NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Vegas Golden Knights
Los Angeles Kings
52.6%
47.4%
-116
+110
-115
+110
-1½+219
+1½-250
-1½+235
+1½-240
3
2
-0.63482-0.63673-0.64150
Ottawa Senators
New York Rangers
48.3%
51.7%
-119
+109
-112
+105
-1½+215
+1½-233
-1½+215
+1½-245
8
4
-0.63156-0.65406-0.72821
Philadelphia Flyers
Buffalo Sabres
45.0%
55.0%
+119
-130
+120
-130
+1½-210
-1½+188
+1½-200
-1½+185
2
5
-0.59214-0.59012-0.59849
Seattle Kraken
New Jersey Devils
40.0%
60.0%
+138
-150
+134
-145
+1½-182
-1½+167
+1½-195
-1½+180
2
3
-0.53079-0.54352-0.51018
Dallas Stars
Anaheim Ducks
53.7%
46.3%
-122
+108
-120
+110
-1½+195
+1½-220
-1½+205
+1½-220
1
3
-0.76224-0.76336-0.76981
Toronto Maple Leafs
Utah Mammoth
41.3%
58.7%
+147
-155
+145
-160
+1½-172
-1½+165
+1½-175
-1½+160
1
6
-0.51046-0.50878-0.53271
New York Islanders
Winnipeg Jets
48.1%
51.9%
+116
-128
+118
-125
+1½-230
-1½+210
+1½-230
-1½+205
4
5
-0.60139-0.60195-0.65497
Edmonton Oilers
Nashville Predators
51.4%
48.6%
-123
+117
-125
+115
-1½+200
+1½-220
-1½+200
+1½-220
3
4
-0.78704-0.78592-0.72105
Carolina Hurricanes
St. Louis Blues
62.8%
37.2%
-170
+152
-162
+150
-1½+149
+1½-164
-1½+155
+1½-165
0
3
-0.95036-0.93445-0.98945
Detroit Red Wings
Boston Bruins
47.5%
52.5%
+126
-139
+135
-141
+1½-200
-1½+176
+1½-190
-1½+175
0
3
-0.56577-0.54657-0.64392
Calgary Flames
Columbus Blue Jackets
44.4%
55.6%
+123
-132
+121
-131
+1½-203
-1½+176
+1½-200
-1½+185
3
5
-0.58118-0.58663-0.58659
Tampa Bay Lightning
Pittsburgh Penguins
55.6%
44.4%
-135
+125
-135
+125
-1½+183
+1½-205
-1½+180
+1½-204
2
1
-0.57304-0.57304-0.58648
Montreal Canadiens
Washington Capitals
41.4%
58.6%
+120
-132
+125
-128
+1½-196
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+180
2
3
-0.58717-0.58315-0.53435
Vancouver Canucks
Ottawa Senators
32.6%
67.4%
+195
-217
+190
-210
+1½-122
-1½+115
+1½-130
-1½+115
1
2
-0.40226-0.41146-0.39392
Dallas Stars
Los Angeles Kings
52.4%
47.6%
-106
+103
-115
+105
-1½+240
+1½-250
-1½+215
+1½-230
3
1
-0.67158-0.64814-0.64605
Toronto Maple Leafs
Colorado Avalanche
30.6%
69.4%
+190
-207
+195
-210
+1½-120
-1½+110
+1½-115
-1½+110
4
3
-1.08362-1.09808-1.18453
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.64623 
Sportsbooks11-0 (1.000)0-0.66532 
DRatings11-0 (1.000)0-0.56817
0.07806
0.09715

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/13/26
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st RdWin 2nd RdConf. ChampStanley Cup
1Carolina Hurricanes (53-22-7, 113 pts)53.022.07.0113.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%82.8%
2Vegas Golden Knights (39-26-17, 95 pts)39.026.017.095.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%17.2%
3Colorado Avalanche (55-16-11, 121 pts)55.016.011.0121.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Montreal Canadiens (48-24-10, 106 pts)48.024.010.0106.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5Buffalo Sabres (50-23-9, 109 pts)50.023.09.0109.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Minnesota Wild (46-24-12, 104 pts)46.024.012.0104.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Philadelphia Flyers (43-27-12, 98 pts)43.027.012.098.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Anaheim Ducks (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Dallas Stars (50-20-12, 112 pts)50.020.012.0112.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Tampa Bay Lightning (50-26-6, 106 pts)50.026.06.0106.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Boston Bruins (45-27-10, 100 pts)45.027.010.0100.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Ottawa Senators (44-27-11, 99 pts)44.027.011.099.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Pittsburgh Penguins (41-25-16, 98 pts)41.025.016.098.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Washington Capitals (43-30-9, 95 pts)43.030.09.095.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Edmonton Oilers (41-30-11, 93 pts)41.030.011.093.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Utah Mammoth (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Columbus Blue Jackets (40-30-12, 92 pts)40.030.012.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Detroit Red Wings (41-31-10, 92 pts)41.031.010.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19New York Islanders (43-34-5, 91 pts)43.034.05.091.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Los Angeles Kings (35-27-20, 90 pts)35.027.020.090.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21New Jersey Devils (42-37-3, 87 pts)42.037.03.087.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22St. Louis Blues (37-33-12, 86 pts)37.033.012.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23San Jose Sharks (39-35-8, 86 pts)39.035.08.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Nashville Predators (38-34-10, 86 pts)38.034.010.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Florida Panthers (40-38-4, 84 pts)40.038.04.084.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Winnipeg Jets (35-35-12, 82 pts)35.035.012.082.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Seattle Kraken (34-37-11, 79 pts)34.037.011.079.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Toronto Maple Leafs (32-36-14, 78 pts)32.036.014.078.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Calgary Flames (34-39-9, 77 pts)34.039.09.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30New York Rangers (34-39-9, 77 pts)34.039.09.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (29-39-14, 72 pts)29.039.014.072.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Vancouver Canucks (25-49-8, 58 pts)25.049.08.058.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.