Casa Pia AC at Nacional

Updated

Casa Pia AC

20.7%23.1%56.2%
Casa Pia AC WinDrawNacional Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.79
0Final Score 0

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Casa Pia AC
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Porto+1150
T 3-3 vs AVS+110
L 0-3 at Sporting CP+1500
L 1-3 at Rio Ave+240
T 0-0 vs Vitoria+215
Nacional
Money Line
L 1-2 at Sporting CP+2400
W 0-4 vs Rio Ave-105
L 1-2 at Gil Vicente FC+400
T 3-3 vs Santa Clara+180
L 1-2 at Vitoria+330

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Casa Pia AC+255-+350+370+370+370+370+388.8
Nacional+118--128-122-122-122-122-112.0
Draw+212-+255+260+260+260+260+274.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Casa Pia AC+270----+370+370+388.8
Nacional+115-----125-125-112.0
Draw+220----+255+255+274.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Nacional: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Casa Pia AC ML moved from +355 to +345
Nacional ML moved from -117 to -125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Nacional: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Casa Pia AC ML
Nacional ML moved from -105 to -125

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115-o2½-112o2¾+120o2¾+120o2¾+120o2½-112o2¾+128
Underu2¼-105-u2½-108u2¾-140u2¾-140u2¾-140u2¾-140u2¾-128
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+128
Under-----u2¾-128

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.5%
 
No47.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.16%
Exactly 223.92%
Exactly 415.49%
Exactly 64.01%
Exactly 80.56%
 
Exactly 117.17%
Exactly 322.23%
Exactly 58.63%
Exactly 71.60%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 037.06%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.26%
Exactly 36.04%
Exactly 41.50%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 016.62%
Exactly 129.82%
Exactly 226.76%
Exactly 316.01%
Exactly 47.18%
Exactly 52.58%
Exactly 60.77%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.51%
Exactly 222.91%
Exactly 43.18%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.51%
Exactly 39.86%
Exactly 50.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 063.16%
Exactly 129.02%
Exactly 26.67%
Exactly 31.02%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 043.56%
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 215.04%
Exactly 34.17%
Exactly 40.87%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Casa Pia AC
Wins by 2+ goals7.20%
Wins by 3+ goals1.92%
Wins by 4+ goals0.39%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals31.86%
Wins by 3+ goals14.57%
Wins by 4+ goals5.47%
Wins by 5+ goals1.71%
Wins by 6+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Casa Pia AC
Nacional
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 1 goal13.44%
Wins by 2 goals5.28%
Wins by 3 goals1.53%
Wins by 4 goals0.34%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal24.30%
Wins by 2 goals17.29%
Wins by 3 goals9.10%
Wins by 4 goals3.76%
Wins by 5 goals1.28%
Wins by 6 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.84%6.16%
1.576.68%23.32%
2.552.75%47.25%
3.530.53%69.47%
4.515.04%84.96%
5.56.40%93.60%
6.52.39%97.61%

Total Goals Casa Pia AC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.94%37.06%
1.526.15%73.85%
2.57.89%92.11%
3.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.38%16.62%
1.553.56%46.44%
2.526.80%73.20%
3.510.79%89.21%
4.53.60%96.40%
5.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.49%27.51%
1.536.98%63.02%
2.514.07%85.93%
3.54.22%95.78%
4.51.04%98.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

Casa Pia AC
Nacional
Score012345
0
6.16%
11.05%
9.92%
5.93%
2.66%
0.96%
1
6.11%
10.97%
9.85%
5.89%
2.64%
0.95%
2
3.03%
5.44%
4.89%
2.92%
1.31%
0.47%
3
1.00%
1.80%
1.62%
0.97%
0.43%
0.16%
4
0.25%
0.45%
0.40%
0.24%
0.11%
0.04%
Casa Pia AC
1-06.11%
2-03.03%
2-15.44%
3-01.00%
3-11.80%
3-21.62%
4-00.25%
4-10.45%
4-20.40%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-06.16%
1-110.97%
2-24.89%
3-30.97%
4-40.11%
Nacional
0-111.05%
0-29.92%
1-29.85%
0-35.93%
1-35.89%
2-32.92%
0-42.66%
1-42.64%
2-41.31%
3-40.43%
0-50.96%
1-50.95%
2-50.47%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Casa Pia AC
Nacional
Score01234
0
27.51%
22.86%
9.50%
2.63%
0.55%
1
12.64%
10.51%
4.37%
1.21%
0.25%
2
2.91%
2.41%
1.00%
0.28%
0.06%
3
0.45%
0.37%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Casa Pia AC
1-012.64%
2-02.91%
2-12.41%
3-00.45%
3-10.37%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-027.51%
1-110.51%
2-21.00%
Nacional
0-122.86%
0-29.50%
1-24.37%
0-32.63%
1-31.21%
2-30.28%
0-40.55%
1-40.25%
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