Casa Pia AC at Arouca

Updated

Casa Pia AC

18.3%24.4%57.3%
WinDrawArouca Win
0.81Projected Goals 1.65
2Final Score 0

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Casa Pia AC
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Nacional+120
L 0-4 at Porto+1475
W 2-0 at AVS+165
L 2-0 vs Sporting CP+850
L 1-2 at Famalicao+350
Arouca
Money Line
T 1-1 at Vitoria+385
T 3-3 vs Rio Ave+125
L 0-6 at Sporting CP+1325
W 1-3 vs AVS-140
W 1-4 vs Boavista-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Casa Pia AC+297+283+275+235+276+235+283+265.1
Arouca+101+111+107+111+107+111+111+130.0
Draw+245+228+215+215+221+215+228+243.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Casa Pia AC+300----+270+270+265.1
Arouca+100----+115+115+130.0
Draw+235----+215+215+243.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Arouca: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Casa Pia AC: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Casa Pia AC: 30.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Casa Pia AC ML moved from +283 to +276
Arouca ML moved from +119 to +109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Arouca: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Casa Pia AC: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Casa Pia AC: 10.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Casa Pia AC ML moved from +280 to +270
No Steam Moves On Arouca ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+116o2-135o2¼+108o2-125o2¼+106o2-125o2-125o2-114
Underu2½-136u2+115u2¼-128u2+105u2¼-128u2+105u2¼-128u2+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-114
Under-----u2+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.9%
 
No55.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.53%
Exactly 225.84%
Exactly 413.05%
Exactly 62.64%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.99%
Exactly 321.21%
Exactly 56.43%
Exactly 70.93%
Exact Goals Scored - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 044.39%
Exactly 136.05%
Exactly 214.64%
Exactly 33.96%
Exactly 40.80%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 019.21%
Exactly 131.69%
Exactly 226.14%
Exactly 314.38%
Exactly 45.93%
Exactly 51.96%
Exactly 60.54%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.98%
Exactly 220.78%
Exactly 42.25%
 
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 37.90%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 068.66%
Exactly 125.82%
Exactly 24.85%
Exactly 30.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 046.59%
Exactly 135.59%
Exactly 213.59%
Exactly 33.46%
Exactly 40.66%
Exactly 50.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Casa Pia AC
Wins by 2+ goals5.57%
Wins by 3+ goals1.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.22%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals31.41%
Wins by 3+ goals13.67%
Wins by 4+ goals4.84%
Wins by 5+ goals1.42%
Wins by 6+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Casa Pia AC
Arouca
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 1 goal12.72%
Wins by 2 goals4.30%
Wins by 3 goals1.05%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal25.85%
Wins by 2 goals17.74%
Wins by 3 goals8.83%
Wins by 4 goals3.42%
Wins by 5 goals1.08%
Wins by 6 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.47%8.53%
1.570.48%29.52%
2.544.64%55.36%
3.523.43%76.57%
4.510.38%89.62%
5.53.95%96.05%
6.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Casa Pia AC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.61%44.39%
1.519.56%80.44%
2.54.92%95.08%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.79%19.21%
1.549.10%50.90%
2.522.96%77.04%
3.58.58%91.42%
4.52.65%97.35%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.02%31.98%
1.531.56%68.44%
2.510.77%89.23%
3.52.88%97.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Casa Pia AC
Arouca
Score012345
0
8.53%
14.07%
11.60%
6.38%
2.63%
0.87%
1
6.93%
11.43%
9.42%
5.18%
2.14%
0.71%
2
2.81%
4.64%
3.83%
2.10%
0.87%
0.29%
3
0.76%
1.26%
1.04%
0.57%
0.24%
0.08%
4
0.15%
0.26%
0.21%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
Casa Pia AC
1-06.93%
2-02.81%
2-14.64%
3-00.76%
3-11.26%
3-21.04%
4-00.15%
4-10.26%
4-20.21%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-08.53%
1-111.43%
2-23.83%
3-30.57%
Arouca
0-114.07%
0-211.60%
1-29.42%
0-36.38%
1-35.18%
2-32.10%
0-42.63%
1-42.14%
2-40.87%
3-40.24%
0-50.87%
1-50.71%
2-50.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Casa Pia AC
Arouca
Score01234
0
31.99%
24.43%
9.33%
2.38%
0.45%
1
12.03%
9.19%
3.51%
0.89%
0.17%
2
2.26%
1.73%
0.66%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.28%
0.22%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Casa Pia AC
1-012.03%
2-02.26%
2-11.73%
3-00.28%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-031.99%
1-19.19%
2-20.66%
Arouca
0-124.43%
0-29.33%
1-23.51%
0-32.38%
1-30.89%
2-30.17%
0-40.45%
1-40.17%
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