Chaves at Moreirense

Updated

Chaves

16.6%22.8%60.6%
WinDrawMoreirense Win
0.81Projected Goals 1.79
0Final Score 1

Moreirense

Last 5 Games

Chaves
Money Line
T 1-1 vs SC Farense+135
T 1-1 at Braga+850
T 0-0 vs Rio Ave+215
L 3-0 vs Sporting CP+1050
T 2-2 at Famalicao+445
Moreirense
Money Line
L 0-1 at Braga+610
W 0-1 vs Famalicao+140
L 0-5 at Porto+685
W 3-1 at Estoril+195
L 4-1 vs Casa Pia AC-145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+340+365+340+365+374+365+374+387.5
Moreirense-130-113-110-115-117-115-110-104.2
Draw+270+241+220+235+243+235+243+251.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+370----+380+380+387.5
Moreirense-130-----125-125-104.2
Draw+270----+250+250+251.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Moreirense: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Chaves: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chaves ML moved from +381 to +374
Moreirense ML moved from -122 to -128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Moreirense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Chaves: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chaves ML moved from +380 to +370
Moreirense ML moved from -115 to -130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115o2-139o2¼+102o2¼+108o2¼+103o2¼+108o2¼+108o2¼+117
Underu2¾-105u2+117u2¼-122u2¼-128u2¼-121u2¼-128u2¼-121u2¼-117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+117
Under-----u2¼-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-105 to u2½+102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.2%
 
No53.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.43%
Exactly 225.11%
Exactly 414.14%
Exactly 63.19%
Exactly 80.38%
 
Exactly 119.31%
Exactly 321.76%
Exactly 57.35%
Exactly 71.18%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Chaves
Exactly 044.49%
Exactly 136.03%
Exactly 214.59%
Exactly 33.94%
Exactly 40.80%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 016.70%
Exactly 129.89%
Exactly 226.75%
Exactly 315.96%
Exactly 47.14%
Exactly 52.56%
Exactly 60.76%
Exactly 70.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.01%
Exactly 221.74%
Exactly 42.62%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.12%
Exactly 38.72%
Exactly 50.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chaves
Exactly 068.73%
Exactly 125.77%
Exactly 24.83%
Exactly 30.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 043.66%
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 214.99%
Exactly 34.14%
Exactly 40.86%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chaves
Wins by 2+ goals4.97%
Wins by 3+ goals1.12%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%
Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals35.03%
Wins by 3+ goals16.23%
Wins by 4+ goals6.15%
Wins by 5+ goals1.94%
Wins by 6+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Chaves
Moreirense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Chaves
Wins by 1 goal11.57%
Wins by 2 goals3.85%
Wins by 3 goals0.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal25.57%
Wins by 2 goals18.80%
Wins by 3 goals10.08%
Wins by 4 goals4.22%
Wins by 5 goals1.44%
Wins by 6 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.57%7.43%
1.573.26%26.74%
2.548.15%51.85%
3.526.39%73.61%
4.512.25%87.75%
5.54.90%95.10%
6.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals Chaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.51%44.49%
1.519.48%80.52%
2.54.89%95.11%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.30%16.70%
1.553.41%46.59%
2.526.66%73.34%
3.510.71%89.29%
4.53.57%96.43%
5.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.99%30.01%
1.533.87%66.13%
2.512.13%87.87%
3.53.41%96.59%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chaves
Moreirense
Score012345
0
7.43%
13.30%
11.90%
7.10%
3.18%
1.14%
1
6.02%
10.77%
9.64%
5.75%
2.57%
0.92%
2
2.44%
4.36%
3.90%
2.33%
1.04%
0.37%
3
0.66%
1.18%
1.05%
0.63%
0.28%
0.10%
4
0.13%
0.24%
0.21%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
Chaves
1-06.02%
2-02.44%
2-14.36%
3-00.66%
3-11.18%
3-21.05%
4-00.13%
4-10.24%
4-20.21%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-07.43%
1-110.77%
2-23.90%
3-30.63%
Moreirense
0-113.30%
0-211.90%
1-29.64%
0-37.10%
1-35.75%
2-32.33%
0-43.18%
1-42.57%
2-41.04%
3-40.28%
0-51.14%
1-50.92%
2-50.37%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Chaves
Moreirense
Score01234
0
30.01%
24.87%
10.30%
2.85%
0.59%
1
11.25%
9.33%
3.86%
1.07%
0.22%
2
2.11%
1.75%
0.72%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.26%
0.22%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Chaves
1-011.25%
2-02.11%
2-11.75%
3-00.26%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-030.01%
1-19.33%
2-20.72%
Moreirense
0-124.87%
0-210.30%
1-23.86%
0-32.85%
1-31.07%
2-30.20%
0-40.59%
1-40.22%
Famalicão at SC Farense
Estoril at Boavista