New England at Tampa Bay

Updated
Rank3
P/G26.5
PA/G17.9
41.8%58.2%
New England WinTampa Bay Win
20.6Projected Points 23.5
28Final Score 23
Rank16
P/G22.4
PA/G24.2
Rank3
P/G26.5
PA/G17.9
Rank16
P/G22.4
PA/G24.2

Quarterbacks

Drake Maye

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
75.28253.0153

Baker Mayfield

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.98240.0132

Last 5 Games

New England Patriots
Money Line
W 23-24 vs Atlanta FalconsATL: Kirk Cousins • NE: Drake Maye-240
W 13-32 vs Cleveland BrownsCLE: Dillon Gabriel • NE: Drake Maye-300
W 31-13 at Tennessee TitansNE: Drake Maye • TEN: Cam Ward-260
W 25-19 at New Orleans SaintsNE: Drake Maye • NO: Spencer Rattler-175
W 23-20 at Buffalo BillsNE: Drake Maye • BUF: Josh Allen+375
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
W 23-3 at New Orleans SaintsTB: Baker Mayfield • NO: Spencer Rattler-190
L 9-24 at Detroit LionsTB: Baker Mayfield • DET: Jared Goff+240
W 19-30 vs San Francisco 49ersSF: Mac Jones • TB: Baker Mayfield-185
W 38-35 at Seattle SeahawksTB: Baker Mayfield • SEA: Sam Darnold+170
L 31-25 vs Philadelphia EaglesPHI: Jalen Hurts • TB: Baker Mayfield+180

Injuries

New England Patriots

Status
  • CBChristian GonzalezProbable
  • RBRhamondre StevensonOut
  • CGarrett BradburyProbable
  • DTJoshua FarmerProbable
  • LBMarte MapuProbable
  • LBChristian EllissOut
  • RBAntonio GibsonOut for Season
  • WRKayshon BoutteOut

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Status
  • WRChris GodwinOut
  • RBBucky IrvingOut
  • GLuke GoedekeProbable
  • LBHaason ReddickOut
  • TLuke HaggardOut
  • GBen BredesonProbable
  • LBMarkees WattsOut
  • WRMike EvansOut
WSW 8 mph
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay, FL
O/U Effect
Very Small on Under
 
Temp (°F)81°81°79°79°
Humidity72%72%76%74%
Precipitation53%40%52%45%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly Cloudy
WindWSW 8 mphWSW 9 mphWSW 10 mphWSW 9 mph
TBD
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+125+125+130+130+125+130+135+138.0
Tampa Bay-145-145-150-150-145-150-145-138.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+125+135+130+145+130+130+145+138.0
Tampa Bay-145-155-150-165-150-150-150-138.0

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+2½-105+2½-108+2½+100+2½-102+2½+105+2½-102+2½+105+2½+107
Tampa Bay-2½-115-2½-108-2½-120-2½-118-2½-125-2½-118-2½-108-2½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
New England+2½-110+3-110+2½+105+3+100+2½+100+2½+104+3+100+2½+107
Tampa Bay-2½-110-3-110-2½-125-3-120-2½-120-2½-120-2½-120-2½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 10.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +2½+100 to +2½-110
No Steam Moves On Tampa Bay Spread

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
New England: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

New England: 10.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

New England: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

New England: 30.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

New England Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110
Tampa Bay Spread moved from -3-110 to -3-120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo48-110o48-108o47½-115o47-110o47-110o47-110o47-110o47+100
Underu48-110u48-108u47½-105u47-110u47-110u47-110u48-108u47+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo47½-110o48½-110o47½-110o48½-110o48½-110o48-110o47½-110o47+100
Underu47½-110u48½-110u47½-110u48½-110u48½-110u48-110u48½-110u47+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47½-120 to o48-110
The Under moved from u47½-110 to u47-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o47½-110 to o48-110
The Under moved from u48½-110 to u47½-110