Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 3, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Go Ahead Eagles
Fortuna Sittard 		23.1%
53.5%		23.4%
+182
+150
+170
+145
1.07
1.77		2.84
o2½-139
u2¾-107

Heerenveen
Almere City 		39.8%
32.2%		28.0%
+150
+187
+145
+180
1.25
1.09		2.34
o2¾-101
u2¾-115

Games for May 2, 2024
Games for May 5, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
AZ Alkmaar
Volendam		79.5%
7.0%		13.5%
-463
+1223
-575
+1400
4
0		-0.22955-0.21089-0.22987
Almere City
Vitesse		29.2%
44.0%		26.8%
+242
+127
+240
+120
1
1		-1.22496-1.24434-1.31610
RKC Waalwijk
Excelsior		34.5%
37.1%		28.4%
+193
+145
+210
+125
1
1		-1.28732-1.30416-1.25811
Zwolle
Fortuna Sittard		20.0%
57.8%		22.2%
+369
-130
+380
-140
1
3		-0.60164-0.58913-0.54792
Go Ahead Eagles
Heracles Almelo		31.9%
41.3%		26.8%
+125
+219
+125
+210
0
2		-1.18925-1.18280-0.88424
Heracles Almelo
Feyenoord		4.0%
86.8%		9.2%
+2294
-996
+2200
-1400
0
3		-0.11998-0.11863-0.14183
Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen		30.7%
42.0%		27.2%
+248
+113
+245
+105
0
2		-0.78148-0.76819-0.86683
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax		9.6%
75.2%		15.2%
+530
-181
+490
-190
2
2		-1.50238-1.53225-1.88710
Volendam
Zwolle		10.9%
71.5%		17.6%
+585
-215
+600
-230
1
1		-1.64558-1.59879-1.73591
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar		6.0%
81.6%		12.3%
+1200
-424
+1000
-410
0
4		-0.24332-0.26808-0.20284
Vitesse
RKC Waalwijk		23.5%
52.6%		23.9%
+225
+129
+220
+120
1
3		-0.85583-0.83605-0.64323
Utrecht
Almere City		35.4%
36.5%		28.2%
+116
+267
+110
+280
1
1		-1.22953-1.21372-1.26674
Sparta Rotterdam
Twente		12.8%
68.8%		18.4%
+700
-242
+675
-260
1
2		-0.37796-0.37541-0.37437
PSV Eindhoven
Go Ahead Eagles		72.9%
11.1%		16.0%
-237
+610
-245
+570
1
0		-0.38259-0.39270-0.31664
Almere City
Heracles Almelo		29.1%
43.3%		27.5%
+181
+165
+165
+175
2
2		-1.22738-1.22622-1.29011
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard		16.3%
62.7%		21.1%
+321
-114
+315
-115
2
5		-0.66670-0.67433-0.46700
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.