Washington at Atlanta

Updated

Washington Commanders

(3-9)
Rank25
P/G21.8
PA/G26.9
49.8%50.2%
Washington WinAtlanta Win
23.6Projected Points 23.8
27Final Score 34

Atlanta Falcons

(4-8)
Rank23
P/G20.2
PA/G23.0
Rank25
P/G21.8
PA/G26.9
Rank23
P/G20.2
PA/G23.0

Quarterbacks

Marcus Mariota

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
71.41207.010

Michael Penix

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
58.63202.012

Last 5 Games

Washington Commanders
Money Line
W 24-41 vs Las Vegas RaidersVEG: Geno Smith • WAS: Marcus Mariota-140
L 18-27 at Green Bay PackersWAS: Jayden Daniels • GB: Jordan Love+160
W 6-21 vs New York GiantsNYG: Drew Lock • WAS: Jayden Daniels-270
L 23-55 at Philadelphia EaglesWAS: Jayden Daniels • PHI: Jalen Hurts+240
W 45-31 at Detroit LionsWAS: Jayden Daniels • DET: Jared Goff+400
Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
L 0-30 at Carolina PanthersATL: Michael Penix • CAR: Bryce Young-235
W 22-6 at Minnesota VikingsATL: Michael Penix • MIN: J.J. McCarthy+160
L 23-20 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Baker Mayfield • ATL: Michael Penix-105
L 44-38 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Bryce Young • ATL: Michael Penix-380
L 24-30 at Washington CommandersATL: Michael Penix • WAS: Jayden Daniels+180

Injuries

Washington Commanders

Status
  • CBMarshon LattimoreProbable
  • CBJonathan JonesIR
  • RBJacory Croskey-MerrittProbable
  • SWill HarrisIR
  • SPercy ButlerOut
  • WRNoah BrownOut
  • CBTrey AmosProbable
  • DEDeatrich WiseIR
  • OLSam CosmiIR
  • QBJayden DanielsOut
  • -Lucas NiangOut for Season
  • WRTerry McLaurinOut
  • TEJohn BatesOut
  • RBAustin EkelerOut for Season

Atlanta Falcons

Status
  • WRKhaDarel HodgeOut
  • WRCasey WashingtonProbable
  • LBTroy AndersenIR
  • -Tyrone Wheatley Jr.Out for Season
  • CBA.J. TerrellOut
  • TEKyle PittsProbable
  • LBJames Pearce Jr.Probable
  • RBNathan CarterOut
  • LBMalik VerdonIR
  • QBEmory JonesOut for Season
  • DLTa'quon GrahamIR
  • TKaleb McGaryOut for Season
  • SJordan FullerOut for Season
  • -Storm NortonIR
  • WRJamal AgnewProbable
  • SDeMarcco HellamsProbable
  • LBBralen TriceIR
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Scott Novak
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Moderate Away CrewNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Washington-145+125+140+145+125+145+145+152.5
Atlanta+125-145-165-165-145-165-145-152.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Washington-125+140+135+125+135+130+140+152.5
Atlanta+105-160-155-145-155-150-145-152.5

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Washington-2½-110+2½+102+3-115+3-115+2½+100+3-115+2½+102+3-104
Atlanta+2½-110-2½-118-3-105-3-105-2½-120-3-105-2½-118-3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Washington-2½-110+3-110+2½-105+2½-110+2½+100+2½+102+3-110+3-104
Atlanta+2½-110-3-110-2½-115-2½-110-2½-120-2½-118-2½-110-3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Washington: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Washington: 30.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Washington: 20.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Washington: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Washington: 10.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Washington Spread
Atlanta Spread moved from +1-108 to -1½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Washington: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Washington: 30.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Washington: 20.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Washington: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Washington: 10.0%
Atlanta: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Washington Spread moved from +3-110 to +2½-110
Atlanta Spread moved from +0-110 to -1½-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45-110o44-108o44-110o43½-115o43½-110o43½-115o43½-110o43½-104
Underu45-110u44-108u44-110u43½-105u43½-110u43½-105u44-108u43½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo45½-110o43½-110o44-110o43½-110o43½-110o43½-110o43½-110o43½-104
Underu45½-110u43½-110u44-110u43½-110u43½-110u43½-110u44-110u43½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o43½-108 to o44-108
The Under moved from u44-110 to u44-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o43-110 to o43½-110
The Under moved from u44-110 to u43½-110
Carolina at New England
Cleveland at Detroit