NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 18, 2024

TimeTeamsGoaliesWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
GoalsTotal
Goals
Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Vancouver Canucks (50-23-9)
Edmonton Oilers (49-27-6)
Arturs Silovs
Calvin Pickard
40.4%
59.6%
+169
-188
+170
-184
+1½-147
-1½+132
+1½-150
-1½+135
2.70
3.72
6.42
o6-114
u6+102
o6-118
u6+105
Games for May 17, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Toronto Maple Leafs
Florida Panthers
43.9%
56.1%
+142
-156
+151
-155
+1½-163
-1½+165
+1½-170
-1½+155
2
5
-0.51767-0.50408-0.57846
Carolina Hurricanes
Columbus Blue Jackets
67.9%
32.1%
-141
+130
-140
+132
-1½+170
+1½-183
-1½+175
+1½-185
3
6
-0.85257-0.85583-1.13688
Detroit Red Wings
Montreal Canadiens
55.0%
45.0%
-190
+175
-195
+176
-1½+135
+1½-143
-1½+135
+1½-145
5
4
-0.44150-0.43705-0.59826
Ottawa Senators
Boston Bruins
35.1%
64.9%
+197
-220
+198
-220
+1½-128
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+120
3
1
-1.11249-1.11474-1.04751
Washington Capitals
Philadelphia Flyers
43.7%
56.3%
+123
-132
+122
-125
+1½-210
-1½+193
+1½-210
-1½+190
2
1
-0.81925-0.80350-0.82803
San Jose Sharks
Edmonton Oilers
18.6%
81.4%
+485
-534
+450
-530
+1½+175
-1½-193
+1½+175
-1½-165
2
9
-0.18478-0.19567-0.20622
Minnesota Wild
Los Angeles Kings
39.2%
60.8%
+140
-156
+145
-157
+1½-175
+1½-363
+1½-175
-1½+160
3
1
-0.90118-0.91497-0.93683
Ottawa Senators
New York Rangers
35.1%
64.9%
+193
-207
+190
-205
+1½-125
-1½+112
+1½-125
-1½+110
0
4
-0.40958-0.41412-0.43278
Montreal Canadiens
Detroit Red Wings
38.5%
61.5%
+203
-217
+198
-210
+1½-130
-1½+117
+1½-130
-1½+120
4
5
-0.39347-0.40237-0.48595
Buffalo Sabres
Tampa Bay Lightning
41.4%
58.6%
+150
-166
+150
-165
+1½-160
-1½+150
+1½-167
-1½+155
4
2
-0.94007-0.93869-0.88298
Nashville Predators
Pittsburgh Penguins
49.4%
50.6%
+100
-110
+104
-113
+1½-246
-1½+214
+1½-240
-1½+210
2
4
-0.67015-0.65441-0.68189
New York Islanders
New Jersey Devils
46.8%
53.2%
-118
+110
-115
+108
-1½+220
+1½-241
-1½+215
+1½-246
4
1
-0.63113-0.64124-0.75890
Boston Bruins
Washington Capitals
59.5%
40.5%
-147
+138
-150
+142
-1½+172
+1½-190
-1½+184
+1½-190
0
2
-0.88230-0.89690-0.90293
Arizona Coyotes
Calgary Flames
44.1%
55.9%
+105
-117
+113
-118
+1½-210
-1½+188
+1½-215
-1½+190
5
6
-0.64434-0.62452-0.58189
Carolina Hurricanes
Chicago Blackhawks
73.7%
26.3%
-370
+328
-345
+330
-1½-140
+1½+128
-1½-145
+1½+130
4
2
-0.25989-0.26234-0.30514
Colorado Avalanche
Vegas Golden Knights
45.6%
54.4%
-105
+100
-104
-102
+1½-255
-1½+222
+1½-250
-1½+230
3
4
-0.70528-0.69794-0.60886
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.63808 
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.63876 
DRatings21-1 (0.500)0-0.67318
-0.03510
-0.03442

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 05/16/24
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin Rd. 1Win Rd. 2Conf. Champ.Stanley Cup
1New York Rangers (55-23-4, 114 pts)55.023.04.0114.0100.0%100.0%100.0%51.4%28.1%
2Florida Panthers (52-24-6, 110 pts)52.024.06.0110.0100.0%100.0%80.1%40.9%23.6%
3Dallas Stars (52-21-9, 113 pts)52.021.09.0113.0100.0%100.0%77.0%42.9%20.4%
4Vancouver Canucks (50-23-9, 109 pts)50.422.59.1110.0100.0%100.0%70.7%30.1%12.1%
5Edmonton Oilers (49-27-6, 104 pts)49.526.46.1105.1100.0%100.0%29.3%14.9%7.2%
6Colorado Avalanche (50-25-7, 107 pts)49.525.47.1106.1100.0%100.0%23.0%12.1%5.3%
7Boston Bruins (47-20-15, 109 pts)47.020.015.0109.0100.0%100.0%19.9%7.7%3.3%
8Carolina Hurricanes (52-23-7, 111 pts)52.023.07.0111.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Winnipeg Jets (52-24-6, 110 pts)51.624.36.1109.2100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10, 102 pts)46.026.010.0102.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Vegas Golden Knights (45-29-8, 98 pts)45.728.28.199.5100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Nashville Predators (47-30-5, 99 pts)47.030.05.099.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Los Angeles Kings (44-27-11, 99 pts)43.727.211.198.5100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Tampa Bay Lightning (45-29-8, 98 pts)45.029.08.098.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15New York Islanders (39-27-16, 94 pts)39.027.016.094.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16St. Louis Blues (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Detroit Red Wings (41-32-9, 91 pts)41.032.09.091.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Washington Capitals (40-31-11, 91 pts)40.031.011.091.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19Minnesota Wild (39-33-10, 88 pts)39.632.310.189.20.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Pittsburgh Penguins (38-32-12, 88 pts)38.032.012.088.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21Philadelphia Flyers (38-33-11, 87 pts)38.033.011.087.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Buffalo Sabres (39-37-6, 84 pts)39.037.06.084.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23New Jersey Devils (38-39-5, 81 pts)38.039.05.081.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24Calgary Flames (38-39-5, 81 pts)37.739.25.180.50.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Seattle Kraken (34-35-13, 81 pts)33.435.513.180.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Ottawa Senators (37-41-4, 78 pts)37.041.04.078.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Arizona Coyotes (36-41-5, 77 pts)36.041.05.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Montreal Canadiens (30-36-16, 76 pts)30.036.016.076.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29Columbus Blue Jackets (27-43-12, 66 pts)27.043.012.066.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Anaheim Ducks (27-50-5, 59 pts)26.350.65.257.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (23-53-6, 52 pts)23.353.65.251.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32San Jose Sharks (19-54-9, 47 pts)19.353.69.147.70.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.