Alverca at Braga

Updated

Alverca

8.5%15.5%76.0%
WinDrawBraga Win
0.68Projected Goals 2.43
0Final Score 5

Braga

Last 5 Games

Alverca
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Moreirense+130
W 0-1 vs Famalicao+280
L 1-4 at Estoril+240
L 3-0 vs Porto+845
L 0-1 at Arouca+145
Braga
Money Line
W 1-0 at Tondela-195
T 3-3 at Estrela-140
T 2-2 vs Benfica+255
L 0-1 at Estoril-160
W 0-1 vs Santa Clara-220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alverca+600-+625+650+650+650+650+678.2
Braga-235--235-217-217-217-217-193.9
Draw+345-+345+355+355+355+355+372.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alverca+625----+550+550+678.2
Braga-230-----200-200-193.9
Draw+360----+335+335+372.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alverca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alverca: 0.0%
Braga: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alverca: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alverca ML moved from +550 to +525
Braga ML moved from -208 to -217

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alverca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alverca: 0.0%
Braga: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alverca: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alverca ML moved from +675 to +555
Braga ML moved from -235 to -250

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120-o2½-112o2½-113o2½-111o2½-113o2½-111o2½-103
Underu2½+100-u2½-108u2½-107u2½-109u2½-107u2½-107u2½+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-103
Under-----u2½+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.0%
 
No55.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.47%
Exactly 221.58%
Exactly 417.38%
Exactly 65.60%
Exactly 80.97%
Exactly 100.10%
 
Exactly 113.89%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 510.80%
Exactly 72.48%
Exactly 90.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Alverca
Exactly 050.66%
Exactly 134.45%
Exactly 211.71%
Exactly 32.66%
Exactly 40.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 08.82%
Exactly 121.42%
Exactly 226.00%
Exactly 321.04%
Exactly 412.77%
Exactly 56.20%
Exactly 62.51%
Exactly 70.87%
Exactly 80.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.71%
Exactly 224.56%
Exactly 44.24%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.13%
Exactly 311.78%
Exactly 51.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alverca
Exactly 072.99%
Exactly 122.98%
Exactly 23.62%
Exactly 30.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 032.49%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 220.53%
Exactly 37.69%
Exactly 42.16%
Exactly 50.49%

Alternate Props

Spread

Alverca
Wins by 2+ goals2.09%
Wins by 3+ goals0.37%
Braga
Wins by 2+ goals53.27%
Wins by 3+ goals31.17%
Wins by 4+ goals15.31%
Wins by 5+ goals6.39%
Wins by 6+ goals2.27%
Wins by 7+ goals0.67%
Wins by 8+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Alverca
Braga
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Alverca
Wins by 1 goal6.33%
Wins by 2 goals1.72%
Wins by 3 goals0.33%
Braga
Wins by 1 goal22.64%
Wins by 2 goals22.09%
Wins by 3 goals15.86%
Wins by 4 goals8.93%
Wins by 5 goals4.12%
Wins by 6 goals1.60%
Wins by 7 goals0.53%
Wins by 8 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.53%4.47%
1.581.64%18.36%
2.560.06%39.94%
3.537.70%62.30%
4.520.32%79.68%
5.59.52%90.48%
6.53.93%96.07%
7.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals Alverca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.34%50.66%
1.514.89%85.11%
2.53.18%96.82%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.18%8.82%
1.569.76%30.24%
2.543.76%56.24%
3.522.72%77.28%
4.59.94%90.06%
5.53.74%96.26%
6.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.29%23.71%
1.542.16%57.84%
2.517.60%82.40%
3.55.82%94.18%
4.51.59%98.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Alverca
Braga
Score012345
0
4.47%
10.85%
13.17%
10.66%
6.47%
3.14%
1
3.04%
7.38%
8.96%
7.25%
4.40%
2.14%
2
1.03%
2.51%
3.05%
2.47%
1.50%
0.73%
3
0.23%
0.57%
0.69%
0.56%
0.34%
0.16%
Alverca
1-03.04%
2-01.03%
2-12.51%
3-00.23%
3-10.57%
3-20.69%
Draw
0-04.47%
1-17.38%
2-23.05%
3-30.56%
Braga
0-110.85%
0-213.17%
1-28.96%
0-310.66%
1-37.25%
2-32.47%
0-46.47%
1-44.40%
2-41.50%
3-40.34%
0-53.14%
1-52.14%
2-50.73%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Alverca
Braga
Score012345
0
23.71%
26.66%
14.99%
5.62%
1.58%
0.35%
1
7.47%
8.39%
4.72%
1.77%
0.50%
0.11%
2
1.18%
1.32%
0.74%
0.28%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.12%
0.14%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Alverca
1-07.47%
2-01.18%
2-11.32%
3-00.12%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-023.71%
1-18.39%
2-20.74%
Braga
0-126.66%
0-214.99%
1-24.72%
0-35.62%
1-31.77%
2-30.28%
0-41.58%
1-40.50%
0-50.35%
1-50.11%