Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated 22 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
09/14/2025 07:30 PM	Gil Vicente FC Braga	9.8% 73.2%	17.0%	+424 -132 +500 -165	1 0	-1.68524-1.84288	-2.31993
09/14/2025 05:00 PM	Casa Pia AC Arouca	18.3% 57.3%	24.4%	+283 +111 +270 +115	2 0	-1.38198-1.35985	-1.69767
09/14/2025 02:30 PM	Vitoria Estrela	50.8% 23.1%	26.0%	+147 +225 +150 +210	2 0	-0.94907-0.96551	-0.67653
09/13/2025 07:30 PM	Sporting CP Famalicao	58.3% 19.0%	22.7%	-191 +498 -225 +575	2 1	-0.46075-0.41746	-0.53907
09/13/2025 05:00 PM	Nacional Porto	4.4% 85.2%	10.4%	+1494 -480 +1800 -665	0 1	-0.22130-0.19058	-0.16033
09/13/2025 02:30 PM	AVS Estoril	16.1% 61.2%	22.7%	+386 -133 +390 -145	1 3	-0.58875-0.57552	-0.49110
09/13/2025 02:30 PM	Rio Ave Moreirense	16.5% 60.0%	23.5%	+285 +117 +290 +115	1 3	-0.80916-0.81369	-0.51099
09/12/2025 07:15 PM	Tondela Alverca	28.4% 44.1%	27.5%	+279 +120 +280 +115	0 1	-0.80786-0.81507	-0.81837
09/12/2025 07:15 PM	Santa Clara Benfica	8.1% 76.8%	15.0%	+1100 -316 +1025 -340	1 1	-1.69576-1.71674	-1.89506
09/06/2025 07:30 PM	Santa Clara Estoril	35.1% 34.7%	30.1%	+142 +236 +135 +235	1 0	-0.91364-0.90503	-1.04734
08/31/2025 07:30 PM	Estrela Santa Clara	10.8% 70.6%	18.5%	+425 -122 +355 -115	0 0	-1.21433-1.26075	-1.68475
08/31/2025 07:30 PM	Braga Rio Ave	62.5% 15.6%	21.9%	-139 +421 -130 +365	2 2	-1.38079-1.35763	-1.51809
08/31/2025 05:00 PM	Benfica Alverca	77.0% 8.1%	15.0%	-435 +1029 -425 +1000	2 1	-0.26094-0.25979	-0.26159
08/31/2025 02:30 PM	Estoril Tondela	32.9% 38.1%	29.1%	+194 +167 +190 +160	2 2	-1.18994-1.18215	-1.23598
08/30/2025 07:30 PM	Porto Sporting CP	20.1% 56.0%	23.9%	+305 -106 +270 +110	2 1	-1.43649-1.35662	-1.60395
08/30/2025 05:00 PM	Arouca Vitoria	16.1% 61.0%	22.9%	+257 +120 +385 -135	1 1	-1.25632-1.35802	-1.47390

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).