Moreirense at Alverca

Updated

Moreirense

34.7%28.7%36.6%
Moreirense WinDrawAlverca Win
1.10Projected Goals 1.15
1Final Score 2

Alverca

Last 5 Games

Moreirense
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Tondela+105
W 2-0 at AVS+110
T 0-0 at Estrela+185
L 4-0 vs Benfica+775
T 3-3 at Estoril+245
Alverca
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Famalicao+280
L 1-4 at Estoril+240
L 3-0 vs Porto+845
L 0-1 at Arouca+145
W 0-1 vs Nacional+115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+178-+235+205+205+205+235+229.5
Alverca+159-+145+144+144+144+145+163.6
Draw+215-+178+192+192+192+192+215.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+190----+260+260+229.5
Alverca+170----+130+130+163.6
Draw+200----+195+195+215.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alverca: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 20.0%
Alverca: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 30.0%
Alverca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +245 to +235
Alverca ML moved from +138 to +120

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Moreirense: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alverca: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 20.0%
Alverca: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 80.0%
Alverca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Moreirense ML
Alverca ML moved from +140 to +130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102-o2-105o2-102o2-102o2-102o2-102o2+107
Underu2¼-122-u2-115u2-118u2-118u2-118u2-115u2-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+107
Under-----u2-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¼-115 to u2+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.7%
 
No54.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.51%
Exactly 226.67%
Exactly 411.28%
Exactly 61.91%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.67%
Exactly 320.03%
Exactly 55.08%
Exactly 70.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 033.05%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 220.26%
Exactly 37.48%
Exactly 42.07%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Alverca
Exactly 031.79%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 220.88%
Exactly 37.98%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 50.52%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.23%
Exactly 219.17%
Exactly 41.74%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 36.67%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 059.89%
Exactly 130.70%
Exactly 27.87%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alverca
Exactly 058.82%
Exactly 131.21%
Exactly 28.28%
Exactly 31.46%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals13.83%
Wins by 3+ goals4.20%
Wins by 4+ goals0.97%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%
Alverca
Wins by 2+ goals15.12%
Wins by 3+ goals4.80%
Wins by 4+ goals1.21%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Moreirense
Alverca
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal20.75%
Wins by 2 goals9.63%
Wins by 3 goals3.23%
Wins by 4 goals0.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Alverca
Wins by 1 goal21.48%
Wins by 2 goals10.32%
Wins by 3 goals3.59%
Wins by 4 goals0.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.49%10.51%
1.565.82%34.18%
2.539.15%60.85%
3.519.12%80.88%
4.57.84%92.16%
5.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.95%33.05%
1.530.36%69.64%
2.510.10%89.90%
3.52.63%97.37%

Total Goals Alverca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.21%31.79%
1.531.78%68.22%
2.510.90%89.10%
3.52.93%97.07%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.77%35.23%
1.528.01%71.99%
2.58.84%91.16%
3.52.18%97.82%

Score Props

Correct Score

Moreirense
Alverca
Score012345
0
10.51%
12.04%
6.90%
2.64%
0.76%
0.17%
1
11.63%
13.33%
7.64%
2.92%
0.84%
0.19%
2
6.44%
7.38%
4.23%
1.62%
0.46%
0.11%
3
2.38%
2.72%
1.56%
0.60%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.66%
0.75%
0.43%
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.17%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Moreirense
1-011.63%
2-06.44%
2-17.38%
3-02.38%
3-12.72%
3-21.56%
4-00.66%
4-10.75%
4-20.43%
4-30.17%
5-00.15%
5-10.17%
Draw
0-010.51%
1-113.33%
2-24.23%
3-30.60%
Alverca
0-112.04%
0-26.90%
1-27.64%
0-32.64%
1-32.92%
2-31.62%
0-40.76%
1-40.84%
2-40.46%
3-40.17%
0-50.17%
1-50.19%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Moreirense
Alverca
Score01234
0
35.23%
18.69%
4.96%
0.88%
0.12%
1
18.06%
9.58%
2.54%
0.45%
0.06%
2
4.63%
2.46%
0.65%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.79%
0.42%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.10%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Moreirense
1-018.06%
2-04.63%
2-12.46%
3-00.79%
3-10.42%
3-20.11%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-035.23%
1-19.58%
2-20.65%
Alverca
0-118.69%
0-24.96%
1-22.54%
0-30.88%
1-30.45%
2-30.12%
0-40.12%
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