Indianapolis at Buffalo

Updated
Rank12
P/G26.5
PA/G21.5
24.8%75.2%
Indianapolis WinBuffalo Win
17.8Projected Points 25.6
41Final Score 15
Rank4
P/G29.8
PA/G18.3
Rank12
P/G26.5
PA/G21.5
Rank4
P/G29.8
PA/G18.3

Quarterbacks

Carson Wentz

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.510238.0173

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
66.39289.0196

Last 5 Games

Indianapolis Colts
Money Line
W 17-23 vs Jacksonville JaguarsJAX: Trevor Lawrence • IND: Carson Wentz-450
W 30-45 vs New York JetsNYJ: Mike White • IND: Carson Wentz-470
L 34-31 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Ryan Tannehill • IND: Carson Wentz-150
W 30-18 at San Francisco 49ersIND: Carson Wentz • SF: Jimmy Garoppolo+155
W 3-31 vs Houston TexansHOU: Davis Mills • IND: Carson Wentz-550
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 45-17 at New York JetsBUF: Josh Allen • NYJ: Mike White-745
L 6-9 at Jacksonville JaguarsBUF: Josh Allen • JAX: Trevor Lawrence-1200
W 11-26 vs Miami DolphinsMIA: Tua Tagovailoa • BUF: Josh Allen-1060
L 31-34 at Tennessee TitansBUF: Josh Allen • TEN: Ryan Tannehill-250
W 38-20 at Kansas City ChiefsBUF: Josh Allen • KC: Patrick Mahomes+130

Injuries

Indianapolis Colts

Status
  • DTTyquan LewisOut for Season
  • SKhari WillisIR
  • CBXavier RhodesProbable
  • LBDarius LeonardProbable
  • DTDeForest BucknerProbable

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • LBMatt MilanoProbable
  • LBTremaine EdmundsOut
  • GJon FelicianoIR
SSW 12 mph
New Era Field, Buffalo, NY
O/U Effect
Moderate on Under
 
Temp (°F)50°49°46°43°
Humidity62%65%80%91%
Precipitation0%10%47%79%
ConditionOvercastOvercastPossible Light RainLight Rain
WindSSW 12 mphSSW 13 mphSSW 15 mphSSW 14 mph
Brad Rogers
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectModerate Over Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Indianapolis+255+245+255+245+245+245+255+263.2
Buffalo-310-290-310-290-290-290-290-263.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Indianapolis+245+250+260+245+280+250+280+263.2
Buffalo-290-300-304-290-340-300-290-263.2

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Indianapolis+7-110+7½-140+7-115+7-112+7-114+7-112+7-112+7-104
Buffalo-7-110-7½+120-7-105-7-108-7-104-7-108-7½+120-7+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Indianapolis+6½-110+7-110+7-115+7-120+7-115+7-110+7-110+7-104
Buffalo-6½-110-7-110-7-105-7+100-7-105-7-110-7+100-7+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Indianapolis: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Indianapolis: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Indianapolis: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Indianapolis: 0.0%
Buffalo: 20.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Indianapolis Spread moved from +7½-130 to +7½-140
Buffalo Spread moved from -7½+110 to -7½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Indianapolis: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Indianapolis: 0.0%
Buffalo: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Indianapolis: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Indianapolis: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Indianapolis Spread moved from +7-105 to +7-115
Buffalo Spread moved from -7-110 to -7½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo50-110o49½-110o49-110o49-113o49-112o49-113o49-110o49½+104
Underu50-110u49½-110u49-110u49-107u49-106u49-107u49½-110u49½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest LineConsensus

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo51-110o50-110o49-110o50-110o49½-110o49½-110o49-110o49½+104
Underu51-110u50-110u49-110u50-110u49½-110u49½-110u50-110u49½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o49-110 to o49½-110
The Under moved from u49-104 to u49-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o49½-110 to o50-110
The Under moved from u50-110 to u49½-110