NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Calgary Flames
Vegas Golden Knights
36.7%
63.3%
+198
-218
+200
-214
+1½-128
-1½+117
+1½-125
-1½+115
3
6
-0.39845-0.39817-0.45781
Utah Mammoth
Seattle Kraken
58.9%
41.1%
-140
+133
-135
+131
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+185
+1½-200
6
2
-0.55144-0.56165-0.52926
Chicago Blackhawks
Edmonton Oilers
32.9%
67.1%
+183
-196
+190
-210
+1½-135
-1½+124
+1½-130
-1½+115
1
3
-0.42765-0.41146-0.39893
Winnipeg Jets
Dallas Stars
39.0%
61.0%
+135
-147
+135
-149
+1½-188
-1½+168
+1½-180
-1½+175
0
3
-0.53941-0.53715-0.49479
Vancouver Canucks
Minnesota Wild
24.6%
75.4%
+360
-400
+351
-400
+1½+145
-1½-160
+1½+140
-1½-155
2
5
-0.24038-0.24464-0.28242
Washington Capitals
New Jersey Devils
51.2%
48.8%
-105
-105
-102
-107
+1½-256
-1½+220
+1½-250
-1½+225
3
7
-0.69315-0.68152-0.71754
Montreal Canadiens
New York Rangers
49.0%
51.0%
-118
+110
-116
+106
-1½+205
+1½-222
-1½+205
+1½-230
3
2
-0.63113-0.64392-0.71429
Detroit Red Wings
Philadelphia Flyers
47.7%
52.3%
-102
+100
-108
-101
-1½+230
-1½+230
-1½+235
+1½-260
4
2
-0.68824-0.67690-0.73938
Pittsburgh Penguins
Tampa Bay Lightning
38.0%
62.0%
+140
-153
+140
-152
+1½-170
-1½+155
+1½-175
-1½+160
3
6
-0.52415-0.52520-0.47836
Buffalo Sabres
Ottawa Senators
46.6%
53.4%
+106
-112
+102
-112
+1½-238
-1½+210
+1½-240
-1½+210
1
4
-0.65174-0.66116-0.62818
Columbus Blue Jackets
Carolina Hurricanes
37.7%
62.3%
+165
-185
+170
-180
+1½-150
-1½+135
+1½-145
-1½+135
1
5
-0.45828-0.45497-0.47300
Boston Bruins
Florida Panthers
52.4%
47.6%
-160
+146
-160
+145
-1½+160
+1½-180
-1½+155
+1½-165
1
2
-0.92181-0.91937-0.74272
Anaheim Ducks
San Jose Sharks
54.1%
45.9%
+100
-102
+100
-108
+1½-244
+1½-250
-1½+225
+1½-250
3
4
-0.68824-0.67446-0.77786
St. Louis Blues
Los Angeles Kings
43.6%
56.4%
+132
-142
+129
-139
+1½-198
-1½+185
+1½-200
-1½+175
1
2
-0.55076-0.56010-0.57224
Vancouver Canucks
Colorado Avalanche
21.2%
78.8%
+360
-425
+390
-450
+1½+155
-1½-170
+1½+160
-1½-170
8
6
-1.55263-1.61124-1.55306
Seattle Kraken
Edmonton Oilers
41.4%
58.6%
+160
-167
+160
-172
+1½-155
-1½+140
+1½-155
-1½+140
0
3
-0.47929-0.47514-0.53461
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/14/26
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st RdWin 2nd RdConf. ChampStanley Cup
1Carolina Hurricanes (53-22-7, 113 pts)53.022.07.0113.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
2Vegas Golden Knights (39-26-17, 95 pts)39.026.017.095.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%
3Colorado Avalanche (55-16-11, 121 pts)55.016.011.0121.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Montreal Canadiens (48-24-10, 106 pts)48.024.010.0106.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5Buffalo Sabres (50-23-9, 109 pts)50.023.09.0109.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Minnesota Wild (46-24-12, 104 pts)46.024.012.0104.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Philadelphia Flyers (43-27-12, 98 pts)43.027.012.098.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Anaheim Ducks (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Dallas Stars (50-20-12, 112 pts)50.020.012.0112.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Tampa Bay Lightning (50-26-6, 106 pts)50.026.06.0106.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Boston Bruins (45-27-10, 100 pts)45.027.010.0100.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Ottawa Senators (44-27-11, 99 pts)44.027.011.099.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Pittsburgh Penguins (41-25-16, 98 pts)41.025.016.098.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Washington Capitals (43-30-9, 95 pts)43.030.09.095.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Edmonton Oilers (41-30-11, 93 pts)41.030.011.093.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Utah Mammoth (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Columbus Blue Jackets (40-30-12, 92 pts)40.030.012.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Detroit Red Wings (41-31-10, 92 pts)41.031.010.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19New York Islanders (43-34-5, 91 pts)43.034.05.091.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Los Angeles Kings (35-27-20, 90 pts)35.027.020.090.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21New Jersey Devils (42-37-3, 87 pts)42.037.03.087.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Nashville Predators (38-34-10, 86 pts)38.034.010.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23San Jose Sharks (39-35-8, 86 pts)39.035.08.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24St. Louis Blues (37-33-12, 86 pts)37.033.012.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Florida Panthers (40-38-4, 84 pts)40.038.04.084.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Winnipeg Jets (35-35-12, 82 pts)35.035.012.082.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Seattle Kraken (34-37-11, 79 pts)34.037.011.079.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Toronto Maple Leafs (32-36-14, 78 pts)32.036.014.078.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29New York Rangers (34-39-9, 77 pts)34.039.09.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Calgary Flames (34-39-9, 77 pts)34.039.09.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (29-39-14, 72 pts)29.039.014.072.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Vancouver Canucks (25-49-8, 58 pts)25.049.08.058.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.