Braga at Nacional

Updated

Braga

55.8%24.3%20.0%
Braga WinDrawWin
1.67Projected Goals 0.89
2Final Score 1

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Braga
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Vitoria-200
L 1-2 at Gil Vicente FC+110
W 0-3 vs Rio Ave-575
W 4-0 at AVS-330
W 0-5 vs Alverca-200
Nacional
Money Line
L 0-3 at Arouca+205
L 1-0 vs Porto+725
T 0-0 vs Casa Pia AC-125
L 1-2 at Sporting CP+2400
W 0-4 vs Rio Ave-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga-174--204-182-200-200-200-172.1
Nacional+445-+500+525+525+525+525+558.7
Draw+310-+335+340+340+340+340+363.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga-190-----175-175-172.1
Nacional+500----+480+480+558.7
Draw+335----+315+315+363.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 0.0%
Nacional: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braga: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from -182 to -200
Nacional ML moved from +475 to +425

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 0.0%
Nacional: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braga: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Braga ML
Nacional ML moved from +500 to +485

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾+100-o2¾-108o2½-129o2½-129o2½-129o2½-129o2½-118
Underu2¾-120-u2¾-112u2½+109u2½+109u2½+109u2¾-112u2½+118
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-118
Under-----u2½+118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.9%
 
No52.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.71%
Exactly 225.32%
Exactly 413.86%
Exactly 63.03%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.76%
Exactly 321.63%
Exactly 57.10%
Exactly 71.11%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 018.80%
Exactly 131.42%
Exactly 226.26%
Exactly 314.63%
Exactly 46.11%
Exactly 52.04%
Exactly 60.57%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 041.00%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 216.29%
Exactly 34.84%
Exactly 41.08%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.53%
Exactly 221.49%
Exactly 42.52%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 38.50%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 046.13%
Exactly 135.69%
Exactly 213.81%
Exactly 33.56%
Exactly 40.69%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 066.18%
Exactly 127.32%
Exactly 25.64%
Exactly 30.78%

Alternate Props

Spread

Braga
Wins by 2+ goals30.57%
Wins by 3+ goals13.35%
Wins by 4+ goals4.76%
Wins by 5+ goals1.41%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals6.50%
Wins by 3+ goals1.60%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Braga
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Braga
Wins by 1 goal25.18%
Wins by 2 goals17.21%
Wins by 3 goals8.59%
Wins by 4 goals3.35%
Wins by 5 goals1.07%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal13.43%
Wins by 2 goals4.90%
Wins by 3 goals1.30%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.29%7.71%
1.572.53%27.47%
2.547.22%52.78%
3.525.59%74.41%
4.511.74%88.26%
5.54.63%95.37%
6.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.20%18.80%
1.549.78%50.22%
2.523.52%76.48%
3.58.89%91.11%
4.52.78%97.22%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.00%41.00%
1.522.44%77.56%
2.56.15%93.85%
3.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.47%30.53%
1.533.25%66.75%
2.511.76%88.24%
3.53.26%96.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Braga
Nacional
Score01234
0
7.71%
6.87%
3.06%
0.91%
0.20%
1
12.88%
11.49%
5.12%
1.52%
0.34%
2
10.77%
9.60%
4.28%
1.27%
0.28%
3
6.00%
5.35%
2.38%
0.71%
0.16%
4
2.51%
2.23%
1.00%
0.30%
0.07%
5
0.84%
0.75%
0.33%
0.10%
0.02%
Braga
1-012.88%
2-010.77%
2-19.60%
3-06.00%
3-15.35%
3-22.38%
4-02.51%
4-12.23%
4-21.00%
4-30.30%
5-00.84%
5-10.75%
5-20.33%
Draw
0-07.71%
1-111.49%
2-24.28%
3-30.71%
Nacional
0-16.87%
0-23.06%
1-25.12%
0-30.91%
1-31.52%
2-31.27%
0-40.20%
1-40.34%
2-40.28%
3-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Braga
Nacional
Score0123
0
30.53%
12.60%
2.60%
0.36%
1
23.62%
9.75%
2.01%
0.28%
2
9.14%
3.77%
0.78%
0.11%
3
2.36%
0.97%
0.20%
0.03%
4
0.46%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
Braga
1-023.62%
2-09.14%
2-13.77%
3-02.36%
3-10.97%
3-20.20%
4-00.46%
4-10.19%
Draw
0-030.53%
1-19.75%
2-20.78%
Nacional
0-112.60%
0-22.60%
1-22.01%
0-30.36%
1-30.28%
2-30.11%
Estrela at AVS Futebol
Alverca at Vitória