NHL Hockey Predictions

Updated

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinBest
ML
Best
Spread
Final
Goals
Sportsbook
Log Loss
DRatings
Log Loss
Buffalo Sabres
Detroit Red Wings
43.9%
56.1%
+145
-165
+145
-158
+1½-168
-1½+150
+1½-165
-1½+152
5
4
-0.92644-0.91644-0.82360
Toronto Maple Leafs
Chicago Blackhawks
53.3%
46.7%
-120
+113
-120
+110
-1½+195
+1½-235
-1½+200
+1½-230
2
3
-0.77096-0.76336-0.76222
New Jersey Devils
Washington Capitals
45.8%
54.2%
+130
-145
+133
-145
+1½-200
-1½+180
+1½-200
-1½+180
3
2
-0.85918-0.86669-0.78008
Boston Bruins
Montreal Canadiens
42.0%
58.0%
+135
-151
+139
-150
+1½-180
-1½+172
+1½-180
-1½+165
3
2
-0.88119-0.88953-0.86631
New York Rangers
Columbus Blue Jackets
48.9%
51.1%
-115
+105
-110
+103
-1½+211
+1½-250
-1½+220
+1½-250
2
1
-0.64814-0.66291-0.71566
Anaheim Ducks
Minnesota Wild
48.2%
51.8%
+106
-120
+109
-117
+1½-230
-1½+195
+1½-210
-1½+205
0
2
-0.63656-0.63522-0.65819
Tampa Bay Lightning
Florida Panthers
37.3%
62.7%
+127
-142
+130
-135
+1½-210
-1½+185
+1½-205
-1½+180
3
1
-0.84672-0.84211-0.98527
New York Islanders
Utah Mammoth
40.7%
59.3%
+185
-210
+190
-205
+1½-135
-1½+120
+1½-130
-1½+120
3
2
-1.07523-1.08152-0.89855
Philadelphia Flyers
St. Louis Blues
44.6%
55.4%
+116
-131
+121
-130
+1½-220
-1½+190
+1½-220
-1½+200
6
5
-0.79973-0.81054-0.80692
Vancouver Canucks
Carolina Hurricanes
34.8%
65.2%
+244
-285
+245
-260
+1½-105
-1½-115
+1½-105
-1½-110
3
4
-0.33124-0.33743-0.42748
Pittsburgh Penguins
Nashville Predators
52.6%
47.4%
-128
+115
-130
+122
-1½+200
+1½-225
-1½+195
+1½-220
1
2
-0.79164-0.81306-0.74585
New York Islanders
Vegas Golden Knights
42.4%
57.6%
+160
-178
+170
-180
+1½-155
-1½+145
+1½-150
-1½+135
4
3
-0.98011-1.00641-0.85727
Winnipeg Jets
Seattle Kraken
55.1%
44.9%
-147
+132
-145
+137
-1½+170
+1½-195
-1½+175
+1½-190
3
5
-0.86741-0.87659-0.80111
San Jose Sharks
Calgary Flames
41.5%
58.5%
+144
-160
+145
-148
+1½-180
-1½+160
+1½-170
-1½+170
0
2
-0.51043-0.52115-0.53643
Buffalo Sabres
Colorado Avalanche
30.7%
69.3%
+321
-385
+330
-370
+1½+128
-1½-145
+1½+135
-1½-145
3
6
-0.26177-0.25884-0.36732
Edmonton Oilers
Columbus Blue Jackets
46.5%
53.5%
+110
-125
+115
-125
+1½-230
-1½+203
+1½-220
-1½+200
4
5
-0.61904-0.60825-0.62493
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 06/14/26
 Regular SeasonPostseason
#TeamWLTPtsMake PlayoffsWin 1st RdWin 2nd RdConf. ChampStanley Cup
1Carolina Hurricanes (53-22-7, 113 pts)53.022.07.0113.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%
2Vegas Golden Knights (39-26-17, 95 pts)39.026.017.095.0100.0%100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%
3Colorado Avalanche (55-16-11, 121 pts)55.016.011.0121.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
4Montreal Canadiens (48-24-10, 106 pts)48.024.010.0106.0100.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%
5Buffalo Sabres (50-23-9, 109 pts)50.023.09.0109.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6Minnesota Wild (46-24-12, 104 pts)46.024.012.0104.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7Philadelphia Flyers (43-27-12, 98 pts)43.027.012.098.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8Anaheim Ducks (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.0100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9Dallas Stars (50-20-12, 112 pts)50.020.012.0112.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10Tampa Bay Lightning (50-26-6, 106 pts)50.026.06.0106.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11Boston Bruins (45-27-10, 100 pts)45.027.010.0100.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12Ottawa Senators (44-27-11, 99 pts)44.027.011.099.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13Pittsburgh Penguins (41-25-16, 98 pts)41.025.016.098.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14Washington Capitals (43-30-9, 95 pts)43.030.09.095.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15Edmonton Oilers (41-30-11, 93 pts)41.030.011.093.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16Utah Mammoth (43-33-6, 92 pts)43.033.06.092.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17Columbus Blue Jackets (40-30-12, 92 pts)40.030.012.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18Detroit Red Wings (41-31-10, 92 pts)41.031.010.092.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
19New York Islanders (43-34-5, 91 pts)43.034.05.091.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20Los Angeles Kings (35-27-20, 90 pts)35.027.020.090.0100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
21New Jersey Devils (42-37-3, 87 pts)42.037.03.087.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
22Nashville Predators (38-34-10, 86 pts)38.034.010.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
23San Jose Sharks (39-35-8, 86 pts)39.035.08.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
24St. Louis Blues (37-33-12, 86 pts)37.033.012.086.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25Florida Panthers (40-38-4, 84 pts)40.038.04.084.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
26Winnipeg Jets (35-35-12, 82 pts)35.035.012.082.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
27Seattle Kraken (34-37-11, 79 pts)34.037.011.079.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
28Toronto Maple Leafs (32-36-14, 78 pts)32.036.014.078.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
29New York Rangers (34-39-9, 77 pts)34.039.09.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
30Calgary Flames (34-39-9, 77 pts)34.039.09.077.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
31Chicago Blackhawks (29-39-14, 72 pts)29.039.014.072.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
32Vancouver Canucks (25-49-8, 58 pts)25.049.08.058.00.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Hockey Methodology

All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.

The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.

  1. Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
  2. RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
  3. ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
  4. Total Wins: Full number of wins.
  5. There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.

Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.