Alverca at Porto

Updated

Alverca

4.0%10.3%85.7%
WinDrawPorto Win
0.51Projected Goals 2.90
0Final Score 1

Porto

Last 5 Games

Alverca
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Arouca+125
L 0-1 at Nacional+210
W 1-3 vs Casa Pia AC-115
W 2-1 at Rio Ave+160
L 4-1 vs Sporting CP+975
Porto
Money Line
W 2-1 at Estrela-335
W 0-2 vs Tondela-650
W 3-1 at Estoril-280
T 2-2 vs Famalicao-245
W 2-1 at Braga+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:6.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alverca+1100-+1300+1200+1200+1200+1300+1291.6
Porto-500--600-588-588-588-588-396.0
Draw+550-+625+620+620+620+625+670.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alverca+1300----+1450+1450+1291.6
Porto-550-----580-580-396.0
Draw+650----+650+650+670.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alverca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alverca: 0.0%
Porto: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Alverca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alverca: 10.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alverca ML moved from +1400 to +1300
Porto ML moved from -615 to -625

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alverca: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alverca: 0.0%
Porto: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Alverca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alverca: 30.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Alverca ML
Porto ML moved from -550 to -580

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110-o3-115o3¼+119o3¼+119o3¼+119o3¼+119o3¼+127
Underu3-110-u3-105u3¼-139u3¼-139u3¼-139u3-105u3¼-127
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+127
Under-----u3¼-127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes37.6%
 
No62.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.31%
Exactly 219.22%
Exactly 418.61%
Exactly 67.21%
Exactly 81.50%
Exactly 100.19%
 
Exactly 111.27%
Exactly 321.84%
Exactly 512.69%
Exactly 73.51%
Exactly 90.57%
Exact Goals Scored - Alverca
Exactly 060.20%
Exactly 130.55%
Exactly 27.75%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 05.49%
Exactly 115.94%
Exactly 223.12%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 416.23%
Exactly 59.42%
Exactly 64.56%
Exactly 71.89%
Exactly 80.68%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.63%
Exactly 225.70%
Exactly 45.34%
Exactly 60.44%
 
Exactly 132.56%
Exactly 313.52%
Exactly 51.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alverca
Exactly 079.06%
Exactly 118.57%
Exactly 22.18%
Exactly 30.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 026.09%
Exactly 135.06%
Exactly 223.55%
Exactly 310.55%
Exactly 43.54%
Exactly 50.95%
Exactly 60.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Alverca
Wins by 2+ goals0.78%
Porto
Wins by 2+ goals66.95%
Wins by 3+ goals44.81%
Wins by 4+ goals25.59%
Wins by 5+ goals12.57%
Wins by 6+ goals5.35%
Wins by 7+ goals1.98%
Wins by 8+ goals0.61%
Wins by 9+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Alverca
Porto
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Alverca
Wins by 1 goal3.25%
Wins by 2 goals0.67%
Porto
Wins by 1 goal18.62%
Wins by 2 goals22.14%
Wins by 3 goals19.22%
Wins by 4 goals13.03%
Wins by 5 goals7.22%
Wins by 6 goals3.38%
Wins by 7 goals1.36%
Wins by 8 goals0.48%
Wins by 9 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.69%3.31%
1.585.42%14.58%
2.566.21%33.79%
3.544.37%55.63%
4.525.76%74.24%
5.513.06%86.94%
6.55.85%94.15%
7.52.34%97.66%

Total Goals Alverca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.539.80%60.20%
1.59.25%90.75%
2.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.51%5.49%
1.578.57%21.43%
2.555.45%44.55%
3.533.08%66.92%
4.516.85%83.15%
5.57.44%92.56%
6.52.88%97.12%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.37%20.63%
1.546.81%53.19%
2.521.11%78.89%
3.57.59%92.41%
4.52.25%97.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Alverca
Porto
Score012345
0
3.31%
9.59%
13.92%
13.47%
9.77%
5.67%
1
1.68%
4.87%
7.06%
6.83%
4.96%
2.88%
2
0.43%
1.24%
1.79%
1.73%
1.26%
0.73%
Alverca
1-01.68%
2-00.43%
2-11.24%
Draw
0-03.31%
1-14.87%
2-21.79%
3-30.29%
Porto
0-19.59%
0-213.92%
1-27.06%
0-313.47%
1-36.83%
2-31.73%
0-49.77%
1-44.96%
2-41.26%
3-40.21%
0-55.67%
1-52.88%
2-50.73%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Alverca
Porto
Score0123456
0
20.63%
27.72%
18.62%
8.34%
2.80%
0.75%
0.17%
1
4.85%
6.51%
4.37%
1.96%
0.66%
0.18%
0.04%
2
0.57%
0.76%
0.51%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Alverca
1-04.85%
2-00.57%
2-10.76%
Draw
0-020.63%
1-16.51%
2-20.51%
Porto
0-127.72%
0-218.62%
1-24.37%
0-38.34%
1-31.96%
2-30.23%
0-42.80%
1-40.66%
0-50.75%
1-50.18%
0-60.17%
Benfica at Famalicão
Tondela at Casa Pia AC