Buffalo at New England

Updated
Rank7
P/G28.3
PA/G22.2
50.0%50.0%
Buffalo WinNew England Win
24.4Projected Points 24.4
35Final Score 31
Rank3
P/G26.5
PA/G17.9
Rank7
P/G28.3
PA/G22.2
Rank3
P/G26.5
PA/G17.9

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
70.113237.02210

Drake Maye

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
71.513262.0236

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 34-39 vs Cincinnati BengalsCIN: Joe Burrow • BUF: Josh Allen-260
W 26-7 at Pittsburgh SteelersBUF: Josh Allen • PIT: Mason Rudolph-160
L 19-23 at Houston TexansBUF: Josh Allen • HOU: Davis Mills-235
W 32-44 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Baker Mayfield • BUF: Josh Allen-295
L 13-30 at Miami DolphinsBUF: Josh Allen • MIA: Tua Tagovailoa-420
New England Patriots
Money Line
W 15-33 vs New York GiantsNYG: Jaxson Dart • NE: Drake Maye-360
W 26-20 at Cincinnati BengalsNE: Drake Maye • CIN: Joe Flacco-350
W 14-27 vs New York JetsNYJ: Justin Fields • NE: Drake Maye-680
W 28-23 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersNE: Drake Maye • TB: Baker Mayfield+145
W 23-24 vs Atlanta FalconsATL: Kirk Cousins • NE: Drake Maye-240

Injuries

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • WRJoshua PalmerProbable
  • DEJoey BosaProbable
  • WRMecole HardmanIR
  • TSpencer BrownProbable
  • QBMitch TrubiskyProbable
  • WRCurtis SamuelIR
  • CBChristian BenfordOut
  • LBTerrel BernardOut

New England Patriots

Status
  • CJared WilsonProbable
  • TVederian LoweProbable
  • RBTerrell JenningsIR
  • LBRobert SpillaneProbable
  • DEMilton WilliamsIR
  • DBBrenden SchoolerProbable
  • TWill CampbellIR
  • LBHarold Landry IIIProbable
  • DLKhyiris TongaProbable
NW 7 mph
Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)32°31°31°30°
Humidity85%84%82%80%
Precipitation98%99%0%0%
ConditionWintry MixSnowCloudyCloudy
WindNW 7 mphNNW 8 mphNNW 10 mphNNW 11 mph
John Hussey
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Home CrewModerate Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-120-130-145-142-135-142-130-130.3
New England+100+120+125+122+115+122+125+130.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-115-145-143-155-140-140-140-130.3
New England-105+125+123+135+120+120+135+130.3

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo-1½-106-2½-104-2½-110-2½-113-2-115-2½-113-2½-104-2½-103
New England+1½-114+2½-106+2½-110+2½-107+2-105+2½-107+2½-106+2½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+2½-110-2½-110-2½-110-3+100-2½-110-2½-105-2½-105-2½-103
New England-2½-110+2½-110+2½-110+3-120+2½-110+2½-105+3-120+2½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 20.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from -1-110 to -2-110
New England Spread moved from +2-105 to +2-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
New England: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
New England: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from +1-110 to +0-110
New England Spread moved from +1½-110 to +1-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo49½-110o49½-104o49-110o49½-110o50-110o49½-110o49½-104o49½+100
Underu49½-110u49½-108u49-110u49½-110u50-110u49½-110u50-110u49½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo47-110o49½-110o49½-110o49½-110o49-110o49½-110o49-110o49½+100
Underu47-110u49½-110u49½-110u49½-110u49-110u49½-110u49½-110u49½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o49½-110 to o49½-115
The Under moved from u49½-110 to u49-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o48½-110 to o49-110
The Under moved from u49-110 to u48½-110