Buffalo at Kansas City

Updated

Buffalo Bills

(12-7)
Rank4
P/G26.6
PA/G18.7
48.3%51.7%
Buffalo WinKansas City Win
25.0Projected Points 25.7
24Final Score 20

Kansas City Chiefs

(15-6)
Rank3
P/G22.2
PA/G17.0
Rank4
P/G26.6
PA/G18.7
Rank3
P/G22.2
PA/G17.0

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
75.42307.072

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
73.02298.070

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 3-38 vs Pittsburgh SteelersPIT: Unknown • BUF: Josh Allen-850
W 23-20 at Baltimore RavensBUF: Josh Allen • BAL: Lamar Jackson-160
L 19-21 at Miami DolphinsBUF: Josh Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-200
W 7-41 vs Tennessee TitansTEN: Ryan Tannehill • BUF: Josh Allen-430
W 31-10 at Los Angeles RamsBUF: Josh Allen • LAR: Matthew Stafford-125
Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
W 29-30 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Derek Carr • KC: Patrick Mahomes-320
W 41-31 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersKC: Patrick Mahomes • TB: Tom Brady+115
L 17-20 at Indianapolis ColtsKC: Patrick Mahomes • IND: Matt Ryan-210
W 24-27 vs Los Angeles ChargersLAC: Justin Herbert • KC: Patrick Mahomes-200
W 44-21 at Arizona CardinalsKC: Patrick Mahomes • ARI: Kyler Murray-250

Injuries

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • WRJamison CrowderIR
  • WRIsaiah McKenzieProbable
  • TEDawson KnoxProbable
  • WRJake KumerowOut
  • TTommy DoyleOut for Season
  • LBTremaine EdmundsProbable
  • SMicah HydeIR
  • SJordan PoyerProbable
  • CBChristian BenfordProbable
  • RBTaiwan JonesProbable

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • DEFrank ClarkProbable
  • SBryan CookOut
  • DTTershawn WhartonOut
  • KHarrison ButkerProbable
  • LBWillie Gay Jr.Out
  • DEMike DannaProbable
  • CBRashad FentonOut
NW 14 mph
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
O/U Effect
Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)66°65°64°62°
Humidity32%36%37%39%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionClearPartly CloudyPartly CloudyClear
WindNW 14 mphNW 15 mphNW 14 mphNNW 12 mph
Brad Allen
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-5.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-110-155-150-152-110-152-110-138.0
Kansas City-110+135+130+132-110+132+135+138.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-130-160-150-150-155-150-150-138.0
Kansas City+110+140+131+130+135+130+140+138.0

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-4.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+0-108-2½-118-3+100-2½-113+0-109-2½-113+0-109-2½-114
Kansas City+0-108+2½+102+3-120+2½-107+0-109+2½-107+2½+102+2½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-2½-110-2½-110-2½-120-3+100-2½-119-2½-120-2½-110-2½-114
Kansas City+2½-110+2½-110+2½+100+3-120+2½-101+2½+100+2½+100+2½+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Buffalo: 50.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 60.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from +0-110 to -2-110
Kansas City Spread moved from +2½+100 to +2½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Buffalo: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 10.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from -2-110 to -3-110
Kansas City Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo53½-108o54½-108o54-110o54-110o53½-109o54-110o53½-109o54+100
Underu53½-108u54½-108u54-110u54-110u53½-109u54-110u54½-108u54+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo54-110o54½-110o54-110o54-110o55-110o54½-110o54-110o54+100
Underu54-110u54½-110u54-110u54-110u55-110u54½-110u55-110u54+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o54-110 to o54-113
The Under moved from u54-107 to u54-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Under: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o54½-110 to o55-110
The Under moved from u54½-110 to u54-110
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