Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 6, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Utrecht
Heracles Almelo 		51.2%
24.8%		24.0%
-102
+260

1.69
1.11		2.80
o2¾+102
u2¾-122

Games for Mar 5, 2026
Games for Mar 7, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Fortuna Sittard
Groningen		13.7%
67.1%		19.2%
+575
-185

2
1		-1.94156-1.98858
AZ Alkmaar
Telstar		57.1%
19.5%		23.4%
+114
+232

1
0		-0.79884-0.56024
Excelsior
Twente		12.3%
68.8%		18.8%
+1000
-357

0
0		-1.86414-1.66871
NAC Breda
PSV Eindhoven		4.3%
87.8%		8.0%
+675
-270

2
2		-1.78135-2.53187
Zwolle
NEC Nijmegen		9.4%
74.8%		15.8%
+525
-200

1
2		-0.43779-0.29047
Volendam
Ajax		5.2%
83.9%		10.9%
+800
-333

0
2		-0.30197-0.17529
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar		9.4%
74.5%		16.0%
+744
-296

1
1		-1.75290-1.83040
Sparta Rotterdam
Feyenoord		11.2%
72.9%		15.8%
+420
-213

4
3		-1.72873-2.18899
Twente
Heracles Almelo		57.0%
19.6%		23.3%
-204
+530

2
0		-0.44961-0.56151
Utrecht
Volendam		60.0%
18.4%		21.6%
-119
+315

1
2		-1.47285-1.69206
Groningen
Heerenveen		27.3%
47.6%		25.1%
+285
-102

2
0		-1.39340-1.29781
NEC Nijmegen
NAC Breda		48.4%
27.6%		24.0%
+169
+150

4
3		-1.03787-0.72472
Telstar
Excelsior		23.1%
50.2%		26.7%
+215
+126

2
2		-1.29740-1.32054
PSV Eindhoven
Fortuna Sittard		77.0%
9.0%		14.0%
-169
+405

2
1		-0.50984-0.26099
AZ Alkmaar
Zwolle		63.0%
16.7%		20.2%
-198
+450

1
3		-1.76422-1.78850
Go Ahead Eagles
Ajax		13.7%
68.0%		18.3%
+400
-158

2
2		-1.46577-1.69887
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.