Atlanta at Carolina

Updated

Atlanta Falcons

(4-8)
Rank23
P/G20.2
PA/G23.0
72.8%27.2%
Atlanta WinCarolina Win
27.2Projected Points 20.1
0Final Score 30

Carolina Panthers

(7-6)
Rank20
P/G19.0
PA/G22.8
Rank23
P/G20.2
PA/G23.0
Rank20
P/G19.0
PA/G22.8

Quarterbacks

Michael Penix

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
64.31298.010

Bryce Young

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
51.41154.012

Last 5 Games

Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
W 22-6 at Minnesota VikingsATL: Michael Penix • MIN: J.J. McCarthy+160
L 23-20 vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersTB: Baker Mayfield • ATL: Michael Penix-105
L 44-38 vs Carolina PanthersCAR: Bryce Young • ATL: Michael Penix-380
L 24-30 at Washington CommandersATL: Michael Penix • WAS: Jayden Daniels+180
W 7-34 vs New York GiantsNYG: Drew Lock • ATL: Michael Penix Jr.-450
Carolina Panthers
Money Line
L 22-27 at Arizona CardinalsCAR: Bryce Young • ARI: Kyler Murray+300
L 10-26 at Jacksonville JaguarsCAR: Bryce Young • JAX: Trevor Lawrence+195
W 44-38 at Atlanta FalconsCAR: Bryce Young • ATL: Michael Penix+330
L 14-48 at Tampa Bay BuccaneersCAR: Bryce Young • TB: Baker Mayfield+475
W 30-36 vs Arizona CardinalsARI: Kyler Murray • CAR: Bryce Young+230

Injuries

Atlanta Falcons

Status
  • WRJamal AgnewOut
  • LBMalik VerdonIR
  • -Tyrone Wheatley Jr.Out for Season
  • TEKyle PittsProbable
  • -Storm NortonIR
  • SDeMarcco HellamsProbable
  • LBJames Pearce Jr.Probable
  • LBTroy AndersenIR
  • LBKaden EllissProbable
  • QBEmory JonesOut for Season
  • CBMike Ford Jr.Probable
  • TECharlie WoernerProbable
  • TKaleb McGaryOut for Season
  • TJack NelsonOut
  • WRDarnell MooneyProbable
  • WRCasey WashingtonOut
  • SJordan FullerOut for Season
  • DLTa'quon GrahamIR
  • CBA.J. TerrellOut
  • LBBralen TriceIR

Carolina Panthers

Status
  • WRJalen CokerIR
  • DTTershawn WhartonOut
  • CBDamarri MathisOut for Season
  • DTPopo AumavaeOut for Season
  • WRJimmy Horn Jr.Out
  • GRobert HuntIR
  • RBJonathon BrooksOut for Season
  • TEJames MitchellOut
  • DTLabryan RayIR
  • WRXavier LegetteOut
  • LBPat Jones IIOut
  • GAustin CorbettIR
  • WRDalevon CampbellProbable
  • WRBrycen TremayneProbable
ESE 5 mph
Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)82°84°85°84°
Humidity52%48%44%44%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly ClearMostly ClearPartly CloudyMostly Cloudy
WindESE 5 mphE 5 mphE 6 mphE 5 mph
Craig Wrolstad
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
Lean Away CrewLean Under Crew

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta-210-230-230-235-225-230-225-203.5
Carolina+180+195+190+195+185+192+195+203.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta-170-240-235-240-245-240-235-203.5
Carolina+150+200+200+190+200+200+200+203.5

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta-3½-110-4½-108-4-110-4½-109-4½-115-4½-109-4-110-4½+101
Carolina+3½-110+4½-108+4-110+4½-111+4½-105+4½-111+4½-105+4½-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atlanta-3½-110-4½-110-4½-110-4½-110-4½-110-4½-108-4½-108-4½+101
Carolina+3½-110+4½-110+4½-110+4½-110+4½-110+4½-108+4½-108+4½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Carolina: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlanta: 20.0%
Carolina: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Atlanta: 10.0%
Carolina: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Atlanta: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlanta: 0.0%
Carolina: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlanta Spread moved from -3½-110 to -3½-120
Carolina Spread moved from +5-108 to +4½-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atlanta: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Carolina: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atlanta: 20.0%
Carolina: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Atlanta: 10.0%
Carolina: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Atlanta: 40.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atlanta: 0.0%
Carolina: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atlanta Spread moved from -5-110 to -6-110
Carolina Spread moved from +5½-110 to +5-110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo44-110o44-108o44-110o44-105o44-110o44-105o44-105o44+104
Underu44-110u44-108u44-110u44-115u44-110u44-115u44-108u44-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo43½-110o44-110o44-110o44-110o44-110o44-110o44-110o44+104
Underu43½-110u44-110u44-110u44-110u44-110u44-110u44-110u44-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o44+100 to o44-110
The Under moved from u44-110 to u44-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o43½-110 to o44-110
The Under moved from u44-110 to u43½-110
Indianapolis at Tennessee
Las Vegas at Washington