Fortuna Sittard at NEC Nijmegen

Updated

Fortuna Sittard

10.0%16.2%73.8%
WinDrawNEC Nijmegen Win
0.77Projected Goals 2.42
3Final Score 2

NEC Nijmegen

Last 5 Games

Fortuna Sittard
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Excelsior
L 1-4 at Ajax
T 2-2 vs Sparta Rotterdam
L 1-2 at Heracles Almelo
W 2-1 at Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
Money Line
T 1-1 at Ajax
L 3-1 vs Utrecht
W 1-4 vs Heracles Almelo
W 3-1 at AZ Alkmaar
W 1-2 vs Zwolle

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard+500-+550+525+575+575+575+600.9
NEC Nijmegen-235--250-222-233-233-233-206.6
Draw+400-+410+425+425+425+425+445.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fortuna Sittard-----+600.9
NEC Nijmegen------206.6
Draw-----+445.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fortuna Sittard: 0.0%
NEC Nijmegen: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fortuna Sittard ML moved from +550 to +525
NEC Nijmegen ML moved from -222 to -233

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-112-o3½+102o3¼-120o3¼-120o3¼-120o3¼-120o3¼-109
Underu3¼-108-u3½-122u3¼+100u3¼+100u3¼+100u3½-122u3¼+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼-109
Under-----u3¼+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.0%
 
No51.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.11%
Exactly 220.94%
Exactly 417.77%
Exactly 66.03%
Exactly 81.10%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.12%
Exactly 322.27%
Exactly 511.34%
Exactly 72.75%
Exactly 90.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 046.24%
Exactly 135.67%
Exactly 213.76%
Exactly 33.54%
Exactly 40.68%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 08.89%
Exactly 121.52%
Exactly 226.04%
Exactly 321.00%
Exactly 412.71%
Exactly 56.15%
Exactly 62.48%
Exactly 70.86%
Exactly 80.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.82%
Exactly 224.91%
Exactly 44.53%
Exactly 60.33%
 
Exactly 133.72%
Exactly 312.27%
Exactly 51.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortuna Sittard
Exactly 069.97%
Exactly 124.99%
Exactly 24.46%
Exactly 30.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - NEC Nijmegen
Exactly 032.61%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 220.47%
Exactly 37.65%
Exactly 42.14%
Exactly 50.48%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 2+ goals2.77%
Wins by 3+ goals0.58%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 2+ goals51.09%
Wins by 3+ goals29.58%
Wins by 4+ goals14.40%
Wins by 5+ goals5.95%
Wins by 6+ goals2.10%
Wins by 7+ goals0.61%
Wins by 8+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Fortuna Sittard
Wins by 1 goal7.21%
Wins by 2 goals2.18%
Wins by 3 goals0.49%
NEC Nijmegen
Wins by 1 goal22.62%
Wins by 2 goals21.51%
Wins by 3 goals15.18%
Wins by 4 goals8.44%
Wins by 5 goals3.86%
Wins by 6 goals1.49%
Wins by 7 goals0.49%
Wins by 8 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.89%4.11%
1.582.77%17.23%
2.561.83%38.17%
3.539.56%60.44%
4.521.79%78.21%
5.510.44%89.56%
6.54.41%95.59%
7.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Fortuna Sittard Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.76%46.24%
1.518.10%81.90%
2.54.34%95.66%

Total Goals NEC Nijmegen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.11%8.89%
1.569.59%30.41%
2.543.55%56.45%
3.522.55%77.45%
4.59.84%90.16%
5.53.69%96.31%
6.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.18%22.82%
1.543.47%56.53%
2.518.56%81.44%
3.56.29%93.71%
4.51.75%98.25%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
4.11%
9.95%
12.04%
9.71%
5.88%
2.84%
1
3.17%
7.68%
9.29%
7.49%
4.53%
2.19%
2
1.22%
2.96%
3.58%
2.89%
1.75%
0.85%
3
0.31%
0.76%
0.92%
0.74%
0.45%
0.22%
Fortuna Sittard
1-03.17%
2-01.22%
2-12.96%
3-00.31%
3-10.76%
3-20.92%
Draw
0-04.11%
1-17.68%
2-23.58%
3-30.74%
NEC Nijmegen
0-19.95%
0-212.04%
1-29.29%
0-39.71%
1-37.49%
2-32.89%
0-45.88%
1-44.53%
2-41.75%
3-40.45%
0-52.84%
1-52.19%
2-50.85%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen
Score012345
0
22.82%
25.57%
14.32%
5.35%
1.50%
0.34%
1
8.15%
9.13%
5.12%
1.91%
0.54%
0.12%
2
1.46%
1.63%
0.91%
0.34%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.17%
0.19%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Fortuna Sittard
1-08.15%
2-01.46%
2-11.63%
3-00.17%
3-10.19%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-022.82%
1-19.13%
2-20.91%
NEC Nijmegen
0-125.57%
0-214.32%
1-25.12%
0-35.35%
1-31.91%
2-30.34%
0-41.50%
1-40.54%
0-50.34%
1-50.12%
PSV Eindhoven at Heracles Almelo
Ajax at Zwolle