NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Pittsburgh Penguins
New Jersey Devils
51.3%
48.7%
-105
-104
-106
-104
-1½+225
+1½-250
-1½+220
+1½-250
5
2
-0.69081-0.68852-0.66693
Tampa Bay Lightning
Montreal Canadiens
51.1%
48.9%
-110
+102
-114
+104
-1½+210
+1½-238
-1½+205
+1½-230
1
2
-0.72177-0.73560-0.71562
Philadelphia Flyers
Detroit Red Wings
46.4%
53.6%
+102
-112
+103
-110
+1½-245
-1½+215
+1½-240
-1½+210
3
6
-0.66116-0.66291-0.62312
Toronto Maple Leafs
New York Islanders
38.7%
61.3%
+256
-294
+270
-280
+1½+101
-1½-111
+1½+100
-1½-110
3
5
-0.31950-0.31247-0.48959
Edmonton Oilers
San Jose Sharks
49.1%
50.9%
-102
-109
-106
-104
-1½+215
+1½-250
-1½+220
+1½-240
5
2
-0.70944-0.68852-0.71099
Washington Capitals
Toronto Maple Leafs
53.9%
46.1%
-154
+136
-145
+142
-1½+160
+1½-175
-1½+165
+1½-170
4
0
-0.52997-0.52957-0.61787
Buffalo Sabres
New York Rangers
51.4%
48.6%
-129
+117
-130
+125
-1½+183
+1½-204
-1½+180
+1½-200
5
3
-0.59776-0.58016-0.66643
Nashville Predators
Anaheim Ducks
40.5%
59.5%
+139
-142
+135
-149
+1½-175
-1½+168
+1½-175
-1½+165
5
0
-0.87647-0.87806-0.90271
Vegas Golden Knights
Vancouver Canucks
65.3%
34.7%
-244
+220
-250
+225
-1½-105
+1½-105
-1½-108
+1½-105
2
1
-0.36504-0.35820-0.42595
Edmonton Oilers
Utah Mammoth
39.1%
60.9%
+120
-133
+122
-130
+1½-196
-1½+185
+1½-210
-1½+190
5
6
-0.58573-0.58609-0.49608
Colorado Avalanche
St. Louis Blues
61.7%
38.3%
-153
+138
-148
+140
-1½+166
+1½-190
-1½+170
+1½-185
3
1
-0.52756-0.52957-0.48211
Calgary Flames
Dallas Stars
33.1%
66.9%
+210
-238
+210
-235
+1½-119
-1½+110
+1½-130
-1½+110
3
4
-0.37714-0.37834-0.40173
Seattle Kraken
Minnesota Wild
30.8%
69.2%
+218
-244
+220
-247
+1½-114
-1½+102
+1½-120
-1½+102
2
5
-0.36697-0.36396-0.36758
Philadelphia Flyers
New Jersey Devils
47.3%
52.7%
+107
-116
+107
-116
+1½-240
-1½+210
+1½-235
-1½+208
5
1
-0.74748-0.74748-0.74860
Florida Panthers
Montreal Canadiens
34.8%
65.2%
+241
-280
+253
-280
+1½-108
-1½+100
+1½-110
-1½-105
3
4
-0.33504-0.32531-0.42829
Tampa Bay Lightning
Ottawa Senators
44.3%
55.7%
+129
-140
+136
-135
+1½-190
-1½+168
+1½-185
-1½+180
2
6
-0.55881-0.55250-0.58510
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/14/26
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st RdWin 2nd RdConf. ChampStanley Cup
1Carolina Hurricanes (53-22-7, 113 pts)53.022.07.0113.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
2Vegas Golden Knights (39-26-17, 95 pts)39.026.017.095.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%
3Colorado Avalanche (55-16-11, 121 pts)55.016.011.0121.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Montreal Canadiens (48-24-10, 106 pts)48.024.010.0106.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5Buffalo Sabres (50-23-9, 109 pts)50.023.09.0109.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Minnesota Wild (46-24-12, 104 pts)46.024.012.0104.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Philadelphia Flyers (43-27-12, 98 pts)43.027.012.098.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Anaheim Ducks (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Dallas Stars (50-20-12, 112 pts)50.020.012.0112.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Tampa Bay Lightning (50-26-6, 106 pts)50.026.06.0106.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Boston Bruins (45-27-10, 100 pts)45.027.010.0100.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Ottawa Senators (44-27-11, 99 pts)44.027.011.099.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Pittsburgh Penguins (41-25-16, 98 pts)41.025.016.098.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Washington Capitals (43-30-9, 95 pts)43.030.09.095.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Edmonton Oilers (41-30-11, 93 pts)41.030.011.093.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Utah Mammoth (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Columbus Blue Jackets (40-30-12, 92 pts)40.030.012.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Detroit Red Wings (41-31-10, 92 pts)41.031.010.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19New York Islanders (43-34-5, 91 pts)43.034.05.091.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Los Angeles Kings (35-27-20, 90 pts)35.027.020.090.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21New Jersey Devils (42-37-3, 87 pts)42.037.03.087.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Nashville Predators (38-34-10, 86 pts)38.034.010.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23San Jose Sharks (39-35-8, 86 pts)39.035.08.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24St. Louis Blues (37-33-12, 86 pts)37.033.012.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Florida Panthers (40-38-4, 84 pts)40.038.04.084.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Winnipeg Jets (35-35-12, 82 pts)35.035.012.082.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Seattle Kraken (34-37-11, 79 pts)34.037.011.079.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Toronto Maple Leafs (32-36-14, 78 pts)32.036.014.078.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29New York Rangers (34-39-9, 77 pts)34.039.09.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Calgary Flames (34-39-9, 77 pts)34.039.09.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (29-39-14, 72 pts)29.039.014.072.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Vancouver Canucks (25-49-8, 58 pts)25.049.08.058.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.