Completed Games
| Time | Teams | Win | Best ML | Best Spread | Final Goals | Sportsbook Log Loss | DRatings Log Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Stars Ottawa Senators | 46.4% 53.6% | +108 -122 +110 -115 | +1½-250 -1½+215 +1½-240 -1½+220 | 3 2 | -0.76224-0.75294 | -0.76735 | |
| Toronto Maple Leafs Boston Bruins | 55.6% 44.4% | -133 +120 -132 +122 | -1½+189 +1½-210 -1½+180 +1½-205 | 3 5 | -0.81351-0.81674 | -0.81155 | |
| Florida Panthers Vegas Golden Knights | 50.4% 49.6% | +113 -128 +120 -124 | +1½-225 -1½+190 +1½-210 -1½+195 | 3 2 | -0.78654-0.79653 | -0.68435 | |
| Columbus Blue Jackets Edmonton Oilers | 43.6% 56.4% | +150 -170 +155 -168 | +1½-157 -1½+140 +1½-155 -1½+140 | 4 5 | -0.49182-0.48587 | -0.57268 | |
| Nashville Predators New York Rangers | 38.7% 61.3% | +168 -189 +167 -184 | +1½-155 -1½+135 +1½-150 -1½+150 | 3 6 | -0.45143-0.45621 | -0.48869 | |
| New York Islanders New Jersey Devils | 44.7% 55.3% | +121 -135 +125 -130 | +1½-210 -1½+180 +1½-210 -1½+195 | 3 2 | -0.81960-0.82055 | -0.80515 | |
| Winnipeg Jets Anaheim Ducks | 57.1% 42.9% | -140 +123 -130 +126 | -1½+175 +1½-195 -1½+190 +1½-180 | 1 4 | -0.83326-0.82303 | -0.84548 | |
| Colorado Avalanche Vancouver Canucks | 60.9% 39.1% | -200 +180 -190 +175 | -1½+125 +1½-140 -1½+135 +1½-135 | 5 4 | -0.42898-0.44150 | -0.49520 | |
| Calgary Flames Minnesota Wild | 44.9% 55.1% | +125 -140 +130 -140 | +1½-180 -1½+165 +1½-175 -1½+170 | 0 2 | -0.56639-0.55696 | -0.59635 | |
| Carolina Hurricanes Toronto Maple Leafs | 49.2% 50.8% | -130 +116 -125 +115 | -1½+180 +1½-209 -1½+195 +1½-210 | 5 4 | -0.59833-0.60825 | -0.70905 | |
| Utah Mammoth Ottawa Senators | 46.5% 53.5% | -115 +102 -105 -103 | -1½+225 -1½+226 +1½-250 -1½+240 | 2 4 | -0.73260-0.69788 | -0.62480 | |
| Seattle Kraken Dallas Stars | 39.7% 60.3% | +170 -192 +175 -190 | +1½-144 -1½+125 +1½-140 -1½+125 | 1 2 | -0.44679-0.44150 | -0.50546 | |
| Los Angeles Kings Pittsburgh Penguins | 58.5% 41.5% | -160 +142 -155 +144 | -1½+160 +1½-180 -1½+160 +1½-180 | 3 2 | -0.51371-0.51537 | -0.53659 | |
| Chicago Blackhawks Detroit Red Wings | 41.2% 58.8% | +160 -170 +160 -175 | +1½-160 -1½+149 +1½-160 -1½+145 | 5 1 | -0.96964-0.97625 | -0.88554 | |
| Anaheim Ducks Vegas Golden Knights | 38.1% 61.9% | +200 -196 +194 -210 | +1½-133 -1½+127 +1½-130 -1½+125 | 4 3 | -1.09410-1.09581 | -0.96404 | |
| Columbus Blue Jackets Vancouver Canucks | 50.6% 49.4% | -101 -110 -102 -108 | +1½-232 -1½+220 +1½-250 -1½+220 | 3 4 | -0.67258-0.67930 | -0.70439 |
Season Prediction Results
| Games | Record (Pct) | No Pick | +/- | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | 0 | 0-0 (0.000) | 0 | ||
| Sportsbooks | 0 | 0-0 (0.000) | 0 | ||
| DRatings | 0 | 0-0 (0.000) | 0 |
Season Simulation
*Through all games played on or before 06/14/26| Regular Season | Postseason | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | Team | W | L | T | Pts | Make Playoffs | Win 1st Rd | Win 2nd Rd | Conf. Champ | Stanley Cup |
| 1 | Carolina Hurricanes (53-22-7, 113 pts) | 53.0 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 113.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| 2 | Vegas Golden Knights (39-26-17, 95 pts) | 39.0 | 26.0 | 17.0 | 95.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 3 | Colorado Avalanche (55-16-11, 121 pts) | 55.0 | 16.0 | 11.0 | 121.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 4 | Montreal Canadiens (48-24-10, 106 pts) | 48.0 | 24.0 | 10.0 | 106.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 5 | Buffalo Sabres (50-23-9, 109 pts) | 50.0 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 109.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 6 | Minnesota Wild (46-24-12, 104 pts) | 46.0 | 24.0 | 12.0 | 104.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 7 | Philadelphia Flyers (43-27-12, 98 pts) | 43.0 | 27.0 | 12.0 | 98.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 8 | Anaheim Ducks (43-33-6, 92 pts) | 43.0 | 33.0 | 6.0 | 92.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 9 | Dallas Stars (50-20-12, 112 pts) | 50.0 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 112.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 10 | Tampa Bay Lightning (50-26-6, 106 pts) | 50.0 | 26.0 | 6.0 | 106.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 11 | Boston Bruins (45-27-10, 100 pts) | 45.0 | 27.0 | 10.0 | 100.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 12 | Ottawa Senators (44-27-11, 99 pts) | 44.0 | 27.0 | 11.0 | 99.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 13 | Pittsburgh Penguins (41-25-16, 98 pts) | 41.0 | 25.0 | 16.0 | 98.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 14 | Washington Capitals (43-30-9, 95 pts) | 43.0 | 30.0 | 9.0 | 95.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 15 | Edmonton Oilers (41-30-11, 93 pts) | 41.0 | 30.0 | 11.0 | 93.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 16 | Utah Mammoth (43-33-6, 92 pts) | 43.0 | 33.0 | 6.0 | 92.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 17 | Columbus Blue Jackets (40-30-12, 92 pts) | 40.0 | 30.0 | 12.0 | 92.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 18 | Detroit Red Wings (41-31-10, 92 pts) | 41.0 | 31.0 | 10.0 | 92.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 19 | New York Islanders (43-34-5, 91 pts) | 43.0 | 34.0 | 5.0 | 91.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 20 | Los Angeles Kings (35-27-20, 90 pts) | 35.0 | 27.0 | 20.0 | 90.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 21 | New Jersey Devils (42-37-3, 87 pts) | 42.0 | 37.0 | 3.0 | 87.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 22 | Nashville Predators (38-34-10, 86 pts) | 38.0 | 34.0 | 10.0 | 86.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 23 | San Jose Sharks (39-35-8, 86 pts) | 39.0 | 35.0 | 8.0 | 86.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 24 | St. Louis Blues (37-33-12, 86 pts) | 37.0 | 33.0 | 12.0 | 86.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 25 | Florida Panthers (40-38-4, 84 pts) | 40.0 | 38.0 | 4.0 | 84.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 26 | Winnipeg Jets (35-35-12, 82 pts) | 35.0 | 35.0 | 12.0 | 82.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 27 | Seattle Kraken (34-37-11, 79 pts) | 34.0 | 37.0 | 11.0 | 79.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 28 | Toronto Maple Leafs (32-36-14, 78 pts) | 32.0 | 36.0 | 14.0 | 78.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 29 | New York Rangers (34-39-9, 77 pts) | 34.0 | 39.0 | 9.0 | 77.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 30 | Calgary Flames (34-39-9, 77 pts) | 34.0 | 39.0 | 9.0 | 77.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 31 | Chicago Blackhawks (29-39-14, 72 pts) | 29.0 | 39.0 | 14.0 | 72.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 32 | Vancouver Canucks (25-49-8, 58 pts) | 25.0 | 49.0 | 8.0 | 58.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Hockey Methodology
All of our NHL hockey picks and predictions are listed above along with the odds to win. As of late 2017, we are now taking into account more information to make our predictions as accurate as possible. These predictions should be used for entertainment purposes only.
The current process simulates the regular season 500 times and the playoffs 1,000 times. Our simulations follow all of the rules of the NHL tiebreaker system which are as follows.
- Points: Most points accured by a team. In the case of uneven games played, it is point percentage.
- RW: Games won, not including those from overtime or shootout.
- ROW: Games won, not including those from shootout.
- Total Wins: Full number of wins.
- There are three more criteria which fulfill this list, but it is very unlikely that a scenario would fall this far.
Our projection system for the NHL is at Level 3, which one can read about in our Predictions Disclaimer.
Related Blog Posts
Realistic Expected ROI Target for Sports Bettors
Learn what a realistic expected ROI looks like in sports betting
Journey To March
Announcing Journey to March, a new interactive bracket projection site
Time Value of Money in Sports Betting
Analyzing the disconnect in how bettors think about value.
Randomness, Edge, and Volume in Sports Betting Outcomes
We dig into the data behind variance and expectation.
Top 5 Sweepstakes Sportsbooks
Find out who makes our top five sweepstakes sportsbook list.