Estrela at Tondela

Updated

Estrela

22.4%25.2%52.4%
Estrela WinDrawTondela Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.59
0Final Score 0

Tondela

Last 5 Games

Estrela
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Vitoria+210
T 0-0 at Santa Clara+355
T 2-2 vs Alverca+150
L 1-0 vs Benfica+1100
T 1-1 at Estoril+410
Tondela
Money Line
L 0-1 at Alverca+280
T 2-2 vs Estoril+160
L 0-3 at Benfica+1800
L 1-0 vs Famalicao+330
L 0-3 at Braga+640

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+235-+270+215+271+205+271+229.8
Tondela+130-+106+135+107+135+135+154.1
Draw+200-+225+198+225+205+225+229.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+240----+265+265+229.8
Tondela+130----+120+120+154.1
Draw+210----+210+210+229.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Tondela: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 80.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +267 to +260
Tondela ML moved from +133 to +123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Tondela: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 80.0%
Tondela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estrela ML
Tondela ML moved from +130 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-110-o2¼-120o2-124o2¼-115o2-124o2-124o2-113
Underu2-110-u2¼+100u2+104u2¼-105u2+104u2¼+100u2+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-113
Under-----u2+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.99%
Exactly 225.51%
Exactly 413.58%
Exactly 62.89%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.19%
Exactly 321.49%
Exactly 56.86%
Exactly 71.04%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 038.98%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.30%
Exactly 35.43%
Exactly 41.28%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Tondela
Exactly 020.49%
Exactly 132.48%
Exactly 225.74%
Exactly 313.60%
Exactly 45.39%
Exactly 51.71%
Exactly 60.45%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.03%
Exactly 221.25%
Exactly 42.42%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 38.29%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 064.65%
Exactly 128.20%
Exactly 26.15%
Exactly 30.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tondela
Exactly 048.00%
Exactly 135.23%
Exactly 212.93%
Exactly 33.16%
Exactly 40.58%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals7.65%
Wins by 3+ goals1.98%
Wins by 4+ goals0.39%
Tondela
Wins by 2+ goals27.58%
Wins by 3+ goals11.52%
Wins by 4+ goals3.92%
Wins by 5+ goals1.10%
Wins by 6+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Estrela
Tondela
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal14.73%
Wins by 2 goals5.67%
Wins by 3 goals1.59%
Wins by 4 goals0.34%
Tondela
Wins by 1 goal24.79%
Wins by 2 goals16.06%
Wins by 3 goals7.60%
Wins by 4 goals2.81%
Wins by 5 goals0.85%
Wins by 6 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.01%7.99%
1.571.83%28.17%
2.546.32%53.68%
3.524.83%75.17%
4.511.25%88.75%
5.54.39%95.61%
6.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.02%38.98%
1.524.30%75.70%
2.57.00%93.00%
3.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals Tondela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.51%20.49%
1.547.03%52.97%
2.521.28%78.72%
3.57.68%92.32%
4.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.97%31.03%
1.532.66%67.34%
2.511.41%88.59%
3.53.12%96.88%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estrela
Tondela
Score012345
0
7.99%
12.66%
10.04%
5.30%
2.10%
0.67%
1
7.53%
11.93%
9.45%
5.00%
1.98%
0.63%
2
3.54%
5.62%
4.45%
2.35%
0.93%
0.30%
3
1.11%
1.76%
1.40%
0.74%
0.29%
0.09%
4
0.26%
0.42%
0.33%
0.17%
0.07%
0.02%
Estrela
1-07.53%
2-03.54%
2-15.62%
3-01.11%
3-11.76%
3-21.40%
4-00.26%
4-10.42%
4-20.33%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-07.99%
1-111.93%
2-24.45%
3-30.74%
Tondela
0-112.66%
0-210.04%
1-29.45%
0-35.30%
1-35.00%
2-32.35%
0-42.10%
1-41.98%
2-40.93%
3-40.29%
0-50.67%
1-50.63%
2-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Estrela
Tondela
Score01234
0
31.03%
22.78%
8.36%
2.04%
0.38%
1
13.54%
9.93%
3.65%
0.89%
0.16%
2
2.95%
2.17%
0.80%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.43%
0.32%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Estrela
1-013.54%
2-02.95%
2-12.17%
3-00.43%
3-10.32%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-031.03%
1-19.93%
2-20.80%
Tondela
0-122.78%
0-28.36%
1-23.65%
0-32.04%
1-30.89%
2-30.19%
0-40.38%
1-40.16%
Braga at Vitória
Estoril at Gil Vicente FC