+103
+251
-105
+255
2
3		-1.28899-1.31602-1.44270
Almere City
Go Ahead Eagles		24.1%
50.6%		25.3%
+413
-143
+380
-150
1
1		-1.42483-1.46192-1.37476
Ajax
Feyenoord		15.2%
65.3%		19.5%
+659
-259
+650
-255
0
6		-0.36091-0.38312-0.42549
NEC Nijmegen
Vitesse		34.5%
37.7%		27.8%
+133
+200
+130
+190
3
0		-0.87743-0.88511-1.06302
Fortuna Sittard
Twente		12.6%
69.7%		17.7%
+700
-241
+660
-245
0
2		-0.38229-0.39322-0.36080
Excelsior
Zwolle		21.8%
53.7%		24.5%
+293
-101
+275
-105
1
2		-0.71362-0.71701-0.62239
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven		13.1%
69.5%		17.4%
+610
-233
+600
-240
1
5		-0.39496-0.39978-0.36426
Heracles Almelo
Sparta Rotterdam		19.6%
57.4%		23.0%
+396
-141
+410
-170
2
1		-1.62811-1.68088-1.62796
Go Ahead Eagles
Ajax		9.2%
75.7%		15.0%
+450
-163
+430
-175
1
1		-1.53628-1.54150-1.89459
Almere City
RKC Waalwijk		28.4%
44.6%		27.0%
+256
+110
+250
+110
0
0		-1.30089-1.28884-1.31100
Feyenoord
Volendam		87.0%
3.8%		9.2%
-909
+2046
-900
+1800
0
0		-2.51220-2.38065-2.39021
Twente
Heerenveen		40.7%
32.3%		27.0%
-116
+324
-105
+275
3
3		-1.39562-1.35631-1.30930
Zwolle
Utrecht		15.5%
64.7%		19.8%
+630
-220
+600
-230
1
5		-0.40741-0.41015-0.43575
AZ Alkmaar
Heracles Almelo		60.0%
18.3%		21.7%
-215
+690
-225
+600
0
5		-2.08586-1.99709-1.69690
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.