Benfica at Paços

Updated

Benfica

68.1%19.2%12.7%
Benfica WinDrawWin
2.12Projected Goals 0.79
2Final Score 0

Pacos

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Porto+195
W 1-0 at Maritimo-165
T 0-0 vs Famalicao-300
W 2-0 at Sporting CP+295
W 1-3 vs Belenenses-310
Pacos
Money Line
L 0-2 at Santa Clara+355
T 1-1 vs Tondela+220
T 1-1 at Gil Vicente FC+430
L 0-4 at Vitoria+380
W 0-2 vs Maritimo+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-215-110-115-110-117-115-110-103.6
Paços+500+260+285+299+279+285+299+312.5
Draw+350+275+290+290+296+290+296+302.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-250-----115-115-103.6
Paços+610----+285+285+312.5
Draw+410----+285+285+302.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 40.0%
Paços: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Paços: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -105 to -115
Paços ML moved from +303 to +297

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 40.0%
Paços: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Paços: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -175 to -185
Paços ML moved from +455 to +285

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-125o3-105o3-112o3-110-o3-112o3-105o3+100
Underu2¾+105u3-115u3-108u3-105-u3-108u3-105u3+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+100
Under-----u3+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.9%
 
No52.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.46%
Exactly 223.09%
Exactly 416.26%
Exactly 64.58%
Exactly 80.69%
 
Exactly 115.88%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 59.45%
Exactly 71.90%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 012.01%
Exactly 125.45%
Exactly 226.97%
Exactly 319.06%
Exactly 410.10%
Exactly 54.28%
Exactly 61.51%
Exactly 70.46%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Pacos
Exactly 045.51%
Exactly 135.83%
Exactly 214.10%
Exactly 33.70%
Exactly 40.73%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.03%
Exactly 223.58%
Exactly 43.56%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.03%
Exactly 310.58%
Exactly 50.96%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 037.48%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.05%
Exactly 35.90%
Exactly 41.45%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Pacos
Exactly 069.45%
Exactly 125.32%
Exactly 24.61%
Exactly 30.56%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals43.75%
Wins by 3+ goals23.05%
Wins by 4+ goals10.10%
Wins by 5+ goals3.74%
Pacos
Wins by 2+ goals3.64%
Wins by 3+ goals0.79%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Pacos
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal24.34%
Wins by 2 goals20.70%
Wins by 3 goals12.96%
Wins by 4 goals6.36%
Wins by 5 goals2.56%
Pacos
Wins by 1 goal9.04%
Wins by 2 goals2.85%
Wins by 3 goals0.66%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.54%5.46%
1.578.65%21.35%
2.555.56%44.44%
3.533.19%66.81%
4.516.94%83.06%
5.57.48%92.52%
6.52.90%97.10%
7.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.99%12.01%
1.562.54%37.46%
2.535.57%64.43%
3.516.51%83.49%
4.56.41%93.59%
5.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals Pacos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.49%45.51%
1.518.66%81.34%
2.54.56%95.44%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.97%26.03%
1.538.94%61.06%
2.515.36%84.64%
3.54.78%95.22%
4.51.22%98.78%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Pacos
Score0123
0
5.46%
4.30%
1.69%
0.44%
1
11.58%
9.12%
3.59%
0.94%
2
12.28%
9.66%
3.80%
1.00%
3
8.67%
6.83%
2.69%
0.71%
4
4.60%
3.62%
1.42%
0.37%
5
1.95%
1.53%
0.60%
0.16%
Benfica
1-011.58%
2-012.28%
2-19.66%
3-08.67%
3-16.83%
3-22.69%
4-04.60%
4-13.62%
4-21.42%
4-30.37%
5-01.95%
5-11.53%
5-20.60%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-05.46%
1-19.12%
2-23.80%
3-30.71%
Pacos
0-14.30%
0-21.69%
1-23.59%
0-30.44%
1-30.94%
2-31.00%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Pacos
Score0123
0
26.03%
9.49%
1.73%
0.21%
1
25.55%
9.31%
1.70%
0.21%
2
12.54%
4.57%
0.83%
0.10%
3
4.10%
1.49%
0.27%
0.03%
4
1.01%
0.37%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.20%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Benfica
1-025.55%
2-012.54%
2-14.57%
3-04.10%
3-11.49%
3-20.27%
4-01.01%
4-10.37%
5-00.20%
Draw
0-026.03%
1-19.31%
2-20.83%
Pacos
0-19.49%
0-21.73%
1-21.70%
0-30.21%
1-30.21%
2-30.10%