Buffalo at Kansas City

Updated
Rank4
P/G30.6
PA/G21.6
42.8%57.2%
Buffalo WinKansas City Win
21.6Projected Points 24.4
29Final Score 32
Rank2
P/G23.1
PA/G20.4
Rank4
P/G30.6
PA/G21.6
Rank2
P/G23.1
PA/G20.4

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
63.617220.0286

Patrick Mahomes

starting
Cmp%StartsYPGTDINT
67.516246.02611

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Bills
Money Line
W 25-27 vs Baltimore RavensBAL: Lamar Jackson • BUF: Josh Allen+110
W 7-31 vs Denver BroncosDEN: Bo Nix • BUF: Josh Allen-450
L 16-23 at New England PatriotsBUF: Joe Milton • NE: Drake Maye-165
W 14-40 vs New York JetsNYJ: Aaron Rodgers • BUF: Josh Allen-500
W 21-24 vs New England PatriotsNE: Drake Maye • BUF: Josh Allen-950
Kansas City Chiefs
Money Line
W 14-23 vs Houston TexansHOU: C.J. Stroud • KC: Patrick Mahomes-530
L 0-38 at Denver BroncosKC: Carson Wentz • DEN: Bo Nix+500
W 29-10 at Pittsburgh SteelersKC: Patrick Mahomes • PIT: Russell Wilson-125
W 19-27 vs Houston TexansHOU: C.J. Stroud • KC: Patrick Mahomes-180
W 21-7 at Cleveland BrownsKC: Patrick Mahomes • CLE: Jameis Winston-220

Injuries

Buffalo Bills

Status
  • STaylor RappOut
  • LBMatt MilanoProbable
  • CBChristian BenfordProbable
  • LBBaylon SpectorProbable

Kansas City Chiefs

Status
  • WRMecole Hardman Jr.Out for Season
NW 6 mph
Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
O/U Effect
No Effect
 
Temp (°F)32°29°27°26°
Humidity55%59%64%68%
Precipitation0%0%0%0%
ConditionMostly CloudyMostly CloudyPartly CloudyMostly Clear
WindNW 6 mphNW 5 mphWNW 5 mphWNW 4 mph
Clete Blakeman
Referee
ML EffectO/U Effect
No EffectNo Effect

Money Line

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+105-110-110-104+100-104+100+105.3
Kansas City-125-110-110-116-120-116-110-105.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+105-110--105-105+100+100+105.3
Kansas City-125-110--115-115-120-110-105.3

Spread Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+0-110+1-108+1-120+1-112+1-110+1-112+1-108+1-102
Kansas City+0-110-1-108-1+100-1-108-1-110-1-108-1+100-1+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+1½-110+0-110+0-110+1-110+1-110+1+100+1+100+1-102
Kansas City-1½-110+0-110+0-110-1-110-1-110-1-110+0-110-1+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from +1½-108 to +1-108
Kansas City Spread moved from +2-115 to -1½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Kansas City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 30.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Buffalo: 0.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 40.0%
Kansas City: 0.0%

Latest Spread

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo Spread moved from +1-110 to +0-110
Kansas City Spread moved from +0-105 to -1-105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo48½-110o49½-108o49½-110o49½-105o49½-110o49½-105o49½-105o49½+104
Underu48½-110u49½-108u49½-110u49½-115u49½-110u49½-115u49½-108u49½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo48-110o49½-110o49½-110o49½-110o49½-110o49½-110o49½-110o49½+104
Underu48-110u49½-110u49½-110u49½-110u49½-110u49½-110u49½-110u49½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o49½-110 to o49½-115
The Under moved from u49-105 to u49½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Weather

The effect of the temperature or wind on the score of a game.

More on Weather

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Referee

The effect of the referee on the projected outcome of the game.

More on Referee

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o49½-110 to o50-110
The Under moved from u50-110 to u49½-110