Estoril at Nacional

Updated

Estoril

33.4%27.6%39.0%
Estoril WinDrawNacional Win
1.14Projected Goals 1.26
1Final Score 0

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Estoril
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Casa Pia AC-135
L 0-3 at Sporting CP+1275
W 1-3 vs Gil Vicente FC+215
L 0-3 at AVS-130
T 2-2 vs Tondela-150
Nacional
Money Line
T 1-1 at Moreirense+200
L 2-1 vs Braga+480
L 0-3 at Arouca+205
L 1-0 vs Porto+725
T 0-0 vs Casa Pia AC-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+176-+180+190+200+190+190+201.7
Nacional+144-+140+144+140+144+144+153.9
Draw+240-+245+250+250+250+250+264.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+180----+220+220+201.7
Nacional+145----+120+120+153.9
Draw+250----+255+255+264.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +200 to +190
Nacional ML moved from +125 to +115

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Estoril: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 20.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 70.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estoril ML
Nacional ML moved from +130 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-110-o3+102o3+103o3+103o3+103o3+103o3+112
Underu2¾-110-u3-122u3-123u3-123u3-123u3-122u3-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+112
Under-----u3-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.06%
Exactly 226.12%
Exactly 412.55%
Exactly 62.41%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.75%
Exactly 320.91%
Exactly 56.03%
Exactly 70.83%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 031.90%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 220.82%
Exactly 37.93%
Exactly 42.27%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 028.40%
Exactly 135.75%
Exactly 222.50%
Exactly 39.44%
Exactly 42.97%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.89%
Exactly 220.33%
Exactly 42.09%
 
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 37.54%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 058.92%
Exactly 131.17%
Exactly 28.25%
Exactly 31.45%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 055.83%
Exactly 132.54%
Exactly 29.48%
Exactly 31.84%
Exactly 40.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals13.46%
Wins by 3+ goals4.16%
Wins by 4+ goals0.98%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals17.16%
Wins by 3+ goals5.86%
Wins by 4+ goals1.60%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Estoril
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal19.81%
Wins by 2 goals9.31%
Wins by 3 goals3.18%
Wins by 4 goals0.83%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal21.82%
Wins by 2 goals11.30%
Wins by 3 goals4.26%
Wins by 4 goals1.25%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.94%9.06%
1.569.19%30.81%
2.543.07%56.93%
3.522.16%77.84%
4.59.60%90.40%
5.53.58%96.42%
6.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.10%31.90%
1.531.66%68.34%
2.510.83%89.17%
3.52.90%97.10%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.60%28.40%
1.535.85%64.15%
2.513.35%86.65%
3.53.91%96.09%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.11%32.89%
1.530.53%69.47%
2.510.20%89.80%
3.52.66%97.34%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estoril
Nacional
Score012345
0
9.06%
11.40%
7.18%
3.01%
0.95%
0.24%
1
10.35%
13.03%
8.20%
3.44%
1.08%
0.27%
2
5.91%
7.44%
4.69%
1.97%
0.62%
0.16%
3
2.25%
2.84%
1.78%
0.75%
0.24%
0.06%
4
0.64%
0.81%
0.51%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.15%
0.19%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Estoril
1-010.35%
2-05.91%
2-17.44%
3-02.25%
3-12.84%
3-21.78%
4-00.64%
4-10.81%
4-20.51%
4-30.21%
5-00.15%
5-10.19%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-09.06%
1-113.03%
2-24.69%
3-30.75%
Nacional
0-111.40%
0-27.18%
1-28.20%
0-33.01%
1-33.44%
2-31.97%
0-40.95%
1-41.08%
2-40.62%
3-40.24%
0-50.24%
1-50.27%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Estoril
Nacional
Score01234
0
32.89%
19.17%
5.59%
1.09%
0.16%
1
17.40%
10.14%
2.96%
0.57%
0.08%
2
4.60%
2.68%
0.78%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.81%
0.47%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Estoril
1-017.40%
2-04.60%
2-12.68%
3-00.81%
3-10.47%
3-20.14%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-032.89%
1-110.14%
2-20.78%
Nacional
0-119.17%
0-25.59%
1-22.96%
0-31.09%
1-30.57%
2-30.15%
0-40.16%