Chaves at Arouca

Updated

Chaves

17.3%23.4%59.3%
WinDrawArouca Win
0.82Projected Goals 1.74
0Final Score 1

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Chaves
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Pacos+115
W 2-1 at Famalicao+370
W 0-1 vs Casa Pia AC+155
T 1-1 at Santa Clara+190
W 0-1 vs Benfica+1000
Arouca
Money Line
L 0-2 at Estoril+190
L 1-0 vs Porto+800
L 0-1 at Rio Ave+225
W 0-1 vs FC Vizela+170
T 1-1 at Sporting CP+1100

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+170+280+255+285+284+285+285+304.1
Arouca+165+102+105-105+101-105+102+104.9
Draw+215+255+235+260+260+260+260+277.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+230----+225+225+304.1
Arouca+130----+125+125+104.9
Draw+220----+235+235+277.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Arouca: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chaves ML moved from +227 to +220
Arouca ML moved from +102 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Arouca: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Arouca: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 0.0%
Arouca: 80.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Chaves ML
No Steam Moves On Arouca ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125o2½-104o2½+102o2½+100o2½+100o2½+100o2½+102o2½+109
Underu2¼+105u2½-114u2½-122u2½-120u2½-115u2½-120u2½-114u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-116 to u2¼-103

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.1%
 
No53.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.74%
Exactly 225.34%
Exactly 413.83%
Exactly 63.02%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.80%
Exactly 321.61%
Exactly 57.08%
Exactly 71.10%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Chaves
Exactly 044.14%
Exactly 136.10%
Exactly 214.76%
Exactly 34.02%
Exactly 40.82%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 017.53%
Exactly 130.52%
Exactly 226.58%
Exactly 315.43%
Exactly 46.72%
Exactly 52.34%
Exactly 60.68%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.58%
Exactly 221.47%
Exactly 42.51%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 38.48%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chaves
Exactly 068.48%
Exactly 125.93%
Exactly 24.91%
Exactly 30.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 044.65%
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 214.51%
Exactly 33.90%
Exactly 40.79%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chaves
Wins by 2+ goals5.26%
Wins by 3+ goals1.20%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals33.65%
Wins by 3+ goals15.26%
Wins by 4+ goals5.65%
Wins by 5+ goals1.74%
Wins by 6+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Chaves
Arouca
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Chaves
Wins by 1 goal12.04%
Wins by 2 goals4.06%
Wins by 3 goals0.99%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal25.63%
Wins by 2 goals18.39%
Wins by 3 goals9.61%
Wins by 4 goals3.92%
Wins by 5 goals1.30%
Wins by 6 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.26%7.74%
1.572.46%27.54%
2.547.13%52.87%
3.525.52%74.48%
4.511.69%88.31%
5.54.61%95.39%
6.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Chaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.86%44.14%
1.519.77%80.23%
2.55.00%95.00%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.47%17.53%
1.551.95%48.05%
2.525.37%74.63%
3.59.95%90.05%
4.53.23%96.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.42%30.58%
1.533.19%66.81%
2.511.73%88.27%
3.53.25%96.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chaves
Arouca
Score012345
0
7.74%
13.47%
11.73%
6.81%
2.96%
1.03%
1
6.33%
11.02%
9.59%
5.57%
2.42%
0.84%
2
2.59%
4.51%
3.92%
2.28%
0.99%
0.35%
3
0.71%
1.23%
1.07%
0.62%
0.27%
0.09%
4
0.14%
0.25%
0.22%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
Chaves
1-06.33%
2-02.59%
2-14.51%
3-00.71%
3-11.23%
3-21.07%
4-00.14%
4-10.25%
4-20.22%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-07.74%
1-111.02%
2-23.92%
3-30.62%
Arouca
0-113.47%
0-211.73%
1-29.59%
0-36.81%
1-35.57%
2-32.28%
0-42.96%
1-42.42%
2-40.99%
3-40.27%
0-51.03%
1-50.84%
2-50.35%

Correct Score - First Half

Chaves
Arouca
Score01234
0
30.58%
24.65%
9.94%
2.67%
0.54%
1
11.58%
9.34%
3.76%
1.01%
0.20%
2
2.19%
1.77%
0.71%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.28%
0.22%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Chaves
1-011.58%
2-02.19%
2-11.77%
3-00.28%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-030.58%
1-19.34%
2-20.71%
Arouca
0-124.65%
0-29.94%
1-23.76%
0-32.67%
1-31.01%
2-30.19%
0-40.54%
1-40.20%