Tampa Bay at Toronto

Updated

Tampa Bay Lightning

(45-29-8)
Rank14
P/G3.6
PA/G3.3
41.8%58.2%
Tampa Bay WinToronto Win
2.66Projected Goals 3.53
4Final Score 2

Toronto Maple Leafs

(46-26-10)
Rank10
P/G3.8
PA/G3.3
Rank14
P/G3.6
PA/G3.3
Rank10
P/G3.8
PA/G3.3

Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy

StartsRecordSV%GAA
6034-22-40.9152.65

Ilya Samsonov

StartsRecordSV%GAA
4027-10-50.9192.33

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
L 5-4 vs Toronto Maple LeafsTOR: Ilya Samsonov • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-111
L 4-3 vs Toronto Maple LeafsTOR: Ilya Samsonov • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy+102
L 2-7 at Toronto Maple LeafsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • TOR: Ilya Samsonov+165
W 7-3 at Toronto Maple LeafsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • TOR: Ilya Samsonov+140
W 0-5 vs Detroit Red WingsDET: Ville Husso • TBL: Brian Elliott-228
Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
W 5-4 at Tampa Bay LightningTOR: Ilya Samsonov • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy+105
W 4-3 at Tampa Bay LightningTOR: Ilya Samsonov • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-112
W 2-7 vs Tampa Bay LightningTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-180
L 7-3 vs Tampa Bay LightningTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-154
W 3-2 at New York RangersTOR: Joseph Woll • NYR: Jaroslav Halak+123

Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • DErik CernakOut
  • CMichael EyssimontOut

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • DErik GustafssonQuestionable
  • CBobby McMannIR
  • GOMatt MurrayOut
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+130+133+130+137+135+137+137+142.6
Toronto-150-149-150-151-155-151-149-142.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+130+130+142+135+135+134+142+142.6
Toronto-155-150-156-160-155-149-149-142.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Tampa Bay ML
Toronto ML moved from -150 to -160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 10.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 20.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from +140 to +130
Toronto ML moved from -150 to -160

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+1½-220+1½-188+1½-195+1½-197+1½-200+1½-197+1½-188+1½-180
Toronto-1½+180-1½+167-1½+165-1½+172-1½+170-1½+172-1½+172-1½+180
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay+1½-205+1½-190+1½-200+1½-205+1½-200+1½-200+1½-190+1½-180
Toronto-1½+170-1½+170-1½+176-1½+170-1½+175-1½+175-1½+176-1½+180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-110o6½-113o6½-115o6½-102o6½-110o6½-102o6½-102o6½+103
Underu6½-110u6½-103u6½-105u6½-108u6½-110u6½-108u6½-103u6½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-115o6½-115o6½-110o6½-120o6½-120o6½-110o6½-110o6½+103
Underu6½-105u6½-105u6½-110u6½+100u6½+100u6½-110u6½+100u6½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under
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