Netherlands Eredivisie Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Feyenoord
Volendam		64.1%
16.3%		19.6%
-204
+540

0
0		-1.60360-1.62893
Heracles Almelo
Heerenveen		19.1%
60.2%		20.7%
+520
-208

1
4		-0.42474-0.50830
Zwolle
Go Ahead Eagles		25.6%
51.8%		22.6%
+300
-121

0
5		-0.64879-0.65747
Twente
Ajax		32.9%
41.6%		25.5%
+192
+136

2
1		-1.09718-1.11179
NEC Nijmegen
Excelsior		45.6%
27.0%		27.4%
-111
+280

2
0		-0.67491-0.78496
Fortuna Sittard
AZ Alkmaar		11.4%
72.9%		15.6%
+780
-303

0
2		-0.31686-0.31568
Groningen
Telstar		36.0%
34.6%		29.3%
+154
+174

2
0		-0.96069-1.02026
Utrecht
PSV Eindhoven		15.9%
65.6%		18.5%
+620
-218

3
4		-0.40979-0.42085
PSV Eindhoven
Telstar		64.7%
15.8%		19.4%
-192
+430

1
3		-1.70375-1.84326
AZ Alkmaar
Groningen		35.7%
37.0%		27.3%
+131
+200

0
3		-1.12760-0.99331
Go Ahead Eagles
Utrecht		19.4%
59.3%		21.2%
+450
-143

0
2		-0.56312-0.52216
Ajax
Feyenoord		28.5%
47.9%		23.6%
+270
-111

1
1		-1.45047-1.44333
Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen		22.9%
53.0%		24.1%
+345
-143

2
2		-1.54759-1.42346
NAC Breda
Zwolle		32.2%
43.4%		24.3%
+208
+134

1
2		-0.88719-0.83377
Volendam
Sparta Rotterdam		16.5%
63.1%		20.4%
+550
-208

0
2		-0.42731-0.46080
Twente
Fortuna Sittard		60.8%
18.1%		21.0%
-189
+500

2
1		-0.45755-0.49705
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

While the regular season for the Eredivisie of the Netherlands is rather standard, the league has a rather unique end of season set up. The league consists of 18 teams that play a home-and-home series against every other team in the league to create a 34 game season. At the end of the regular season, the top four teams qualify for either the Champions League or Europa League. The fifth through eighth place teams then go into a playoff to determine who wins the last Europa league qualification spot. Relegation is just as interesting. The team at the bottom of the league is automatically relegated, while the teams seeded at fifteen and sixteen join a playoff that includes eight teams from the second division. The top two teams at the end of this playoff win entry into the top division.