Twente at Groningen

Updated

Twente

45.3%26.5%28.2%
Twente WinDrawGroningen Win
1.43Projected Goals 1.06
1Final Score 1

Groningen

Last 5 Games

Twente
Money Line
W 0-2 vs NEC Nijmegen
W 0-2 vs RKC Waalwijk
T 3-3 at Heerenveen
T 2-2 at Go Ahead Eagles
L 1-2 at NAC Breda
Groningen
Money Line
W 3-1 at Willem II
W 1-2 vs NEC Nijmegen
L 0-1 at Sparta Rotterdam
T 1-1 at Heracles Almelo
W 0-1 vs Heerenveen

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente-115+101+100-104-102-104+101+113.9
Groningen+308+298+285+260+286+260+298+292.6
Draw+285+243+215+230+237+230+243+259.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Twente-----+113.9
Groningen-----+292.6
Draw-----+259.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Twente: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Groningen: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Twente: 0.0%
Groningen: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Twente: 0.0%
Groningen: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Twente ML moved from +103 to -106
Groningen ML moved from +279 to +273

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+120o2½+115o2¼-118o2¼-115o2¼-116o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-104
Underu3-141u2½-135u2¼-102u2¼-105u2¼-104u2¼-105u2½-135u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-104
Under-----u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.7%
 
No50.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.30%
Exactly 225.71%
Exactly 413.27%
Exactly 62.74%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.66%
Exactly 321.33%
Exactly 56.61%
Exactly 70.97%
Exact Goals Scored - Twente
Exactly 024.07%
Exactly 134.28%
Exactly 224.41%
Exactly 311.59%
Exactly 44.13%
Exactly 51.18%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Groningen
Exactly 034.49%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.54%
Exactly 36.93%
Exactly 41.85%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.59%
Exactly 220.97%
Exactly 42.32%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 38.06%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Twente
Exactly 051.71%
Exactly 134.10%
Exactly 211.25%
Exactly 32.47%
Exactly 40.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Groningen
Exactly 061.09%
Exactly 130.11%
Exactly 27.42%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Twente
Wins by 2+ goals21.85%
Wins by 3+ goals8.28%
Wins by 4+ goals2.51%
Wins by 5+ goals0.60%
Groningen
Wins by 2+ goals10.65%
Wins by 3+ goals3.07%
Wins by 4+ goals0.67%

Exact Winning Margin

Twente
Groningen
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Twente
Wins by 1 goal23.36%
Wins by 2 goals13.57%
Wins by 3 goals5.76%
Wins by 4 goals1.91%
Wins by 5 goals0.51%
Groningen
Wins by 1 goal17.46%
Wins by 2 goals7.58%
Wins by 3 goals2.40%
Wins by 4 goals0.58%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.70%8.30%
1.571.04%28.96%
2.545.33%54.67%
3.524.00%76.00%
4.510.73%89.27%
5.54.13%95.87%
6.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Twente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.93%24.07%
1.541.65%58.35%
2.517.24%82.76%
3.55.65%94.35%
4.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals Groningen Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.51%34.49%
1.528.79%71.21%
2.59.25%90.75%
3.52.32%97.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.41%31.59%
1.532.01%67.99%
2.511.03%88.97%
3.52.98%97.02%

Score Props

Correct Score

Twente
Groningen
Score01234
0
8.30%
8.84%
4.70%
1.67%
0.44%
1
11.82%
12.59%
6.70%
2.38%
0.63%
2
8.42%
8.96%
4.77%
1.69%
0.45%
3
4.00%
4.26%
2.26%
0.80%
0.21%
4
1.42%
1.52%
0.81%
0.29%
0.08%
5
0.41%
0.43%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
Twente
1-011.82%
2-08.42%
2-18.96%
3-04.00%
3-14.26%
3-22.26%
4-01.42%
4-11.52%
4-20.81%
4-30.29%
5-00.41%
5-10.43%
5-20.23%
Draw
0-08.30%
1-112.59%
2-24.77%
3-30.80%
Groningen
0-18.84%
0-24.70%
1-26.70%
0-31.67%
1-32.38%
2-31.69%
0-40.44%
1-40.63%
2-40.45%
3-40.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Twente
Groningen
Score0123
0
31.59%
15.57%
3.84%
0.63%
1
20.83%
10.27%
2.53%
0.42%
2
6.87%
3.39%
0.83%
0.14%
3
1.51%
0.74%
0.18%
0.03%
4
0.25%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Twente
1-020.83%
2-06.87%
2-13.39%
3-01.51%
3-10.74%
3-20.18%
4-00.25%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-031.59%
1-110.27%
2-20.83%
Groningen
0-115.57%
0-23.84%
1-22.53%
0-30.63%
1-30.42%
2-30.14%