Vitória at Alverca

Updated

Vitoria

48.9%26.5%24.5%
Vitória WinDrawAlverca Win
1.45Projected Goals 0.95
0Final Score 2

Alverca

Last 5 Games

Vitoria
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Braga+325
W 2-0 at Estrela+150
T 1-1 vs Arouca-135
L 0-2 at Moreirense+150
W 2-3 vs Estoril-130
Alverca
Money Line
L 1-2 at Santa Clara+450
W 0-1 vs Tondela+115
L 2-1 vs Benfica+1000
T 2-2 at Estrela+210
L 3-0 vs Braga+455

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória+124+186+195+199+189+199+199+222.7
Alverca+220+177+165+157+171+157+177+177.4
Draw+225+203+188+181+191+181+203+203.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória+125----+160+160+222.7
Alverca+230----+190+190+177.4
Draw+230----+210+210+203.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alverca: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 40.0%
Alverca: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 10.0%
Alverca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Vitória ML moved from +192 to +178
Alverca ML moved from +171 to +165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alverca: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 30.0%
Alverca: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 0.0%
Alverca: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Vitória ML
Alverca ML moved from +230 to +190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-112o2-114o2-110o2-108o2-111o2-108o2-108o2+102
Underu2¼-108u2-103u2-110u2-112u2-109u2-112u2-103u2-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+102
Under-----u2-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-148 to u2+104

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.0%
 
No53.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.03%
Exactly 226.11%
Exactly 412.58%
Exactly 62.43%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.71%
Exactly 320.93%
Exactly 56.05%
Exactly 70.83%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 023.30%
Exactly 133.94%
Exactly 224.72%
Exactly 312.01%
Exactly 44.37%
Exactly 51.27%
Exactly 60.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Alverca
Exactly 038.75%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.41%
Exactly 35.50%
Exactly 41.30%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.84%
Exactly 220.36%
Exactly 42.10%
 
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 37.56%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 050.94%
Exactly 134.36%
Exactly 211.59%
Exactly 32.61%
Exactly 40.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alverca
Exactly 064.47%
Exactly 128.30%
Exactly 26.21%
Exactly 30.91%

Alternate Props

Spread

Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals24.27%
Wins by 3+ goals9.44%
Wins by 4+ goals2.94%
Wins by 5+ goals0.73%
Alverca
Wins by 2+ goals8.51%
Wins by 3+ goals2.23%
Wins by 4+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Vitoria
Alverca
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal24.58%
Wins by 2 goals14.83%
Wins by 3 goals6.50%
Wins by 4 goals2.22%
Wins by 5 goals0.61%
Alverca
Wins by 1 goal16.00%
Wins by 2 goals6.28%
Wins by 3 goals1.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.97%9.03%
1.569.26%30.74%
2.543.16%56.84%
3.522.23%77.77%
4.59.65%90.35%
5.53.60%96.40%
6.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.70%23.30%
1.542.76%57.24%
2.518.04%81.96%
3.56.03%93.97%
4.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Alverca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.25%38.75%
1.524.51%75.49%
2.57.10%92.90%
3.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.16%32.84%
1.530.59%69.41%
2.510.23%89.77%
3.52.67%97.33%

Score Props

Correct Score

Vitória
Alverca
Score01234
0
9.03%
8.56%
4.06%
1.28%
0.30%
1
13.15%
12.47%
5.91%
1.87%
0.44%
2
9.58%
9.08%
4.31%
1.36%
0.32%
3
4.65%
4.41%
2.09%
0.66%
0.16%
4
1.69%
1.61%
0.76%
0.24%
0.06%
5
0.49%
0.47%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
Vitoria
1-013.15%
2-09.58%
2-19.08%
3-04.65%
3-14.41%
3-22.09%
4-01.69%
4-11.61%
4-20.76%
4-30.24%
5-00.49%
5-10.47%
5-20.22%
Draw
0-09.03%
1-112.47%
2-24.31%
3-30.66%
Alverca
0-18.56%
0-24.06%
1-25.91%
0-31.28%
1-31.87%
2-31.36%
0-40.30%
1-40.44%
2-40.32%
3-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Vitória
Alverca
Score0123
0
32.84%
14.42%
3.16%
0.46%
1
22.15%
9.72%
2.13%
0.31%
2
7.47%
3.28%
0.72%
0.11%
3
1.68%
0.74%
0.16%
0.02%
4
0.28%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Vitoria
1-022.15%
2-07.47%
2-13.28%
3-01.68%
3-10.74%
3-20.16%
4-00.28%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-032.84%
1-19.72%
2-20.72%
Alverca
0-114.42%
0-23.16%
1-22.13%
0-30.46%
1-30.31%
2-30.11%