Arouca at Moreirense

Updated

Arouca

31.6%29.1%39.3%
Arouca WinDrawMoreirense Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.17
1Final Score 0

Moreirense

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Benfica+845
L 0-1 at Famalicao+430
L 1-3 at Porto+1250
W 0-3 vs Nacional+135
L 2-3 at Casa Pia AC+150
Moreirense
Money Line
L 0-3 at Porto+1450
T 1-1 vs Nacional+150
T 1-1 at Casa Pia AC+205
L 3-0 vs Sporting CP+1100
W 2-1 at Rio Ave+130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+195-+170+185+185+185+185+193.8
Moreirense+142-+169+175+175+175+175+183.5
Draw+215-+212+216+216+216+216+225.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+205----+175+175+193.8
Moreirense+145----+175+175+183.5
Draw+220----+210+210+225.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Moreirense: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +176 to +169
No Steam Moves On Moreirense ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Moreirense: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +190 to +175
No Steam Moves On Moreirense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115-o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-115o2¼-104
Underu2¼-105-u2¼-105u2¼-105u2¼-105u2¼-105u2¼-105u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-104
Under-----u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.2%
 
No55.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.14%
Exactly 226.83%
Exactly 410.77%
Exactly 61.73%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.44%
Exactly 319.63%
Exactly 54.73%
Exactly 70.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 036.00%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.79%
Exactly 36.40%
Exactly 41.63%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 030.93%
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 221.29%
Exactly 38.33%
Exactly 42.44%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.19%
Exactly 218.69%
Exactly 41.61%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.33%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 062.31%
Exactly 129.47%
Exactly 26.97%
Exactly 31.10%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 058.08%
Exactly 131.56%
Exactly 28.57%
Exactly 31.55%
Exactly 40.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals11.88%
Wins by 3+ goals3.37%
Wins by 4+ goals0.73%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%
Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals16.64%
Wins by 3+ goals5.41%
Wins by 4+ goals1.40%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Moreirense
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal19.70%
Wins by 2 goals8.51%
Wins by 3 goals2.64%
Wins by 4 goals0.63%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal22.63%
Wins by 2 goals11.23%
Wins by 3 goals4.01%
Wins by 4 goals1.11%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.86%11.14%
1.564.42%35.58%
2.537.59%62.41%
3.517.97%82.03%
4.57.20%92.80%
5.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.00%36.00%
1.527.22%72.78%
2.58.43%91.57%
3.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.07%30.93%
1.532.77%67.23%
2.511.48%88.52%
3.53.15%96.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.81%36.19%
1.527.02%72.98%
2.58.33%91.67%
3.52.00%98.00%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Moreirense
Score012345
0
11.14%
13.07%
7.67%
3.00%
0.88%
0.21%
1
11.38%
13.35%
7.83%
3.06%
0.90%
0.21%
2
5.81%
6.82%
4.00%
1.56%
0.46%
0.11%
3
1.98%
2.32%
1.36%
0.53%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.51%
0.59%
0.35%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.10%
0.12%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Arouca
1-011.38%
2-05.81%
2-16.82%
3-01.98%
3-12.32%
3-21.36%
4-00.51%
4-10.59%
4-20.35%
4-30.14%
5-00.10%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-011.14%
1-113.35%
2-24.00%
3-30.53%
Moreirense
0-113.07%
0-27.67%
1-27.83%
0-33.00%
1-33.06%
2-31.56%
0-40.88%
1-40.90%
2-40.46%
3-40.16%
0-50.21%
1-50.21%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Moreirense
Score01234
0
36.19%
19.66%
5.34%
0.97%
0.13%
1
17.12%
9.30%
2.53%
0.46%
0.06%
2
4.05%
2.20%
0.60%
0.11%
0.01%
3
0.64%
0.35%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-017.12%
2-04.05%
2-12.20%
3-00.64%
3-10.35%
Draw
0-036.19%
1-19.30%
2-20.60%
Moreirense
0-119.66%
0-25.34%
1-22.53%
0-30.97%
1-30.46%
2-30.11%
0-40.13%
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