Arouca at Braga

Updated

Arouca

5.6%11.6%82.8%
WinDrawBraga Win
0.64Projected Goals 2.86
0Final Score 1

Braga

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Portimonense-105
L 1-2 at FC Vizela+255
T 1-1 vs Santa Clara+135
L 0-1 at Boavista+285
W 1-2 vs Gil Vicente FC+200
Braga
Money Line
W 1-0 at Belenenses-115
W 0-1 vs Porto+360
T 0-0 at Estoril+115
W 1-0 at FC Vizela-140
W 2-3 vs Benfica+200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBetting5DimesBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+380+440+380+415+380+464+464+478.9
Braga-150-150-145-158-145-149-145-137.6
Draw+290+260+260+291+260+293+293+303.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+390----+450+450+478.9
Braga-150-----165-165-137.6
Draw+305----+310+310+303.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Braga: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +463 to +450
Braga ML moved from -172 to -179

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Braga: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +460 to +450
Braga ML moved from -155 to -175

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBetting5DimesBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½-105o2½-105-o2½-105o2½-106o2½-105o2½+104
Underu2½+102u2½-115u2½-115-u2½-115u2½-109u2½-109u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-115 to u2½-108

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.4%
 
No55.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.02%
Exactly 218.50%
Exactly 418.88%
Exactly 67.71%
Exactly 81.69%
Exactly 100.23%
 
Exactly 110.57%
Exactly 321.58%
Exactly 513.22%
Exactly 73.85%
Exactly 90.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 052.91%
Exactly 133.68%
Exactly 210.72%
Exactly 32.27%
Exactly 40.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 05.71%
Exactly 116.34%
Exactly 223.40%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 415.99%
Exactly 59.15%
Exactly 64.37%
Exactly 71.79%
Exactly 80.64%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.78%
Exactly 225.97%
Exactly 45.68%
Exactly 60.50%
 
Exactly 132.05%
Exactly 314.03%
Exactly 51.84%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 074.47%
Exactly 121.95%
Exactly 23.23%
Exactly 30.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 026.56%
Exactly 135.21%
Exactly 223.34%
Exactly 310.31%
Exactly 43.42%
Exactly 50.91%
Exactly 60.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals1.28%
Wins by 3+ goals0.21%
Braga
Wins by 2+ goals63.39%
Wins by 3+ goals41.55%
Wins by 4+ goals23.26%
Wins by 5+ goals11.21%
Wins by 6+ goals4.68%
Wins by 7+ goals1.70%
Wins by 8+ goals0.51%
Wins by 9+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Braga
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal4.29%
Wins by 2 goals1.07%
Wins by 3 goals0.19%
Braga
Wins by 1 goal19.32%
Wins by 2 goals21.84%
Wins by 3 goals18.29%
Wins by 4 goals12.05%
Wins by 5 goals6.52%
Wins by 6 goals2.99%
Wins by 7 goals1.18%
Wins by 8 goals0.41%
Wins by 9 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.98%3.02%
1.586.41%13.59%
2.567.91%32.09%
3.546.33%53.67%
4.527.45%72.55%
5.514.24%85.76%
6.56.53%93.47%
7.52.67%97.33%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.547.09%52.91%
1.513.41%86.59%
2.52.69%97.31%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.29%5.71%
1.577.95%22.05%
2.554.55%45.45%
3.532.22%67.78%
4.516.23%83.77%
5.57.08%92.92%
6.52.71%97.29%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.22%19.78%
1.548.17%51.83%
2.522.19%77.81%
3.58.17%91.83%
4.52.48%97.52%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Braga
Score012345
0
3.02%
8.65%
12.38%
11.82%
8.46%
4.84%
1
1.92%
5.50%
7.88%
7.52%
5.38%
3.08%
2
0.61%
1.75%
2.51%
2.39%
1.71%
0.98%
3
0.13%
0.37%
0.53%
0.51%
0.36%
0.21%
Arouca
1-01.92%
2-00.61%
2-11.75%
3-00.13%
3-10.37%
3-20.53%
Draw
0-03.02%
1-15.50%
2-22.51%
3-30.51%
Braga
0-18.65%
0-212.38%
1-27.88%
0-311.82%
1-37.52%
2-32.39%
0-48.46%
1-45.38%
2-41.71%
3-40.36%
0-54.84%
1-53.08%
2-50.98%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Braga
Score0123456
0
19.78%
26.22%
17.38%
7.68%
2.55%
0.68%
0.15%
1
5.83%
7.73%
5.12%
2.26%
0.75%
0.20%
0.04%
2
0.86%
1.14%
0.76%
0.33%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Arouca
1-05.83%
2-00.86%
2-11.14%
Draw
0-019.78%
1-17.73%
2-20.76%
Braga
0-126.22%
0-217.38%
1-25.12%
0-37.68%
1-32.26%
2-30.33%
0-42.55%
1-40.75%
2-40.11%
0-50.68%
1-50.20%
0-60.15%