Benfica at Vitória

Updated

Benfica

55.9%23.6%20.4%
Benfica WinDrawVitória Win
1.73Projected Goals 0.95
3Final Score 0

Vitoria

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Arouca-650
T 0-0 at Porto+290
W 1-2 vs Gil Vicente FC-345
T 1-1 vs Rio Ave-1000
W 3-0 at AVS-600
Vitoria
Money Line
L 0-2 at Famalicao+375
W 1-2 vs Santa Clara+210
L 0-2 at Alverca+160
T 1-1 vs Braga+325
W 2-0 at Estrela+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-205-221-240-208-213-208-208-167.5
Vitória+475+642+625+540+550+540+642+590.2
Draw+350+361+345+305+305+305+361+336.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-225-----210-210-167.5
Vitória+560----+560+560+590.2
Draw+380----+350+350+336.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Vitória: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Vitória: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -225 to -231
Vitória ML moved from +570 to +540

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Vitória: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -200 to -210
Vitória ML moved from +560 to +515

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½-106o2½-108o2½-108o2½-106o2½-108o2½-106o2½+102
Underu2½+102u2½-110u2½-112u2½-112u2½-114u2½-112u2½-110u2½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+102
Under-----u2½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-116 to u2½-115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.85%
Exactly 224.61%
Exactly 414.75%
Exactly 63.53%
Exactly 80.45%
 
Exactly 118.36%
Exactly 322.00%
Exactly 57.91%
Exactly 71.35%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 017.65%
Exactly 130.61%
Exactly 226.55%
Exactly 315.35%
Exactly 46.65%
Exactly 52.31%
Exactly 60.67%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 038.78%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.40%
Exactly 35.49%
Exactly 41.30%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.89%
Exactly 222.27%
Exactly 42.86%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.87%
Exactly 39.22%
Exactly 50.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 044.80%
Exactly 135.97%
Exactly 214.44%
Exactly 33.87%
Exactly 40.78%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 064.50%
Exactly 128.28%
Exactly 26.20%
Exactly 30.91%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals31.17%
Wins by 3+ goals13.94%
Wins by 4+ goals5.11%
Wins by 5+ goals1.55%
Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals6.92%
Wins by 3+ goals1.78%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Vitoria
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal24.69%
Wins by 2 goals17.23%
Wins by 3 goals8.84%
Wins by 4 goals3.55%
Wins by 5 goals1.17%
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal13.48%
Wins by 2 goals5.14%
Wins by 3 goals1.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.15%6.85%
1.574.80%25.20%
2.550.18%49.82%
3.528.18%71.82%
4.513.44%86.56%
5.55.53%94.47%
6.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.35%17.65%
1.551.73%48.27%
2.525.19%74.81%
3.59.84%90.16%
4.53.18%96.82%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.22%38.78%
1.524.48%75.52%
2.57.08%92.92%
3.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.11%28.89%
1.535.23%64.77%
2.512.96%87.04%
3.53.75%96.25%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Vitoria
Score01234
0
6.85%
6.48%
3.07%
0.97%
0.23%
1
11.87%
11.25%
5.33%
1.68%
0.40%
2
10.30%
9.75%
4.62%
1.46%
0.35%
3
5.95%
5.64%
2.67%
0.84%
0.20%
4
2.58%
2.44%
1.16%
0.37%
0.09%
5
0.90%
0.85%
0.40%
0.13%
0.03%
Benfica
1-011.87%
2-010.30%
2-19.75%
3-05.95%
3-15.64%
3-22.67%
4-02.58%
4-12.44%
4-21.16%
4-30.37%
5-00.90%
5-10.85%
5-20.40%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.85%
1-111.25%
2-24.62%
3-30.84%
Vitoria
0-16.48%
0-23.07%
1-25.33%
0-30.97%
1-31.68%
2-31.46%
0-40.23%
1-40.40%
2-40.35%
3-40.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Vitoria
Score0123
0
28.89%
12.67%
2.78%
0.41%
1
23.20%
10.17%
2.23%
0.33%
2
9.32%
4.09%
0.90%
0.13%
3
2.49%
1.09%
0.24%
0.04%
4
0.50%
0.22%
0.05%
0.01%
Benfica
1-023.20%
2-09.32%
2-14.09%
3-02.49%
3-11.09%
3-20.24%
4-00.50%
4-10.22%
Draw
0-028.89%
1-110.17%
2-20.90%
Vitoria
0-112.67%
0-22.78%
1-22.23%
0-30.41%
1-30.33%
2-30.13%